October 19th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

• October 17, 2024
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,154/21,744 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,016/21,744. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Keeneland Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Bramito 6-1                           33 4th
#2 Locked 4-5                             33 1st $2.80
#7 Costa Terra 7-2                     32
#4 Gun It 9-2                              31 2nd $4.60

Race 2:

#1 Indianquest 5-2                    28
#8 Provision 8-1                         27 scratched 
#6 Smile Mon 3-1                       27 1st $7.20
#4 Whiskey N Soda 4-1             26 scratched

Race 3:

#5 Tiz Dashing 7-2                     29 2nd $2.60
#7 Aviator Gui 3-1                      28 4th
#4 Valuation Metric 5-2            28 1st $7.70
#1 Concord Green 9-2                27 3rd $3.50 Spr $159

Race 4:

#1 Street View 7-2                      17
#12 Purrfect Girl 8-1                  16
#11 True Myth 6-1                      15 3rd $6.60
#8 Underthemistletoe 6-1         15 4th

Race 5:

#2 Whocouldaskformo 5-2       32 scratched
#8 Cinderella’s Cause 9-2         31
#5 Fade to Grey 9-2                    30 4th
#3 Whistler’s Style 15-1            30

Race 6:

#3 Treaty Obligation 3-1          29 1st $9.80
#6 Waitlist 7-2                             28 4th
#8 Screaming Uncle 30-1          27
#2 Ice Time 8-1                           27

Race 7:

#13 Real Savvy 7-2 AE               17 scratched
#6 Deemer 3-1                             16 4th
#7 Calling Card 6-1                     15 2nd $9.00
#9 Sounds Like a Plan 6-1         15 1st $7.30
#8 Trinity River 5-1                    14 3rd $6.10 Spr $540

Race 8:

#6 Mister J T 8-1                         30 3rd $3.60
#4 Secret Rules 7-2                     29 2nd $4.00
#5 Commerce Comet 6-1           28 4th
#1x Dangerous Ride 3-1             28

Race 9:

#7 Wonderful Justice 15-1         30 1st $26.60
#3 McCullough 4-1                      30
#9 Really Good 5-1                      29
#6 Irwin (IRE) 12-1                      28 3rd $6.60

Race 10:

#6 Prerequisite 3-1                      33 2nd $3.30
#2 Spirit And Glory (IRE) 4-1    32
#4 Child of the Moon (FR) 5-1   31 1st $11.00
#3 Edict (ARG) 12-1                     30

Race 11:

#7 First Glimpse 3-1                   28
#6 Mason Mania 4-1                   28 1st $9.10
#1 Winter’s Ghost 5-1                 27
#11 Blake B. 9-2                           26

Race 12:

#3 Leslie’s Humor 3-1                29
#4 Mz Big Bucks 4-1                   28 1st $9.90
#9 Reflexivity (IRE) 8-1              27 2nd $12.20
#7 La Salvadorena 4-1                27 3rd $3.50

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,2,7

Race 2:  1,8,6,4

Race 3:  5,7

Race 4:  1,12,11,8

Race 5:  2,8 *2 scratched using 8,5

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  1,8,6,4

Race 3:  5,7,4,1

Race 4:  1,12,11,8

Race 5:  2,8 *2 scratched using 8,5

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  5,7,4

Race 4:  1,12,11,8

Race 5:  2,8,5 *2 scratched using 8,5,3

Race 6:  3,6

Race 7:  13,6,7 *13 scratched using 6,7,9

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  1,12,11,8

Race 5:  2,8,5 *2 scratched using 8,5,3

Race 6:  3,6,8

Race 7:  13,6,7 *13 scratched using 6,7,9

$.50 Ticket:  $54

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  2,8,5 *2 scratched using 8,5,3

Race 6:  3,6,8,2

Race 7:  13,6,7,9 *13 scratched using 6,7,9,8

Race 8:  6,4

Race 9:  7,3,9

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6:  3,6

Race 7:  13,6,7,9 *13 scratched using 6,7,9,8

Race 8:  6,4,5,1

Race 9:  7,3,9,6

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 7:  13,6,7 *13 scratched using 6,7,9

