A Winning Day at the Races!

May 23rd, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,036/23,139 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,706/23,139. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Early Pick 5/4 for us last Thursday at Aqueduct$559.50 on a $72 ticket…$127.50 on a $36 ticket…

*Late Pick 5/4 for us last Thursday at Aqueduct$485.75 on a $121.50 ticket…$105.87 on a $54 ticket…

*Early Pick 5 for us last Friday at Aqueduct$215.25 on a $81 ticket…

*Late Pick 4 for us last Friday at Pimlico$460.60 on a $64 ticket…

*5 on top winners for us last Saturday at Aqueduct

 *Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#4 Vernon Valley 3-1                 18 1st $8.50
#5 Prince of Broadway 5-2       17 3rd $2.80
#2 Love You 10-1                        17
#1 Snow Face Princess 7-5        16 4th

Race 2:

#5 Magnum’s Microbrst 8-1     18
#7 Green Jobs 4-1                       18
#6 Queens Fable (IRE) 5-1        17
#2 More for Sure (IRE) 6-1        17

Dirt Selections

#8 Dimensionality 10-1 2nd $3.50
#11 Ragtime Sizzle 5-2 3rd
#7 Green Jobs 4-1 scratched
#5 Magnum’s Microbrst 8-1 scratched
#10 Luckforyou 20-1 1st $22.60

Race 3:

#8 Bourbon Day 5-2                  34
#2 Classic Creation 6-1             33
#3 Bettrluckythangood 3-1      32
#1 Starting Over 4-1                  32

Dirt Selections

#8 Bourbon Day 5-2 1st $3.70
#10 Waitlist 3-1 2nd $2.70
#1a Mikealicious 4-1 4th
#11 Smile Mon 7-2 3rd $2.40
#6 Omni King 12-1 scratched 

Race 4:

#5 O P Firecracker 2-1              27 3rd $3.50
#7 Khafre 9-5                              27 1st $4.60
#3 Tiberius Mercurius 5-1        26 2nd $5.00 Tri $84.48
#1 Commandperformance 8-1 25

Race 5:

#7 Despo’s Dream 5-2              28 1st $5.60
#8 Dashing Della 8-1                27 2nd $7.90 Ex $29.00
#4 She’s Wicked Smart 4-1      26 scratched
#6 Lady Sriracha 8-1                 25

Race 6:

#2 Lou 5-2                                  28 4th
#6 Frantic 8-1                            28
#5 Social Hour 3-1                    27 3rd $3.60
#8 Shoot the Nickel 9-2           26 2nd $4.00

Race 7:

#11 Slightly Busy 7-2                31
#10 Snowy Evening 10-1         30
#9 Kerry 8-1                                29
#8 Being Betty 6-1                     28

Dirt Selections

#5 Sohana 8-1 3rd
#12 La Banquera 6-5 1st $3.10
#4 Jackson’s Dixie 15-1 2nd $3.80
#2 Bam’s Bliss Kiss 12-1

Race 8:

#6 Street View 6-1                    30
#1a Golden Symphony 8-5      29 1st $2.80
#5 Timaeus 8-1                          28
#1 Top Gun Rocket 8-5             28 1st $2.80

Race 9:

#5 Tiote 7-2                                16 1st $7.10
#9 Omaha Pistol 5-2                 15 3rd $2.10
#6 Rocked Out 15-1                   15
#8 Magic Beach 8-1                   14 scratched 

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  4,5,2,1 4

Race 2:  5,7,6,2 Dirt: 8,11,10 10

Race 3:  8,2,3 Dirt: 8,10,1a/1 8

Race 4:  5,7 7

Race 5:  7,8,4 7

$.50 Ticket:  $108 $313

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  5,7,6,2 Dirt: 8,11,10 10

Race 3:  8,2,3,1 Dirt: 8,10,1a/1,11 8

Race 4:  5,7 7

Race 5:  7,8,4,6 7

$.50 Ticket:  $48 $82

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  8,2,3,1 Dirt: 8,10,1a/1,11

Race 4:  5,7

Race 5:  7,8,4,6

Race 6:  2,6,5,8

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 4:  5,7

Race 5:  7,8,4

Race 6:  2

Race 7:  11,10,9,8 Dirt: 5,12,4,2

Race 8:  6,1a/1,5

Race 9:  5,9

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  7,8,4,6

Race 6:  2,6,5

Race 7:  11,10,9,8 Dirt: 5,12,4,2

Race 8:  6,1a/1,5

Race 9:  5,9

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  2,6,5,8

Race 7:  11,10,9,8 Dirt: 5,12,4,2

Race 8:  6,1a/1,5

Race 9:  5,9,6,8

$.50 Ticket:  $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 


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