October 20th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,167/21,766 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,025/21,766. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Sunday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

*Late Pick 4 yesterday for us…$989.50 on a $64 ticket…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#3 Factor Analysis 2-1 18
#2 Vintage Vino 5-2 18 2nd $3.70
#5 Stop the Press 5-1 17 4th
#4 De La Cruz 7-2 17 3rd $3.80

Race 2:

#2 Princess Becca 2-1 29 1st $6.20
#3 She’s Cool 9-2 28 4th
#1 Bobby Jean 5-1 27 3rd $4.10
#7 Roman Goddess 9-2 27 2nd $4.00 Spr $570

Race 3:

#1 Mangetsu 5-1 29 4th
#3 Opulent Restraint (IRE) 9-5 29 1st $3.50
#6 Grace and Grit 6-1 28
#4 Rare Act 2-1 27 2nd $2.10

Race 4:

#8 Speightful Lily 3-1 31 scratched
#7 True Empress 5-1 29 scratched
#1 Cruise to Catalina 2-1 28 1st $2.50
#3 Maggy’s Palace 9-2 27 2nd $3.30

Race 5:

#8 Backed by Gold 5-2 27 scratched
#9 Ghostly Girl 8-1 26
#6 Icy Reply 9-2 25 3rd $2.80
#3 Hazardous Humor 3-1 25 1st $8.00

Race 6:

#5 Nikki Brainburst 9-2 16
#11 Dance On Air 4-1 15 3rd $3.80
#7 Lu’s Redemption 7-2 14 4th
#1 Corri Felice 3-1 13

Race 7:

#10 National Archive 3-1 19 1st $4.20
#6 Gabby’s Legacy 6-1 18
#7 Saratoga Snow 4-1 18 4th
#8 Leonora’s Secret 6-1 17

Race 8:

#6 Trade Secret 6-1 28 3rd $6.30
#2 Shesalittle Edgy 6-1 27 1st $24.00
#3 Tyrona 6-1 27
#1 Theresasilverlinin 5-2 26 2nd $3.90

Race 9:

#10 Red Burgundy 3-1 30 2nd $3.10
#5 Midnight Concerto 7-2 29 1st $8.90 Ex $36.60
#1 Bobby M’s Girl 8-1 28 3rd $2.30 Tri $65.48
#2 Spirit of Esther 6-1 27 scratched

Race 10:

#5 Long Legged Queen 5-2 17 2nd $3.80
#2 Sherman’s Marlin 8-1 16
#8 Autumn 3-1 15 3rd $2,40
#1 Sinead 15-1 15 1st $14.20

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 3,2,5,4

Race 2: 2,3,1,7

Race 3: 1,3,6,4

Race 4: 8,7 *8,7 scratched using 1,3

Race 5: 8,9

$.50 Ticket: $128

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 2,3,1,7

Race 3: 1,3,6,4

Race 4: 8,7,1 *8,7 scratched using 1,3,4

Race 5: 8,9,6

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 8,7,1 *8,7 scratched using 1,3,4

Race 5: 8,9,6,3

Race 6: 5,11,7

Race 7: 10,6,7

$.50 Ticket: $54

Pick 6:

Race 5: 8

Race 6: 5,11,7

Race 7: 10,6

Race 8: 6,2,3

Race 9: 10,5

Race 10: 5

$.50 Ticket: $36

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 5,11,7,1

Race 7: 10,6,7,8

Race 8: 6,2,3

Race 9: 10,5

Race 10: 5

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 10,6,7,8 10

Race 8: 6,2,3,1 2

Race 9: 10,5 5

Race 10: 5,2,8,1 1

$.50 Ticket: $64 $1,294.50

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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