May 31st, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,062/23,177 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,724/23,177. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Saturday’s Full Card Monmouth Park & Churchill Downs Picks/Plays Below…

Monmouth Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#5 Pretty Thing (IRE) 2-1 14
#6 Horseplay 5-1 13
#1 Ravenite 6-1 11
#8 Maggie Brew 10-1 10

Dirt Selections

#1 Ravenite 6-1 2nd $5.80
#7 Winning Shot 5-1 3rd $3.40
#8 Maggie Brew 10-1 4th
#9 Liam’s Lucky Lady 6-1

Race 2:

#3 Magical Warrior 8-5 27 1st $3.60
#4 Diamond Heist 7-2 26 3rd $2.10
#2 Feast 5-2 25 scratched
#1 Ikigai 15-1 24

Race 3:

#2 Catch the Smoke 3-1 29 2nd $3.20
#3 Walk Away Joe 5-2 28 4th
#7 King of Hollywood 4-1 27 1st $6.60
#4 Doin’ittherightway 7-2 27 scratched

Race 4:

#7 Jace Is No Joke 5-1 12
#8 Tiztimonial 6-1 11
#5 Peace Crusader 8-1 10
#1 Davola 3-1 9

Dirt Selections

#10 Braca 5-1
#6 Stonecold Reaction 9-2 1st $7.80
#5 Peace Crusader 8-1 4th

Race 5:

#3 English Painter 8-5 26 1st $2.40
#9 Magical Road 5-1 25 scratched
#8 Get Like Mike 9-2 24 2nd $4.00
#4 Boca Guy 8-1 23

Race 6:

#5 Hydrus 2-1 14
#9 Chaz the Chief 5-1 13
#3 Doin This 10-1 12
#4 Livaliscious 5-1 11

Dirt Selections

#3 Doin This 10-1 1st $6.40 Dbl $10.20
#5 Hydrus 2-1 3rd $2.40
#4 Livaliscious 5-1
#6 Feratovic 10-1

Race 7:

#4 Without Pretence 7-2 28 4th
#1 Wistucky 8-5 27
#2 Bar Down Express 8-1 26 2nd $7.00
#6 Riyadh Moon 7-2 26 1st $25.20

Race 8:

#7 Uncatalyzed (GB) 2-1 30
#5 Dream On 7-2 29
#1 Candytown 5-2 28
#2 Outrunner 7-2 28

Dirt Selections

#8 Cool Intentions 7-2 2nd
#1 Candytown 5-2
#3 Barbadian Runner 10-1 1st $5.80

Race 9:

#3 Ruth 3-1 28 2nd $3.40
#6 The Goddess Factor 10-1 27
#2 Frosted Dreams 6-1 26 scratched
#1 Just Be You 4-1 26 scratched

Race 10:

#4 Kantknowitall 3-1 26
#2 Captain Quick 6-1 25
#6 Levee Was Dry 5-1 24
#5 Point Liam 7-2 24

Dirt Selections

#6 Levee Was Dry 5-1 1st $4.00
#5 Point Liam 7-2 3rd $2.20
#7 Jerry’s Turn 5-1 4th
#9 Toomuchaintenough 9-2

Race 11:

#3 J J Valentin 2-1 25
#8 Betta Go Go Go 5-2 24
#2 Mackville 8-1 24
#1 My Kid Syd 3-1 23

Monmouth Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 5,6,1,8 Dirt: 1,7,8,9

Race 2: 3,4,2

Race 3: 2,3

Race 4: 7,8,5,1 Dirt: 10,6,5

Race 5: 3,9,8 *9 scratched using 3,8,4

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 3,4,2,1

Race 3: 2,3

Race 4: 7,8,5,1 Dirt: 10,6,5

Race 5: 3,9,8,4

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4: 7,8,5,1 Dirt: 10,6,5

Race 5: 3,9,8 *9 scratched using 3,8,4

Race 6: 5,9,3,4 Dirt: 3,5,4,6

Race 7: 4,1

Race 8: 7,5,1 Dirt: 8,1,3

$.50 Ticket: $144

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5: 3,9,8,4

Race 6: 5,9,3,4 Dirt: 3,5,4,6

Race 7: 4,1

Race 8: 7,5,1,2 Dirt: 8,1,3

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 6: 5,9,3,4 Dirt: 3,5,4,6

Race 7: 4,1,2,6

Race 8: 7,5 Dirt: 8,1

Race 9: 3,6,2,1

Race 10: 4,2,6 Dirt: 6,5,7

Race 11: 3,8

$.20 Ticket: $153.60

Late Pick 5:

