March 16th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,360/20,486 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,416/20,486. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Early Pick 5/4 for us last Sunday at Aqueduct…$492 on a $108 ticket…$148.25 on a $54 ticket…

*Late Pick 5/4 for us last Sunday at Aqueduct…$544.25 on a $64 ticket…$119.75 on a $64 ticket…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#6 Simple Sugar 9-2 27 4th
#4 Devilly 3-1 27
#1 Roja Ligera 7-2 26 3rd $2.60
#3 Lockbox 5-2 25 1st $9.60

Race 2:

#4 Shigeko 5-2 28 2nd $3.00
#1 Fancy Feline 5-1 27 4th
#5 Memento Mi 5-1 26
#3 Smokin’ Hot Kitty 8-5 26 1st $4.90

Race 3:

#3 Savage Spirit 8-5 15 2nd $3.40
#6 Hair On Fire 3-1 14
#7 Manny Penny 4-1 13 1st $11.40
#4 Arco Augusta 6-1 12 3rd $3.20

Race 4:

#5 Life Changer 5-1 32 2nd $4.00
#1 Beachwalker 5-1 31
#3 Midlaner 4-1 30 4th
#2 Secret Rules 7-2 30 scratched

Race 5:

#7 Arrebato 6-1 26
#2 South Street 4-1 26
#3 Barnstorming 6-5 25
#6 Independent Paul 7-2 25

Race 6:

#1 Ghalia Princess 4-5 32
#4 Miss Harriett 7-2 31
#5 Reconcile 9-2 30
#3 Value Area 4-1 29

Race 7:

#5 Mim 10-1 27
#4 Mouly 3-1 27
#1 Ghostbustin 5-2 26
#7 Little Linzee 9-2 26

Race 8:

#2 Gentleman Joe 4-1 31
#1 Bold Victory 9-2 30
#4 Skylander 8-1 29
#3 Mason Mania 5-1 28

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 6,4,1,3

Race 2: 4,1,5,3

Race 3: 3,6,7

Race 4: 5,1

Race 5: 7,2,3

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 4,1,5,3

Race 3: 3,6,7,4

Race 4: 5,1,3

Race 5: 7,2,3

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 6:

Race 3: 3,6,7

Race 4: 5,1,3

Race 5: 7,2,3

Race 6: 1

Race 7: 5,4

Race 8: 2

$1.00 Ticket: $54

Late Pick 5:

Race 4: 5,1,3,2

Race 5: 7,2,3

Race 6: 1,4,5

Race 7: 5,4,1

Race 8: 2,1

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 5: 7,2,3,6

Race 6: 1,4

Race 7: 5,4,1,7

Race 8: 2,1,4,3

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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