A Winning Day at the Races!

October 4th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,087/21,638 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,964/21,638. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

 *Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct Keeneland Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#3 Executive Move 9-5              17 2nd $2.70
#1 Sorority Prank 5-2                16 1st $7.40 Ex $12.40
#6 Humstinger 10-1                   16 scratched
#5 Accidental Bid 5-2                15 3rd $2.10 Tri $26

Race 2:

#5 Thegirlfromireland 9-2       30 2nd $4.90
#3 Eternal Silence 7-5               29 scratched 
#1 In Time (FR) 5-2                   28 3rd $2.10
#4 Therearenorules 15-1          28 4th

Race 3:

#7 Sandy Sweet Tooth 5-2        29 1st $4.20
#6 Camm’ Duke 12-1                 28
#5 Very Stormy 9-2                    28
#2 Graywing 6-1                         27 4th

Race 4:

#9 Suprenant Cocca 6-1            29 2nd $11.40
#10 Next On Stage 5-2               29
#6 She Is Invincible (GB) 8-1    28
#7 Silent Melody 10-1                27

Race 5:

#5 Under Who’s Radar 5-2        32 4th
#1 Gate to Wire 4-1                    31 2nd $3.50
#4 In the Chase 8-1                    30
#3 Chasing Liberty 7-2              30 scratched

Race 6:

#3 Roswell 4-5                            31
#4 Golden Degree 8-1               30 1st $11.40
#7 Cara’s Time 3-1                     29 2nd $3.80
#6 Killy Star 10-1                        28 4th

Race 7:

#2 Avenue Niel (IRE) 10-1       34 4th
#5 Beautiful Love (IRE) 8-1     33 3rd $4.40
#6 Idea Generation (IRE) 5-1  33
#7 Mckulick (GB) 9-5                32

Race 8:

#4 Heymackit’sjack 9-2             30 1st $12.60
#3 Li’l Lang 7-2                           29
#10 Twisted Filigree 9-2           28 3rd $4.20
#9 Your Man Alex 10-1              27

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  3,1,6,5

Race 2:  5,3,1 *3 scratched using 5,1,4

Race 3:  7,6,5

Race 4:  9,10,6

Race 5:  5,1,4

$.50 Ticket:  $162

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  5,3,1 *3 scratched using 5,1,4

Race 3:  7,6,5,2

Race 4:  9,10,6,7

Race 5:  5,1,4

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 6:

Race 3:  7,6,5

Race 4:  9,10

Race 5:  5,1

Race 6:  3

Race 7:  2,5,6

Race 8:  4,3

$1.00 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 4:  9,10,6,7

Race 5:  5,1,4

Race 6:  3,4,7

Race 7:  2,5,6,7

Race 8:  4,3

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 5:  5,1,4,3

Race 6:  3,4,7

Race 7:  2,5,6,7

Race 8:  4,3,10,9

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Keeneland Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#6 Gatlinburg 4-1                      29
#3 Ask Arthur 6-1                      28
#7 Parkway 5-2                           28 4th
#1 Overstatement 10-1             27 2nd $5.70

Race 2:

#3 Test Score 3-1                       20 1st $6.74
#8 West Beach 5-2                     19 2nd $2.94 Ex $14.30
#1 Scorpius 8-1                          18
#9 Helicity 5-1                            18

Race 3:

#4 Prodigieux 9-2                      20 scratched 
#11 Upon a Star 9-5                   20 4th
#6 Lord I Wonder 5-1                19 2nd $7.68
#9 Islander 10-1                         18 3rd $6.80

Race 4:

#6 Eclatant 6-5                            21 1st $3.06
#7 Tapit First 8-1                        20
#11 Tiz Purple 9-2                      19
#9 Dreamgirl 15-1                       18

Race 5:

#8 Self Confident 4-1                  31
#6 Good American (GB) 8-1      30 4th
#10 Olivia Maralda (IRE) 3-1    29
#1 Dreaming of Mo 6-1              28 2nd $5.92

Race 6:

#2 Montalcino 9-5                     33 1st $4.30
#9 Banned for Life 5-2              32 2nd $3.48 Ex $11.98
#1 Air of Defiance 4-1               31
#3 Linebacker 6-1                      30 scratched

Race 7:

#4 Nakatomi 7-5                         41 2nd $2.80
#5 Comedy Town 4-1                 39 3rd $3.18
#1 Federal Judge 3-1                  39 1st $5.48 Tri $39.40
#2 Here Mi Song 6-1                   38 4th Spr $81.60

Race 8:

#6 Destino d’Oro 3-1                 31 3rd $2.62
#9 Totally Justified 6-1              30 2nd $6.26
#2 Isle of Capri 9-2                     29 scratched
#5 Mechaya 15-1                         28 4th

Race 9:

#8 Immersive 2-1                        34 1st $5.34
#7 Quietside 5-2                          33 3rd $2.76
#6 Quickick 4-1                            31 2nd $4.50 Tri $60.44
#5 The Queens M G 6-1              31 scratched

Race 10:

#6 Baraye 7-2                                35
#7 Cloudwalker 4-1                     34
#5 Share the Blessing 15-1        33
#9 Independenceavenue 10-1   32

Keeneland Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  6,3,7

Race 2:  3,8,1,9

Race 3:  4,11,6 *4 scratched using 11,6,9

Race 4:  6,7,11

Race 5:  8,6,10

$.50 Ticket:  $162

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  3,8

Race 3:  4,11,6,9

Race 4:  6,7,11,9

Race 5:  8,6,10,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 5:  8,6,10

Race 6:  2,9

Race 7:  4

Race 8:  6,9,2

Race 9:  8,7,6

Race 10: 6,7

$1.00 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  2,9

Race 7:  4,5,1

Race 8:  6,9,2

Race 9:  8,7,6,5

Race 10: 6,7

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  4,5

Race 8: 6,9,2,5

Race 9:  8,7,6,5

Race 10: 6,7,5,9

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 


Information and content on this website is for entertainment and information use only. Any reliance made on such information is at the sole discretion and risk of the user.
Terms & Conditions | Privacy Policy
Print Friendly, PDF & Email