October 30th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,617/24,122 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 11,113/24,122. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#2 Credit Risk 2-1 16
#1 Never Heather 3-1 15
#7 Grit N Glitter 6-1 14
#3 Daniella Marie 7-2 13

Race 2:

#3 Factory Setting 5-2 17
#7 Magic in My Eyes 9-2 16
#6 Fonzi Angel 6-1 15
#4 Baseball Lady 4-1 15

Race 3:

#7 National Identity 6-5 31
#6 Braciole 15-1 30
#4 Yo Banana Boy 9-2 30
#1 Stewie 6-1 29

Race 4:

#6 R U Bluffing 8-1 16
#9 Margarita Molly 5-2 15
#5 Hot Currency 4-1 15
#1 Absolute Smoke 3-1 14

Race 5:

#10 Lexington Pike 8-1 15
#9 Mr Browns Town 4-1 14
#3 Snickery 5-1 14
#4 The Last Page 8-1 13

Dirt Selections

#10 Lexington Pike 8-1
#9 Mr Browns Town 4-1
#16 The Obliterator 3-1
#13 Mo Spice 5-1
#15 Foolish Mortal 8-1

Race 6:

#4 Saratoga Flash 9-2 29
#7 Best Bet 5-1 28
#2 Hours in a Day 8-1 27
#9 Power Seeker 3-1 26

Race 7:

#9 Collect the Data 6-5 32
#7 Fast and Frisky 9-2 30
#3 Midtown Lights 6-1 29
#4 Royal Bobbie 12-1 28

Race 8:

#8 Tomschickenfingers 6-1 15
#9 Sammy C Note 9-2 14
#1 Until Last Call 15-1 13
#10 Rhyton 8-1 13

Dirt Selections

#14 Poppy’s Ticket 5-2
#16 Chris’s Song 3-1
#15 Alzero 9-2
#8 Tomschickenfingers 6-1

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 2,1,7,3

Race 2: 3,7,6

Race 3: 7,6

Race 4: 6,9,5

Race 5: 10,9,3,4 Dirt: 10,9,16,13

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 5:

Race 2: 3,7,6,4

Race 3: 7,6

Race 4: 6,9,5,1

Race 5: 10,9,3,4 Dirt: 10,9,16,13

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 3: 7

Race 4: 6,9,5

Race 5: 10,9,3 Dirt: 10,9,16

Race 6: 4,7,2,9

Race 7: 9

Race 8: 8,9,1,10 Dirt: 14,16,15,8

$1.00 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 4: 6,9,5,1

Race 5: 10,9,3 Dirt: 10,9,16

Race 6: 4,7

Race 7: 9,7

Race 8: 8,9,1,10 Dirt: 14,16,15,8

$.50 Ticket: $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 5: 10,9,3,4 Dirt: 10,9,16,13

Race 6: 4,7,2,9

Race 7: 9,7

Race 8: 8,9,1,10 Dirt: 14,16,15,8

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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