March 22nd, 2025 Free Picks/Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,784/22,745 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,513/22,745 . The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Late Pick 5 for us yesterday at Aqueduct…$649 on a $72 ticket…

*Late Pick 4 for us yesterday at Aqueduct…$190 on a $48 ticket…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Fair Grounds Picks/Plays below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#3 Margin of Air 5-2 29 scratched
#4 Legal Deal 3-1 28 1st $7.30
#6 Castle Island 4-1 27
#2b Amity Road 5-1 27 2nd $2.60

Race 2:

#1 Lady Mine 2-1 31 4th
#2 All Class 8-5 30 2nd $3.20
#5 Justthefactsjack 6-1 29 scratched
#1a Majestic Return 2-1 28

Race 3:

#5 J D Factor 5-2 29 2nd $370
#2 Vinsanity 4-1 29 4th
#6 Light the Way 9-5 28 3rd $2.50
#7 Concorde Spirit 8-1 27 1st $17.80 Spr $651

Race 4:

#4 Summit Ridge 7-5 19 3rd $2.10
#7 I’m Ready to Go 8-1 18 1st $10.20
#6 Radauti 2-1 18 2nd $2.90 Tri $43
#3 Griffin’s Wharf 6-1 17 scratched

Race 5:

#4 She’s Cool 7-2 28 scratched
#2 Sandi’s Satire 8-1 27 scratched
#5 Proud Divi 3-1 26 2nd $2.70
#1 Despo’s Dream 7-2 25

Race 6:

#6 Madam Opus 9-5 18 1st $3.40
#4 More Than Grace 5-2 17
#5 Ocean Rain 15-1 17
#1 Stand the Rain 6-1 16

Race 7:

#2 Nine N Four 3-1 16 3rd $3.00
#5 Perfect Shephard 8-1 15
#8 Tarpaulin 4-1 15 1st $7.00
#3 So Spirited 6-1 14

Race 8:

#7 Striker Has Dial 5-2 32 1st $3.40
#4 Cupid’s Heart 3-1 31 2nd $3.60
#1 Everyoneloveslinda 9-2 30 3rd $2.10
#2 Proud Foot 6-1 29 4th

Race 9:

#1 Liberte de Bayeux 8-5 33 3rd $2.20
#2 Frizzante 8-1 32 2nd $8.80
#9 Hero’s Medal 5-1 31
#7 Global Perspective 6-1 29

Race 10:

#6 Rum Cay 5-2 16 1st $6.10
#11 Consider It Done 4-1 16 4th
#2 Monomoy Beach 8-1 15 3rd $5.90
#9 Cada Dia Mejor 20-1 14

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 3,4,6,2b/2

Race 2: 1/1a,2

Race 3: 5,2,6

Race 4: 4,7,6

Race 5: 4,2,5 *4,2 scratched using 5,1,6

$.50 Ticket: $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 1/1a,2

Race 3: 5,2,6,7

Race 4: 4,7,6,3

Race 5: 4,2,5,1 *4,2 scratched using 5,1,6,3

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 4,7,6,3

Race 5: 4,2,5,1 *4,2 scratched using 5,1,6,3

Race 6: 6,4

Race 7: 2,5,8,3

$.50 Ticket: $64 126.50

Pick 6:

Race 5: 4,2,5 *4,2 scratched using 5,1,6

Race 6: 6,4

Race 7: 2,5,8,3

Race 8: 7

Race 9: 1

Race 10: 6,11

$1.00 Ticket: $48

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 6,4

Race 7: 2,5,8,3

Race 8: 7,4,1,2

Race 9: 1,2,9

Race 10: 6,11,2

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 2,5,8,3

Race 8: 7,4,1,2

Race 9: 1,2,9,7

Race 10: 6,11

$.50 Ticket: $64

Fair Grounds Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#6 All Night Revival 9-2 18
#4 Never Really Know 6-1 18 1st $10.00
#5 Good Going 10-1 17
#7 Take Note of This 5-1 16

