A Winning Day at the Races!

March 11th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 10,483/15,991, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 7,108/15,991. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Saturday’s covered tracks will be Aqueduct Tampa Bay Downs , and Oaklawn…With expected bad weather for Saturday on the east coast all content will be posted here on the Free Page this weekend…

*Fridays’ Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#1 Winning Drive 2-1                     27 1st $6.40
#3 Fleet Warrior 5-2                        25
#6 Cause for Action 10-1                24
#4 Binkster 5-2                                 24 4th

Race 2:

#6 Royal Realm 4-5                          28 2nd $2.70
#1 Centavo 12-1                                27
#4 Remembermom 4-1                    26 4th
#2 Bar Fourteen 6-1                          25 1st $13.20

Race 3:

#5 Salute to America 5-2                 15 scratched
#9 Reservation 5-1                            14
#6 Wild Carp Diem 7-2                     14
#2 Mo Dancin 10-1                            13 1st $9.80

Race 4:

#3 Bella Principessa 7-5                   28 3rd $2.30
#6 To a T 7-2                                       27 4th
#7 Girl of Tosconova 3-1                  27 2nd $5.10
#5 Kerik 10-1                                       26 scratched

Race 5:

#6 One Track Mine 5-1                      16
#9 Bavarian Creme 3-1                      15 4th
#7 Winter Siren 5-1                            15
#2 Hey Mama 10-1                              14 1st $22.80

Race 6:

#3 Make It in Ny 1-1                           27 1st $5.10
#7 Far Away Look 10-1                       26
#4 Donegal Bay 8-5                             26
#1 Ocean Deep 15-1                            25 3rd $4.60

Race 7:

#1 Shalimar Gardens 2-5                    31 1st $2.50
#5 Enter Sandwoman 8-1                   28 4th
#7 Raffinity 8-1                                     27 2nd $4.20
#4 Seahorse d’Oro 15-1                       26 scratched

Race 8:

#5 Half Birthday 10-1                           13
#6 Gracie O’Malley 8-1                         12
#2 Blind Sight 3-1                                  11
#9 Miss Flintshire 10-1                         10

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  1,3 1

Race 2:  6,1,4,2 2

Race 3:  5,9,6 *5 scratched using 9,6,2 2

Race 4:  3,6

Race 5:  6,9,7,2 2

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  6,1,4,2 2

Race 3:  5,9,6,2 2

Race 4:  3,6 x

Race 5:  6,9,7,2 2

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 3:  5,9,6 *5 scratched using 9,6,2 2

Race 4:  3 x

Race 5:  6,9,7 x

Race 6:  3,7,4 3

Race 7:  1

Race 8:  5,6,2

$.50 Ticket:  $81

Late Pick 5:

Race 4:  3,6 x

Race 5:  6,9,7 x

Race 6:  3,7,4,1 3

Race 7:  1,5,7 1

Race 8:  5,6,2

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 5:  6,9,7,2 2

Race 6:  3,7,4,1 3

Race 7:  1,5 1

Race 8:  5,6,2,9

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in


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