
A Winning Day at the Races!
March 8th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,733/22,669 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,474/22,669. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Middle Pick 4 for us last Friday at Aqueduct…$311.50 on a $48 ticket…
*Early Pick 4 for us last Saturday at Gulfstream…$560.05 on a $64 ticket…
*7 on top winners last Sunday at Aqueduct…
*5 on top winners yesterday at Aqueduct…
*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Tampa Bay Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#5 Ice Road 8-5 27 1st $5.90
#4 Debate 4-1 26
#2 Bad Larry 2-1 25 2nd $3.30
#6 Commandperformance 5-1 24 3rd $2.80
Race 2:
#6 Brooklyn Rhapsody 5-2 26 1st $5.00 Dbl $16.00
#2 Roshiell My Belle 6-5 26
#7 Wildcat Annie 8-1 25 2nd $6.40
#4 Yayi Nikolle 10-1 24 3rd $6.30
Race 3:
#3 Rock Star Rebel 5-2 15 4th
#1 Drive Thru 9-5 14
#8 Twirling Vine 7-2 13 1st $8.40
#1a Solo Flight 9-5 12 3rd $2.20
Race 4:
#6 Army Gal 5-2 29 4th
#7 Lottie Margaret 9-5 28 2nd $2.80
#4 Bernieandtherose 3-1 28 1st $7.90
#3 Storm Changer 8-1 27
Race 5:
#3 Willintoriskitall 3-1 29 4th
#2 Senegal 5-1 28 2nd $6.80
#1 Hey Toby 4-1 27
#6 Liberty Central 7-5 27 1st $4.90
Race 6:
#7 Capt Jax Parrow 3-1 14 2nd $3.50
#9 Fines Creek 7-2 13 3rd $3.20
#2 Stimuli 9-2 12
#3 Damage 6-1 11 scratched
Race 7:
#9 Will of a Womanne 8-1 16
#5 Lupine 6-1 15
#4 Full Pour 15-1 15
#2 Fedupwiththefed 6-1 14
Race 8:
#1 Expected Value 5-1 32
#7 Cascais 3-1 31
#6 Magical Ways 6-1 30
#3 General Banker 6-1 29
Race 9:
#1 Givememythememusic 8-1 31
#5 National Identity 7-5 30
#3 Mo Plex 5-2 30
#9 Swift Magic 15-1 29
Race 10:
#4 Joevia’s Diva 20-1 12
#2 Sweet Lilac 6-1 11
#9 Spun Size 5-1 10
#6 Royal Event 20-1 9
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 5,4,2
Race 2: 6,2
Race 3: 3,1/1a,8
Race 4: 6,7,4
Race 5: 3,2,1,6
$.50 Ticket: $108 $222.75
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 6,2,7,4
Race 3: 3,1/1a,8
Race 4: 6,7,4
Race 5: 3,2,1,6
$.50 Ticket: $72 $77.37
Pick 4 (4-7):
Race 4: 6,7,4
Race 5: 3,2,1,6
Race 6: 7,9,2
Race 7: 9,5,4,2
$.50 Ticket: $72
Pick 6:
Race 5: 3,2
Race 6: 7
Race 7: 9,5,4,2
Race 8: 1,7
Race 9: 1,5
Race 10: 4,2,9,6 #9 scratched using 4,2,6,1
$1.00 Ticket: $128
Late Pick 5:
Race 6: 7,9,2,3
Race 7: 9,5,4,2
Race 8: 1,7
Race 9: 1,5,3
Race 10: 4,2,9 #9 scratched using 4,2,6
$.50 Ticket: $144
Late Pick 4:
Race 7: 9,5,4,2
Race 8: 1,7,6,3
Race 9: 1,5,3
Race 10: 4,2,9,6 #9 scratched using 4,2,6,1
$.50 Ticket: $96
Tampa Bay Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#9 King Miano 2-1 26 1st $5.20
#4 Diamond Messa 7-2 25 3rd $2.60
