November 1st, Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,621/24,132 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 11,116/24,132. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Del Mar Breeders Cup Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#5 Derek’s Law 2-1 27 1st $8.60
#7 Spirit Dragon 4-1 26 3rd $2.44
#6 Tapwrits Temper 6-1 26 4th
#2 Prince of Dance 3-1 25

Race 2:

#6 Burninhunkoflove 2-1 28
#7 Amundson 5-2 27 2nd $4.64
#3 Dot’s Dollar 6-1 26
#5 Bold Victory 15-1 25 1st $41.42

Race 3:

#3 Wit Storm 3-1 16 3rd $2.10
#8 First Blessing 9-2 15 4th
#7 Life Is Gravy (IRE) 4-1 15 1st $5.60
#2 Mystic Isle 8-1 14

Race 4:

#5 Day One Starter 7-5 29 3rd $2.10
#3 My World 9-5 28 1st $8.34
#2 Probably Dreaming 3-1 27 2nd $2.76 Tri $28.60
#1 Tough Guy Tony 7-2 26 4th Spr $44.20

Race 5:

#5 South Philly Slide 6-1 16 2nd $4.06
#10 Bashful Baby 3-1 15 3rd $3.00
#9 Medium Cool 10-1 14
#2 Marajoline 15-1 14

Race 6:

#8 Copious 5-1 18 4th
#2 Life and Times 6-1 17 1st $24.60
#4 Time to Win 8-5 17 3rd $2.26
#3 Salvation 15-1 16 2nd $10.56 Spr $1,731.60

Race 7:

#4 Annexperience 4-1 30 2nd $4.84
#8 El de Larry 5-2 29
#10 Mo Kreesa 8-1 28
#1 Amplitude 7-2 27 4th

Race 8:

#6 Ranger Battalion 5-2 29 2nd $3.78
#4 Wistucky 8-1 28
#3 Shattuck 6-1 27 3rd $4.28
#9 Uncle Jim 7-2 26 4th

Race 9:

#3 Outlaw Kid 5-2 34 4th
#8 Niagara Skyline 6-1 33
#4 Fierce and Strong 5-1 32 2nd $8.16
#7 Dancing Buck 7-2 31 1st $11.70

Race 10:

#11 Retouch (FR) 5-2 AE 31 scratched
#10 Capital Hill 8-5 30 1st $5.84
#1 Favorable Scenario 7-2 29 2nd $3.42 Ex $22.14
#7 Ohio Joe 20-1 28 4th
#3 Brit’s Wit 8-1 28

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 5,7,6,2

Race 2: 6,7

Race 3: 3,8,7

Race 4: 5,3,2

Race 5: 5,10,9,2

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 6,7

Race 3: 3,8,7,2

Race 4: 5,3,2

Race 5: 5,10,9,2

$.50 Ticket: $48

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 3,8,7,2

Race 4: 5,3

Race 5: 5,10,9,2

Race 6: 8,2,4

Race 7: 4,8

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 5,3,2

Race 5: 5,10,9,2

Race 6: 8,2,4

Race 7: 4,8

$.50 Ticket: $36

Pick 6:

Race 5: 5,10,9,2

Race 6: 8,2,4

Race 7: 4,8

Race 8: 6

Race 9: 3,8,4

Race 10: 11,10,1 *11 scratched using 10,1,7

$1.00 Ticket: $216

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 8,2,4

Race 7: 4,8,10,1

Race 8: 6,4,3

Race 9: 3,8,4

Race 10: 11,10 *11 scratched using 10,1

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 4,8,10,1

Race 8: 6,4,3,9

Race 9: 3,8,4

Race 10: 11,10,1 *11 scratched using 10,1,7

$.50 Ticket: $72

Del Mar Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#12 Twirling Point 5-1 31 scratched
#6 Kansas Cat (ARG) 6-1 30 2nd $3.40
#3 Suchet (FR) 7-2 29 1st $10.40 Ex $35.20
#5 Monterey Bay 10-1 28

Race 2:

#8 Modus Bestia 3-1 32 1st $6.20
#3 Wayne the Brain 10-1 31
#12 Red Flag 6-1 31 4th
#10 Comedy Town 10-1 30 2nd $11.40

Race 3:

#5 Medoro 6-1 36 3rd $2.80
#9 Breath Away (GB) 8-1 35 2nd $8.60
#3 Special Wan (IRE) 2-1 34 1st $5.20 Tri $174
#2 Deep Satin 7-2 33

Race 4: BC Filly & Mare Sprint

#8 Hope Road 4-1 41 *Best Bet 3rd $2.10
#2 Splendora 8-1 39 1st $7.80
#6 Sweet Azteca 2-1 38 scratched
#4 Tamara 7-2 37 scratched

Race 5: BC Turf Sprint

#8 Ag Bullet 4-1 41 2nd $7.00
#1 Motorious (GB) 7-2 40
#6 Governor Sam 15-1 39
#2 Reef Runner 6-1 38 4th

Race 6: BC Sprint

#10 Bentornato 5-2 44 1st $5.40
#7 Imagination 6-1 43 2nd $7.00 Ex $38.20
#1 Kopion 7-2 42
#12 Straight No Chaser 8-1 41

Race 7: BC Distaff

#12 Dorth Vader 5-1 42
#8 Seismic Beauty 9-5 41
#3 Clicquot 10-1 40 4th
#7 Gin Gin 12-1 39

Race 8: BC Turf

#7 Silawi (IRE) 30-1 43
#10 El Cordobes (IRE) 15-1 42 3rd $10.00
#1 Rebel’s Romance (IRE) 5-2 42 2nd $4.60
#8 Minnie Hauk (IRE) 8-5 41

Race 9: BC Classic

#1 Fierceness 4-1 46 3rd $3.40
#9 Journalism 10-1 45 4th
#10 Antiquarian 15-1 44
#7 Sierra Leone 8-1 43 2nd $4.60

Race 10: BC Mile

#2 Notable Speech (GB) 5-2 42 1st $7.20
#11 Rhetorical 5-1 41 4th
#7 Johannes 8-1 40
#8 Formidable Man 10-1 40 2nd $13.60

Race 11: BC Dirt Mile

#3 Nysos 8-5 44 1st $3.40
#4 Mystik Dan 6-1 42 scratched
#6 Full Serrano (ARG) 7-2 41
#2 Goal Oriented 6-1 40

Race 12: BC Filly & Mare Turf

#4 Village Voice (GB) 15-1 39
#13 She Feels Pretty 4-1 39
#6 Diamond Rain (GB) 6-1 38
#12 Bellezza (IRE) 20-1 37

Del Mar Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 12,6,3

Race 2: 8,3,12,10

Race 3: 5,9,3,2

Race 4: 8,2,6

Race 5: 8,1

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 8,3,12,10

Race 3: 5,9,3,2

Race 4: 8,2,6,4

Race 5: 8,1

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 8,2,6

Race 5: 8,1,6,2

Race 6: 10,7,1

Race 7: 12,8,3,7

$.50 Ticket: $72

All Dirt Pick 4:

Race 4: 8,2,6,4

Race 6: 10,7,1,12

Race 7: 12,8

Race 9: 1,9,10,7

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5: 8,1,6,2

Race 6: 10,7,1

Race 7: 12,8,3

Race 8: 7,10,1,8

Race 9: 1,9,10

$.50 Ticket: $216

All Turf Pick 4:

Race 5: 8,1,6,2

Race 8: 7,10,1,8

Race 10: 2,11,7

Race 12: 4,13,6,12

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6: 10,7,1,12

Race 7: 12,8

Race 8: 7,10,1,8

Race 9: 1,9,10,7

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 4 (7-10):

Race 7: 12,8,3,7

Race 8: 7,10,1,8

Race 9: 1,9,10,7

Race 10: 2,11,7

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 6:

Race 7: 12,8

Race 8: 7,10,1,8

Race 9: 1,9,10

Race 10: 2,11,7

Race 11: 3

Race 12: 4,13,6

$1.00 Ticket: $216

Late Pick 5:

Race 8: 7,10,1,8

Race 9: 1,9,10,7

Race 10: 2,11,7

Race 11: 3,4

Race 12: 4,13,6,12

$.50 Ticket: $192

Late Pick 4:

Race 9: 1,9,10,7

Race 10: 2,11,7,8

Race 11: 3,4,6

Race 12: 4,13,6,12

$.50 Ticket: $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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