A Winning Day at the Races!

November 26th , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 10,055/15,305, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6,778/15,305. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Picks/Plays will be posted here on the Free Page through the Holiday Weekend….

Happy Thanksgiving!!

*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#9 Bail Out 2-1                            16
#11 Ember 4-1                             15
#4 Sutton Valley 10-1                 15
#2 Victory Anthem 8-1              14

Dirt Selections

#10 Viking Zim 6-1 3rd $2.60
#6 Arrowheart 10-1
#4 Sutton Valley 10-1 4th
#3 Sonic Speed 12-1

Race 2 :

#5 Profusion 5-2                          27 1st $4.50
#3 Ouch Ouch Ouch 12-1          26
#10 Coach Babe 15-1                  25 scratched
#6 Western Advantage 6-1        25

Race 3 :

#4 Flanigan’s Cove 7-2               29 1st $7.20 Dbl $25.20
#3 L’Indiscret 5-1                        29 scratched
#7 Mezcal 2-1                               28 2nd $3.00 Ex $19.20
#5 Federalist Papers 3-1             28 3rd $2.60 Tri $67.48

Race 4 :

#4 Flower Point 7-5                    33 1st $3.30
#6 Platinum Paynter 9-2           32 scratched
#3 Giacosa 7-2                              31 2nd $2.70
#1 Speaktomeofsummer 5-2     30 Pk 3 $44.40

Race 5 :

#3 Big Brown Shoes 5-1             28 4th
#5 Seven Lilies 5-2                      27 1st $7.30
#8 Big Castle 8-1                          27
#6 Lookin for Trouble 3-1          26 2nd $4.60

Race 6 :

#5 Tough Street 2-1                     19
#6 Noli Temere 3-1                      17
#3 Admire My Crown 6-1            16
#9 Coolcatsnkittens 6-1              15

Dirt Selections

#16 True Empress 3-1 3rd $3.00
#15 Carbon 9-2 4th
#5 Tough Street 2-1 2nd $2.90
#13 Frosty Invasion 8-1

Race 7 :

#3 Jerusalem Gates 7-2               28
#8 Horn of Plenty 4-1                  27 3rd $3.90
#2 Run Casper Run 15-1             26
#1 Quickflash 3-1                         26 4th

Race 8 :

#6 Never Surprised 4-5                34 1st $3.40
#8 Monition 9-2                            32
#5 Ocala Dream 6-1                      31 4th
#3 Original 8-1                              30

Race 9 :

#5 Played Hard 3-1                        33 2nd $3.40
#4 Crazy Beautiful 3-1                  32 3rd $2.20
#1 Hybrid Eclipse 20-1                  31
#2 Ninetypercentbrynn 30-1       30

Race 10 :

#5 South Sea 9-2                            30
#6 Montauk Daddy 7-2                  29
#9 Bourbon Mission 6-1                28
#1 Smile Bryan 9-2                         27

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  9,11,4,2 Dirt : 10,6,4,3 x

Race 2 :  5,3,10,6 5

Race 3 :  4,3,7 *3 scratched using 4,7,5 4

Race 4 :  4 4

Race 5 :  3,5,8 5

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  5,3,10,6 5

Race 3 :  4,3,7,5 4

Race 4 :  4,6,3 4

Race 5 :  3,5,8 5

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Pick 6 :

Race 5 :  3,5,8 5

Race 6 :  5,6 Dirt : 16,15 x

Race 7 :  3,8 x

Race 8 :  6 6

Race 9 :  5,4 x

Race 10 : 5,6,9

$1.00 Ticket :  $72

Late Pick 5 :

Race 6 :  5,6,3 Dirt : 16,15,5 x

Race 7 :  3,8,2,1 x

Race 8 :  6,8,5 1st

Race 9 :  5,4 x

Race 10 : 5,6

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Late Pick 4 :

Race 7 :  3,8,2,1 x

Race 8 :  6,8,5,3 6

Race 9 :  5,4,1,2 x

Race 10 : 5,6,9

$.50 Ticket :  $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 


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