Race 8:  6,4

Race 9:  7,3,9

Race 10: 6,2

Race 11:  7,6

Race 12:  3

$1.00 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 8:  6,4,5,1

Race 9:  7,3,9,6

Race 10: 6,2

Race 11:  7,6,1

Race 12:  3,4

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 9:  7,3,9,6

Race 10: 6,2,4,3

Race 11:  7,6,1,11

Race 12:  3,4

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Keeneland Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#3 Lil Breezzy 9-2                     18 2nd $6.38
#6 Wisconsin Gal 5-2               17
#1 Mimi’s Grace 10-1               16 3rd $6.12
#2 Keyana 7-2                             16 1st $7.16

Race 2:

#9 Awesome Annmarie 3-1     27 1st $5.74
#8 Always Smiling 2-1              26
#1 Tell Me When 6-1                 25 3rd $2.46
#2 Stand by You 7-2                   25 2nd $4.02

Race 3:

#10 Caribbean Wind 2-1          17
#2 Restore (FR) 5-1                   16 2nd $4.82
#8 Jack’s Promise 6-1               16
#5 Hit That Review (IRE) 3-1  15 1st $4.32

Race 4:

#5 Global Legend 7-2               28
#7 Jack’s Time 8-5                    28 3rd $2.52
#3 Authentic Strike 5-2           27 1st $4.80
#1 Righteous Star 6-1              26 4th

Race 5:

#10 Arrogancy 2-1                     18
#1 Blue Line 8-1                         17 2nd $12.02
#5 Shortstop 4-1                         16 3rd $3.78
#9 Uncle William 7-2                 16 1st $10.30

Race 6:

#10 Fort Warren 8-1                 32
#2 Scoot Daddy 6-1                   31 3rd $3.96
#1 Cape Trafalgar 4-1               31 1st $11.28
#4 Wico (IRE) 3-2                      30 4th

Race 7:

#3 Knightsbridge 3-1                38 3rd $2.12
#10 Locked 7-2                           37 scratched
#5 Book’em Danno 2-1             37 2nd $2.32
#1 Henro 12-1                             35

Race 8:

#12 Taking Candy 7-2               37 scratched
#1 Paros 8-1                                36 1st $7.86
#10 Dripping Gold 3-1              36 3rd $2.6.2
#9 El Kabong 15-1                      35

Race 9:

#3 My Mane Squeeze 4-1        38 2nd $3.96
#5 Emery 7-5                              37 1st $4.50 Ex $15.40
#2 Miuccia 6-1                           36
#1 Fibber 10-1                            35 3rd $3.86

Race 10:

#3 Running Away 9-5               19 3rd $2.86
#2 Judith 10-1                            18
#8 High Breeze (FR) 12-1         17
#6 Take Note of This 9-2          17 2nd $9.44

Keeneland Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  3,6,1,2

Race 2:  9,8

Race 3:  10,2,8,5

Race 4:  5,7,3

Race 5:  10,1,5

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  9,8,1,2

Race 3:  10,2,8,5

Race 4:  5,7

Race 5:  10,1,5,9

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 5:  10

Race 6:  10,2,1,4

Race 7:  3,10,5 *10 scratched using 3,5,1

Race 8:  12,1,10 *12 scratched using 1,10,9

Race 9:  3,5

Race 10: 3

$1.00 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  10,2,1,4

Race 7:  3,10,5 *10 scratched using 3,5,1

Race 8:  12,1,10 *12 scratched using 1,10,9

Race 9:  3,5,2

Race 10: 3,2,8,6

$.50 Ticket:  $216

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  3,10,5 *10 scratched using 3,5,1

Race 8:  12,1,10 *12 scratched using 1,10,9

Race 9:  3,5

Race 10: 3,2,8,6

$.50 Ticket:  $36

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.