Race 2:

#2 Free Scrim 6-1 17 4th
#11 Custom’s Cleared 3-1 16
#8 Shot Gun Shack 9-2 16 2nd $4.00
#9 Gabe’s Possum 12-1 15

Race 3:

#7 Atarah 6-1 20 2nd $3.60
#6 Saucier 9-2 19
#10 Stylish Lady 9-2 19
#3 Shewontbudge 4-1 18 4th

Race 4:

#1 St. Armands Key 3-1 34 1st $3.60
#7 Freedom’s Way 9-2 33
#5 Create Trouble 8-1 32
#2 Le Gris 9-2 32 3rd $3.20

Race 5:

#2 Blue Fire 9-5 32 1st $4.00
#4 Margie’s Intention 4-1 31 2nd $2.20
#3 Secret Faith 7-5 31 scratched
#7 Warrior’s Justice 10-1 29

Race 6:

#9 Brian’s Iron Mike 7-2 34
#1 Monsieur Candy 6-1 33 2nd $8.80
#8 Big Chopper 6-1 32
#4 Geaux Sugar 9-2 31 1st $6.80

Race 7:

#4 Sippin On Gin 5-1 31 1st $11.20
#5 Dapper Moon 7-2 30
#14 Wicked as Haggart 10-1 30
#8 Classic Time 8-1 29 3rd $4.20

Race 8:

#4 Tufani 5-1 34 2nd $4.20
#7 Amber Cascade 8-1 33 scratched
#11 Eastern Empress 8-1 32
#8 Strikingly Spun 15-1 32 3rd $6.40

Race 9:

#2 Hall of Fame 4-1 41 2nd $4.00
#9 Komorebino Omoide 8-1 40
#7 Sierra Leone 7-5 39 3rd $2.10
#10 Bishops Bay 10-1 37 scratched

Race 10:

#6 Spirit of St Louis 3-1 42 4th
#8 Brilliant Berti 5-1 41
#5 Redistricting (GB) 9-2 40
#7 Rebel Red (GB) 4-1 39

Race 11:

#3 Ahavah 8-1 38 2nd $4.00
#7 Good Cheer 4-5 38 1st $2.80 Ex $13.40
#2 Gowells Delight 8-1 37 3rd $5.00 Tri $110.60
#5 Her Laugh 12-1 36

Race 12:

#9 Instant Replay 6-1 38
#1 John Hancock 7-2 37
#6 Built 4-1 36
#5 Caldera 5-1 35

Fair Grounds Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 6,4,5,7

Race 2: 2,11,8

Race 3: 7,6,10,3

Race 4: 1,7

Race 5: 2,4,3 *3 scratched using 2,4,7

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 2,11,8,9

Race 3: 7,6,10,3

Race 4: 1,7,5,2

Race 5: 2,4,3 *3 scratched using 2,4,7

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4: 1,7,5,2

Race 5: 2,4,3 *3 scratched using 2,4,7

Race 6: 9,1,8,4

Race 7: 4,5

Race 8: 4,7,11 *7 scratched using 4,11,8

$.50 Ticket: $144

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5: 2,4,3 *3 scratched using 2,4,7

Race 6: 9,1,8,4

Race 7: 4,5,14,8

Race 8: 4,7,11,8 *7 scratched using 4,11,8,3

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 6:

Race 7: 4,5

Race 8: 4,7,11 *7 scratched using 4,11,8

Race 9: 2,9,7

Race 10: 6

Race 11: 3,7,2

Race 12: 9,1

$1.00 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 8: 4,7,11,8 *7 scratched using 4,11,8,3

Race 9: 2,9,7

Race 10: 6,8,5

Race 11: 3,7,2

Race 12: 9,1

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 9: 2,9,7,10

Race 10: 6,8,5,7

Race 11: 3,7,2,5

Race 12: 9,1,6

$.50 Ticket: $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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