#3 Mr Jack 5-2 24 4th
#2 Walt Whitman (IRE) 20-1 23
Race 2:
#2 Captivating Sound 5-2 25 1st $9.60 Dbl $28.40
#8 Oops Haha 7-2 24
#6 Scored 9-2 23 2nd $5.40
#9 Jenas Mercy 3-1 23
Race 3:
#8 Cha Cha Quick 9-5 18
#5 Naked Eye 4-1 17
#4 Roja 8-1 16 3rd $3.00
#3 Subtle Humor 5-2 16 3rd $2.60
Race 4:
#4 Prides Crossing 5-2 29
#7 Novara 4-1 28 4th
#3 Alimara (FR) 7-2 28 3rd $3.60
#2 Dreaming of Abba 6-1 27 2nd $6.60
Race 5:
#6 Most Wanted 3-2 37 2nd $2.10
#7 Bendoog 5-1 36 scratched
#5 Patriot Spirit 6-1 35 scratched
#8 Skippylongstocking 7-5 34 1st $3.20
Race 6:
#5 Night Agent 10-1 19 4th
#6 Playa Del Mar 9-2 19 3rd $5.60
#12 Accelerize 9-2 18 1st $9.00
#10 Bohemian Style 8-1 18
Race 7:
#1 Early Adopter (GB) 6-1 32
#6 Zulu Kingdom (IRE) 2-1 31
#9 Dream On 4-1 30
#8 Revolutionnaire (FR) 4-1 30
Race 8:
#12 Laser Sharp 3-1 30
#11 Silver Slugger 7-2 28
#5 Ee Yah 20-1 27
#10 Cruising Derek 20-1 27
Race 9:
#8 Saffron Moon 9-5 35
#4 Venencia (FR) 6-1 34
#6 Spaliday 4-1 33
#7 Gimme a Nother 5-2 33
Race 10:
#7 Opulent Restraint 3-1 31
#9 Nitrogen 5-2 30
#10 Pretty Lavish (IRE) 6-1 29
#5 Love You Anyway 30-1 29
Race 11:
#7 Patch Adams 2-1 34
#1 Owen Almighty 5-1 33
#2 Chancer McPatrick 8-5 32
#3 Hill Road 4-1 31
Race 12:
#11 Por Voce 12-1 17
#10 Gum 6-1 16
#2 Channel Check (GB) 2-1 15
#8 Lady Authentic 7-2 15
Tampa Bay Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 9,4,3
Race 2: 2,8,6,9
Race 3: 8,5,4,3
Race 4: 4,7,3
Race 5: 6,7 *7 scratched using 6,5
$.50 Ticket: $144
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 2,8,6,9
Race 3: 8,5,4,3
Race 4: 4,7,3,2
Race 5: 6,7 *7 scratched using 6,5
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 4 (3-6):
Race 3: 8,5,4,3
Race 4: 4,7,3,2
Race 5: 6,7 *7 scratched using 6,5
Race 6: 5,6,12,10
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 5 (4-8):
Race 4: 4,7,3
Race 5: 6,7 *7 scratched using 6,5
Race 6: 5,6,12,10
Race 7: 1,6,9
Race 8: 12,11
$.50 Ticket: $72
Pick 4 (5-8):
Race 5: 6,7,5,8
Race 6: 5,6,12,10
Race 7: 1,6,9,8
Race 8: 12,11
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 6:
Race 6: 5,6,12,10
Race 7: 1,6,9,8
Race 8: 12,11
Race 9: 8,4,6,7
Race 10: 7,9
Race 11: 7,1,2
$.20 Ticket: $153.60
Late Pick 5:
Race 7: 1,6,9,8
Race 8: 12,11
Race 9: 8,4,6,7
Race 10: 7,9
Race 11: 7,1,2
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 4 (8-11):
Race 8: 12,11
Race 9: 8,4,6,7
Race 10: 7,9,10,5
Race 11: 7,1,2,3
$.50 Ticket: $64
Late Pick 4:
Race 9: 8,4,6,7
Race 10: 7,9
Race 11: 7,1,2,3
Race 12: 11,10,2,8
$.50 Ticket: $64
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
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