Race 7: 4,1

Race 8: 7,5,1,2 Dirt: 8,1,3

Race 9: 3,6,2,1

Race 10: 4,2,6,5 Dirt: 6,5,7,9

Race 11: 3,8

$.50 Ticket: $128

Late Pick 4:

Race 8: 7,5,1,2 Dirt: 8,1,3

Race 9: 3,6,2,1

Race 10: 4,2,6,5 Dirt: 6,5,7,9

Race 11: 3,8

$.50 Ticket: $64

Churchill Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#2 Cromwell 3-1 20 scratched
#5 Chillax 8-5 19 scratched
#7 Start Mo Up 10-1 18 4th
#4 Excite 5-1 18 1st $5.28

Race 2:

#3 Morello 9-2 29
#5 M B’s Munning 5-1 28
#12 Lightning Struck 10-1 27 2nd $7.22
#2 Pay Zone 12-1 27

Race 3:

#6 Simone 8-1 17 3rd $3.20
#1 Mo’ Em Down 6-1 16 scratched
#9 Topic Thunder 5-1 16 scratched
#3 Quick Sand 9-2 15 1st $7.34

Race 4:

#9 Merry Madison 4-1 18 4th
#4 Kapoor 7-2 17 1st $4.58
#1 Putonahappyface 10-1 17 scratched
#6 Crimsonite 10-1 16 scratched

Race 5:

#11 Overcome Adversity 8-1 32 scratched
#6 Clicquot 5-2 32 1st $6.70
#7 Heavenly Sunset 7-2 31 2nd $3.34 Ex $19.82
#2 Tetiaroa 3-1 31

Race 6:

#7 World Record 3-1 39 2nd $3.42
#6 Skelly 7-5 38
#3 Giant Mischief 4-1 36 3rd $2.36
#1 Champlin 6-1 34 scratched

Race 7:

#1 Tomasello 5-1 32 3rd $6.06
#3 Scipio 7-2 31 4th
#2 Discreet Dancer 10-1 30
#8 Early Adopter (GB) 3-1 29

Race 8:

#3 Royal Spa 10-1 34 1st $28.78
#6 Alpine Princess 6-1 33 3rd $3.72
#7 Gin Gin 7-2 32 2nd $4.64 Tri $487.76
#1 Where’s My Ring 5-2 31

Race 9:

#5 Lagynos 9-2 36 3rd $2.94
#9 Brilliant Berti 7-2 35 2nd $3.42
#8 Mercante 3-1 34 1st $8.90 Tri $92.72
#6 Call Protection 8-1 33

Race 10:

#3 Antiquarian 15-1 41 2nd $9.34
#2 Alexander Helios 6-1 40
#9 Post Time 3-1 39 3rd $2.94
#8 Banishing 9-2 38

Race 11:

#7 Lush Lips (GB) 3-1 33
#3 Aterradora (IRE) 20-1 32
#2 Hereforagoodtime 6-1 31
#5 Classic Q 5-2 30

Churchill Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 2,5 *2,5 scratched using 7,4,1,8

Race 2: 3,5

Race 3: 6,1,9,3 *1,9 scratched using 6,3,4,12

Race 4: 9,4

Race 5: 11,6,7,2 *11 scratched using 6,7,2,12

$.50 Ticket: $64

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 3,5,12,2

Race 3: 6,1,9,3 *1,9 scratched using 6,3,4,12

Race 4: 9,4,1,6 *1,6 scratched using 9,4,7,10

Race 5: 11,6,7 *11 scratched using 6,7,2

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4: 9,4,1,6 *1,6 scratched using 9,4,7,10

Race 5: 11,6,7,2 *11 scratched using 6,7,2,12

Race 6: 7,6,3

Race 7: 1,3

Race 8: 3,6,7,1

$.50 Ticket: $192

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5: 11,6,7,2 *11 scratched using 6,7,2,12

Race 6: 7,6,3

Race 7: 1,3,2,8

Race 8: 3,6,7,1

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 6:

Race 6: 7,6,3

Race 7: 1,3,2,8

Race 8: 3,6,7,1

Race 9: 5,9

Race 10: 3,2,9

Race 11: 7,3,2,5 *7 scratched using 3,2,5,6

$.20 Ticket: $230.40

Late Pick 5:

Race 7: 1,3,2,8

Race 8: 3,6,7,1

Race 9: 5,9

Race 10: 3,2,9

Race 11: 7,3,2,5 *7 scratched using 3,2,5,6

$.50 Ticket: $192

Late Pick 4:

Race 8: 3,6,7,1

Race 9: 5,9,8

Race 10: 3,2,9

Race 11: 7,3,2,5 *7 scratched using 3,2,5,6

$.50 Ticket: $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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