October 3rd, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,082/21,630 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,960/21,630. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#3 C Suite Boy 4-5 17 2nd $2.70
#5 Liberte de Bayeux 8-1 15 1st $17.00 Ex $51.50
#6 Wild Nugget 5-1 14
#2 Forced Errors 7-2 14 3rd $3.70

Race 2:

#1 Because the Night 8-5 27 2nd $3.70
#6 Arrebato 5-1 26 3rd $3.90
#5 Anthracite 7-5 26
#7 Strong Light 12-1 25 4th

Race 3:

#6 Giroovin 3-1 28 scratched
#8 Ski Country 9-2 27 4th
#4 Allaboutthemoney 10-1 26
#2 First Glimpse 7-2 26 1st $7.60

Race 4:

#7 Salvation 3-1 17
#9 Printer’s Alley 2-1 16 scratched
#3 Mythical Man 6-1 15 1st $8.50
#10 Max N Fifo 10-1 14

Race 5:

#3 Linarite 4-1 28 2nd $3.50
#5 Reflexivity (IRE) 1-1 28 1st $3.40
#2 Sassy Allie 9-2 27
#1 Quick Power Nap 8-1 26

Race 6:

#1 Houlton 3-1 18
#6 Dark Devil 9-5 17
#4 Missouri River 4-1 16
#2 Wajda 5-1 15

Race 7:

#6 Palm Tree 6-1 34
#10 Royal Majesty (GB) 7-2 33
#2 Take Me To Church 5-1 32
#9 Donegal Momentum 9-2 31

Race 8:

#3 Candy Quest 5-1 19
#7 Tam I Am 7-5 19
#6 Not the First Time 8-1 18
#5 Lady Gunner 15-1 17

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 3,5,6,2

Race 2: 1,6,5

Race 3: 6,8,4,2

Race 4: 7,9 *9 scratched using 7,3

Race 5: 3,5

$.50 Ticket: $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 1,6,5

Race 3: 6,8,4,2

Race 4: 7,9 *9 scratched using 7,3

Race 5: 3,5,2

$.50 Ticket: $36

Pick 6:

Race 3: 6,8,4,2

Race 4: 7,9 *9 scratched using 7,3

Race 5: 3,5

Race 6: 1,6

Race 7: 6,10

Race 8: 3,7

$1.00 Ticket: $128

Late Pick 5:

Race 4: 7,9,3 *9 scratched using 7,3,10

Race 5: 3,5,2

Race 6: 1,6,4

Race 7: 6,10,2

Race 8: 3,7

$.50 Ticket: $81

Late Pick 4:

Race 5: 3,5,2

Race 6: 1,6,4,2

Race 7: 6,10,2,9

Race 8: 3,7

$.50 Ticket: $48

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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