October 18, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,571/24,047 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 11,084/24,047. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Keeneland Picks/Plays below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#6 The Big Calhouna 8-5 33 4th
#1 Despo’s Dream 4-1 32 scratched
#2 Grammy Girl 3-1 32 1st $5.68
#4 Problematica 8-1 31 scratched

Race 2:

#3 Acoustic Ave 1-1 34 2nd $2.86
#1 Goodasiwonswas 7-2 32
#6 Barksdale 8-1 31 3rd $5.32
#4 Tizmarkus 9-2 30

Race 3:

#3 Systematic Change 7-2 32 4th
#6 Double Your Money 8-5 31 1st $3.98
#1 Love Me Not 9-2 31 2nd $3.42
#4 Curlin’s Malibu 3-1 30 3rd $2.62

Race 4:

#1 Pens Street 7-2 28 3rd $3.02
#8 Lika Rolling Stone 8-1 27 2nd $11.22
#5 Mursal 9-2 26 1st $8.22 Tri $174.12
#3 Jackie the Joker 4-1 25

Race 5:

#1 Collaboration 6-1 29 3rd $2.56
#7 Fantasy Performer 9-2 28
#2 Tour Jete 7-2 27 2nd $4.46
#5 Tuck Check 6-1 27

Race 6:

#4 Master of Arms 5-2 33
#5 Fielding 10-1 32 scratched
#3 J D Factor 3-1 31 3rd $3.66
#9 Takeschargesmiling 10-1 30 2nd $5.74

Race 7:

#4 Griselda (FR) 6-1 34
#5 Ready for Candy 2-1 33 1st $4.38
#7 Paradise City 4-1 32
#6 Pretty Picture 7-2 32 3rd $4.40

Race 8:

#1 Live High Live Low 5-2 31
#4 Shefflin 9-2 30
#5 Vacation Dance 4-1 30
#3 Devil in Disguise 6-1 29

Race 9:

#4 Bramito 6-1 33
#6 Emirates Road 7-2 33
#1 Princetown 10-1 32
#3 Dr. Kraft 10-1 32

Race 10:

#10 Walley World 9-2 34
#8 Clear Conscience 12-1 33
#7 Fuerteventura 6-1 33
#6 Risk Manager 4-1 32

Race 11:

#10 Blossoming Erudite 5-1 30
#6 Cynane 5-2 29
#2 Linarite 10-1 28
#8 Sol Hope 9-2 28

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 6,1,2

Race 2: 3

Race 3: 3,6

Race 4: 1,8,5,3

Race 5: 1,7,2,5

$.50 Ticket: $48

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 3,1

Race 3: 3,6,1,4

Race 4: 1,8,5

Race 5: 1,7,2

$.50 Ticket: $36

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 3,6

Race 4: 1,8,5,3

Race 5: 1,7,2

Race 6: 4,5,3 *5 scratched using 4,3,9

Race 7: 4,5,7

$.50 Ticket: $108

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 1,8,5,3

Race 5: 1,7,2,5

Race 6: 4,5,3 *5 scratched using 4,3,9

Race 7: 4,5,7

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5: 1,7,2,5

Race 6: 4,5,3 *5 scratched using 4,3,9

Race 7: 4,5,7

Race 8: 1,4,5

Race 9: 4,6

$.50 Ticket: $108

Pick 6:

Race 6: 4,5,3 *5 scratched using 4,3,9

Race 7: 4,5

Race 8: 1

Race 9: 4,6

Race 10: 10,8,7

Race 11: 10,6

$1.00 Ticket: $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 7: 4,5,7,6

Race 8: 1,4,5

Race 9: 4,6,1,3

Race 10: 10,8,7

Race 11: 10,6

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 8: 1,4,5

Race 9: 4,6

Race 10: 10,8,7,6

Race 11: 10,6,2,8

$.50 Ticket: $48

Keeneland Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#6 Indy Magic 3-1 32 1st $4.82
#1 Play the Trumpet 4-1 31 4th
#5 Magnolia Midnight 2-1 31
#2 Mena 12-1 30 3rd $4.48

Race 2:

#1 Outlaw Empire 4-1 16 4th
#9 Section 8-1 15
#4 Flat Rock Road 10-1 14
#10 Project Ace 6-1 14 2nd $6.42

Race 3:

#4 Private Debbie 6-1 17
#7 Glam Slam 9-5 17
#3 Naughty by Nature 8-1 16
#2 Maximum Offer 15-1 15 3rd $8.08

Race 4:

#4 Necessity 5-2 29 4th
#5 Snowyte 7-2 28 2nd $7.14
#8 Saint Nancy S 12-1 27
#2 Eunomia 8-1 27 1st $20.08

Race 5:

#2 Script 4-1 35 2nd $3.60
#10 Nobals 3-1 34 scratched
#5 Dhabab (IRE) 8-1 33 1st $16.46 Ex $49.18
#7 Determined Kingdom 8-1 32

Race 6:

#5 Captain Cook 6-5 36
#2 Taylor’s Version 6-1 34
#3 Barnes 5-2 33
#4 Owen Almighty 4-1 32

Race 7:

#4 Glow of a Rose 4-1 19
#12 Majestic Moon 12-1 18
#1 Slay the Day 6-1 18
#3 Feeling Groovy 8-1 17

Race 8:

#7 Siege of Boston 9-2 33
#5 Degree of Risk 4-1 32
#9 Genius Jimmy 15-1 31
#1 Theismann 8-1 30

Race 9:

#9 Ragtime 3-1 34
#6 Reputation 15-1 33
#3 Strong State 15-1 32
#8 Usha 9-2 32

Race 10:

#8 Shane’s the Brains 9-2 17
#7 Backgammon 7-2 16
#1 Patron Silver 4-1 15
#2 Treasured Times 8-1 15

Keeneland Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 6,1,5

Race 2: 1,9,4,10

Race 3: 4,7,3

Race 4: 4,5

Race 5: 2,10,5 *10 scratched using 2,5,7

$.50 Ticket: $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 1,9,4,10

Race 3: 4,7,3

Race 4: 4,5

Race 5: 2,10,5,7 *10 scratched using 2,5,7,9

$.50 Ticket: $48

Pick 6:

Race 5: 2,10,5 *10 scratched using 2,5,7

Race 6: 5

Race 7: 4,12,1

Race 8: 7,5

Race 9: 9

Race 10: 8,7,1

$1.00 Ticket: $54

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 5,2,3

Race 7: 4,12,1,3

Race 8: 7,5

Race 9: 9,6,3,8 *6,3 scratched using 9,8,11,7

Race 10: 8,7,1

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 4,12,1,3

Race 8: 7,5

Race 9: 9,6,3,8 *6,3 scratched using 9,8,11,7

Race 10: 8,7,1,2

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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