A Winning Day at the Races!

November 10th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,567/17,659, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,994/17,659. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Pardon Moi 7-2                       20 4th
#4 Biloxi Blues 9-2                       20 3rd $2.40
#3 Contrive 2-1                             19 scratched
#6 Undervalued Asset 5-2           19 1st $3.50

Race 2:

#7 Greeley and Ben 3-5                32 1st $2.30
#3 Winning Drive 8-1                   29 4th
#6 Scilly Cay 5-2                            29 3rd $2.10
#5 Easy Day 8-1                              28 2nd $3.00

Race 3:

#6 Blue Paynt 7-2                          28 2nd $4.00
#5 Girl of Tosconova 3-1              27 3rd $3.00
#1 Vegas Weekend 2-1                  27 4th
#2 Suspended Campaign 5-1       26 scratched

Race 4:

#7 Super Quality 6-1                      14 4th
#5 Grand Again 15-1                      13
#6 Sean the Hammer 5-2               12
#3 He’sgottashortfuse 5-1             11 1st $22.20

Race 5:

#5 Lucky Mucho Man 5-2              26
#3 Amedeus Music 7-2                   25
#6 Jay’stalker 5-1                             24 1st $20.20
#2 Bourbon’s Hope 5-1                   24 2nd $4.40

Race 6:

#1a Atone 7-5                                    35 1st $3.40
#1 Glynn County 7-5                        34
#3 Dreams of Tomorrow 8-1           33 3rd $4.80
#4 Value Engineering 7-2                32

Race 7:

#2 Simple Sugar 12-1                        25
#9 Ice Cold Cold 8-1                          24 2nd $4.30
#8 Keen Dancer 5-1                           24 1st $26.40
#5 Sweeter 4-1                                    23

Race 8:

#5 Jill’s a Hot Mess 6-1                     30 scratched
#6 Palace Gossip 9-2                         29 1st $10.40
#1 Derrynane 5-2                               29 4th
#3 Towering Orbit 7-2                       28

Race 9:

#6 Celestial Moon 5-1                       19
#7 Indemnify (FR) 7-5                       19 4th
#5 Siege of Boston 5-2                       18 1st $4.90
#8 Aruba 5-1                                        17 3rd $3.40

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,4,3,6 *3 scratched using 5,4,6,2 6

Race 2:  7

Race 3:  6,5,1 x

Race 4:  7,5,6,3 3

Race 5:  5,3 x

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  7

Race 3:  6,5,1,2 x

Race 4:  7,5,6,3 3

Race 5:  5,3,6,2 6

$.50 Ticket:  $32

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  6,5,1 x

Race 4:  7,5,6,3 3

Race 5:  5,3,6 6

Race 6:  1a/1 1a

$.50 Ticket:  $18

Pick 6:

Race 4:  7,5,6,3 3

Race 5:  5,3 x

Race 6:  1a/1 1a

Race 7:  2,9,8,5 

Race 8:  5,6,1 *5 scratched using 6,1,3 6

Race 9:  6,7 x

$1.00 Ticket:  $192

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  5,3,6,2 6

Race 6:  1a/1 1a

Race 7:  2,9,8,5 8

Race 8:  5,6,1,3 6

Race 9:  6,7,5 5

$.50 Ticket:  $96 $2250.50

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  1a/1 1a

Race 7:  2,9,8,5 8

Race 8:  5,6,1,3 6

Race 9:  6,7,5 5

$.50 Ticket:  $24 $105.87

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 


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