November 6th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,559/17,649, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,991/17,649. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*We had 8 on top winners on Saturday’s Keeneland/Breeders Cup Card

*Sunday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#6 Tall Girl 9-5 19 1st $6.20
#9 Cookie Crumbs 4-1 18
#7 Words of Praise 6-1 18 2nd $4.70
#8 Addressable Market 3-1 17 4th

Race 2:

#1 Mercante 2-1 19
#3 Sixwillberich 9-2 18 4th
#6 Youbetterbejoking 6-1 17 1st $10.00
#2 Kool Kathmandu 7-2 17 3rd $3.90

Race 3:

#6 Rosie’s Alibi 7-2 28 3rd $2.10
#4 Good Sam 4-5 28 1st $3.00
#1 Crypto Mama 8-1 27
#3 Foggy Night 4-1 27 2nd $5.10

Race 4:

#1 Fly Right 6-1 19 3rd $3.20
#2 Confronted 3-1 18 scratched
#9 Ari Gold 9-2 18 1st $9.50
#5 Scramble 7-2 17 2nd $2.90 Tri $85.48

Race 5:

#4 Smokin’ Hot Kitty 6-1 28 2nd $6.90
#9 Hope for the Best 8-1 27
#11 Union Dolly 8-1 27 1st $16.00
#8 Diva Ready 6-1 26

Race 6:

#3 War Stopper 7-2 33
#5 Founder 9-2 32
#8 Kinetic Sky 3-1 31 1st $12.60
#6 Nabokov 4-1 31 2nd $3.60

Race 7:

#8 Tapit Trice 3-1 20 3rd $4.50
#4 Cascais 5-1 19 1st $10.20
#1 Ohana Honor 9-5 19 4th
#7 McCullough 4-1 18

Race 8:

#6 Saratoga Chrome 5-1 28
#7 New Ginya 2-1 27 2nd $3.00
#3 Waterville 9-5 27 3rd $2.90
#1 Tapple Cider 12-1 26

Race 9:

#3 Signator 6-5 32 scratched
#1 Full Moon Madness 2-1 31 2nd $2.30
#4 Champions Dream 3-1 29 1st $4.70
#6 American Speed 8-1 28 4th

Race 10:

#7 Most Wanted Man 3-1 18
#3 More Than Work 7-2 18 scratched
#5 What a Dude 2-1 17 1st $4.20
#11 On Palm Sunday 10-1 16 4th

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 6,9,7,8 6

Race 2: 1,3,6,2 6

Race 3: 6,4 4

Race 4: 1,2,9 *2 scratched using 1,9,5 9

Race 5: 4,9,11 11

$.50 Ticket: $144 $1044.25

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 1,3,6,2 6

Race 3: 6,4 4

Race 4: 1,2,9,5 *2 scratched using 1,9,5,7 9

Race 5: 4,9,11,8 11

$.50 Ticket: $64 $194.50

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 1,2,9,5 *2 scratched using 1,9,5,7 9

Race 5: 4,9,11,8 11

Race 6: 3,5,8 8

Race 7: 8,4,1 4

$.50 Ticket: $72 $702

Pick 6:

Race 5: 4,9,11,8 11

Race 6: 3,5,8 8

Race 7: 8,4,1 4

Race 8: 6,7 x

Race 9: 3 *3 scratched using 1 x

Race 10: 7,3,5 *3 scratched using 7,5,11 5

$1.00 Ticket: $216

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 3,5,8,6 8

Race 7: 8,4,1 4

Race 8: 6,7,3,1 x

Race 9: 3,1 x

Race 10: 7,3,5 *3 scratched using 7,5,11 5

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 8,4,1 4

Race 8: 6,7,3,1 x

Race 9: 3,1,4 4

Race 10: 7,3,5 *3 scratched using 7,5,11 5

$.50 Ticket: $54

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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