October 11th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,549/24,009 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 11,067/24,009. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*5 on top winners last Saturday at Keeneland…

*No Aqueduct Picks/Plays Sunday with cancellation likely…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Keeneland Picks/Plays below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#2 Royal Riddle 9-5 16 3rd $2.26
#4 Top Player 3-1 15 1st $4.80
#5 Pride of the Union 5-2 14 2nd $3.04 Tri $36.20
#3 Hurricane Kaz 6-1 14

Race 2:

#5 Loco Abarrio 5-2 30 4th
#3 Ten Cent Town 9-5 29
#4 Great Richie M 6-1 28 3rd $3.82
#6 Gatsby 4-1 27 1st $13.40

Race 3:

#3 True Legend 9-5 17 4th
#7 Chummers 5-2 16 1st $11.24
#8 Kid Rich 4-1 15
#4 Brilliant Fury 8-1 15

Race 4:

#2 Major Dude 1-1 35 1st $3.46
#6 Big Everest (GB) 2-1 33
#5 Horsepower 6-1 33 3rd $3.30
#1 Lucky Score 12-1 32 scratched

Race 5:

#5 Noguchi 6-5 16
#4 Shadow Surge 5-2 15 1st $7.02
#3 Seeker’s Hope 6-1 14 4th
#2 How About It 15-1 14 3rd $10.00

Race 6:

#1 Palace Boss 2-1 29
#7 Land d’Oro 9-2 28 1st $15.24
#4 Aggregation 5-2 28 2nd $4.10
#2 Refuah 10-1 27 3rd $4.50

Race 7:

#4 Miztertonic 6-1 32 4th
#8 Leon Blue 9-2 31
#2 Sounds Like a Plan 7-2 31 1st $5.28
#3 Cable Ready 8-1 30 2nd $9.74

Race 8:

#8 He’s Got This 3-1 29 3rd $3.82
#1 Laughing Boy 6-1 28
#10 Coinage 5-1 27
#6 Goodluckchuck 4-1 26 2nd $5.44

Race 9:

#8 Burning Glory 2-1 34 2nd $2.74
#3 Tuscan Gold 3-1 33
#7 V Cruizer 10-1 31 1st $19.68
#6 Buttah 6-1 30 scratched

Race 10:

#5 Pop Idol 4-1 33
#2 Love Cervere 5-2 32 1st $6.76
#10 Annascaul 5-1 31
#4 Me Governor 6-1 31

Race 11:

#7 Annexperience 7-2 31 scratched
#5 El de Larry 5-2 30 2nd $3.26
#3 Zapruder 8-1 29
#1 Mo Kreesa 6-1 28

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 2,4,5

Race 2: 5,3

Race 3: 3,7,8

Race 4: 2,6

Race 5: 5,4

$.50 Ticket: $36

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 5,3,4,6 6

Race 3: 3,7,8 7

Race 4: 2,6 2

Race 5: 5,4 4

$.50 Ticket: $24 $97.98

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 3,7,8,4 7

Race 4: 2,6 2

Race 5: 5,4 4

Race 6: 1,7,4 7

Race 7: 4,8,2 2

$.50 Ticket: $72 $391.04

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 2,6 2

Race 5: 5,4,3 4

Race 6: 1,7,4 7

Race 7: 4,8,2 2

$.50 Ticket: $27 $78.92

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5: 5,4

Race 6: 1,7,4

Race 7: 4,8,2

Race 8: 8,1,10

Race 9: 8,3

$.50 Ticket: $54

Pick 6:

Race 6: 1,7,4

Race 7: 4,8,2

Race 8: 8,1

Race 9: 8

Race 10: 5,2

Race 11: 7,5 *7 scratched using 5,3

$1.00 Ticket: $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 7: 4,8,2

Race 8: 8,1,10

Race 9: 8,3

Race 10: 5,2

Race 11: 7,5 *7 scratched using 5,3

$.50 Ticket: $36

Late Pick 4:

Race 8: 8,1,10

Race 9: 8,3

Race 10: 5,2,10

Race 11: 7,5 *7 scratched using 5,3

$.50 Ticket: $18

Keeneland Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#8 Cielo 9-2 17
#10 Fitzgerald 10-1 16
#5 Don’t Even 4-1 15
#2 Gnome 7-2 14 4th

Race 2:

#8 Kunan 5-2 28 1st $7.84
#4 Megastar 10-1 27
#6 Focusyn 4-1 26 scratched
#5 Chance 3-1 26

Race 3:

#7 Rancho Santa Fe 2-1 29 1st $6.60 Dbl $20.06
#5 Infiltrate 7-2 28 2nd $2.92 Ex $15.58
#3 Grand Mahogany 9-2 27 3rd $5.48 Tri $71.24
#2 Vamos Ya 6-1 27

Race 4:

#4 Sleepingonfreedom 7-2 16 1st $3.68 Dbl $15.10
#12 State of Attack 6-1 15 Pk 3 $55.52
#9 Race Ready 8-1 15 scratched
#2 Non Conforming 9-2 14 3rd $5.60

Race 5:

#5 Lady Jancis 9-2 18 4th
#6 Belle of Liberty 6-1 17
#10 Triskelion 5-2 17 3rd $2.52
#1 Nelson’s Penny 10-1 16

Race 6:

#8 Hillerito 9-5 33 2nd $3.08
#7 Easy Red 9-2 32 scratched
#5 One Magic Philly 3-1 31 1st $4.68 Ex $11.88
#2 Marmalade Skye 10-1 30 3rd $2.82 Tri $41.44

Race 7:

#7 Warlander 6-1 32 2nd $4.68
#3 Valentinian 4-1 31
#6 Chapman’s Peak 5-1 30 1st $5.92
#5 Johny’s Rendezvous 9-2 30 3rd $4.34

Race 8:

#8 Anakarina 5-1 30 scratched
#1 Stilettos 4-1 29 1st $6.08
#9 Gin’s Beach Road 3-1 28 4th
#3 Mega Mil 10-1 27

Race 9:

#9 Fionn 3-1 36 4th
#2 Laurelin (IRE) 5-2 35 2nd $3.48
#6 Candy Quest 12-1 34
#5 Opulent Restraint 4-1 33 3rd $5.26

Race 10:

#9 Countthebrave 4-1 30
#6 Uncle William 8-1 29
#1 Did It Dialed 8-1 28
#2 Remi’s Moon 6-1 28

Keeneland Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 8,10,5,2

Race 2: 8,4,6,5 *5 scratched using 8,4,6,7

Race 3: 7,5

Race 4: 4,12,9 *9 scratched using 4,12,2

Race 5: 5,6,10

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 8,4,6,5 *5 scratched using 8,4,6,7

Race 3: 7,5,3

Race 4: 4,12,9,2 *9 scratched using 4,12,2,5

Race 5: 5,6,10

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 6:

Race 5: 5,6,10

Race 6: 8

Race 7: 7,3,6

Race 8: 8,1,9 *8 scratched using 1,9,3

Race 9: 9,2

Race 10: 9

$1.00 Ticket: $54

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 8,7,5

Race 7: 7,3,6,5

Race 8: 8,1,9 *8 scratched using 1,9,3

Race 9: 9,2

Race 10: 9,6,1

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 7,3,6,5

Race 8: 8,1,9 *8 scratched using 1,9,3

Race 9: 9,2

Race 10: 9,6,1,2

$.50 Ticket: $48

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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