October 3rd, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,517/23,952 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 11,043/23,952. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#5 Soundbite 2-1 29
#4 Ready for Trouble 9-5 28
#2 Luna Moth 7-2 27
#3 Pens Street 6-1 27

Race 2:

#9 Fire Agate 8-1 17
#3 Unlimited Spending 9-5 16
#7 Bolt House 3-1 16
#5 Galatina 6-1 15

Race 3:

#4 Time to Win 4-5 19
#6 Copious 8-1 18
#5 Roger Roger 8-1 17
#7 Salvation 12-1 16

Race 4:

#6 Maxaluna 4-1 27
#8 Filly Crystal 9-5 27
#9 Catchphrase 5-2 26
#2 Fuligni 15-1 25

Race 5:

#4 Divine Rose 15-1 18
#9 Key Actress 8-1 17
#12 Tight Line 5-1 17
#5 Ellesmere Island 6-1 16

Race 6:

#7 Belgian 7-2 33
#8 No Pressure (IRE) 5-1 31
#5 Expressway 10-1 30
#3 Intricate Spirit 4-1 30

Race 7:

#8 Relevate 5-1 19
#7 Trading Strategy 9-2 18
#1 Metfardeh 2-1 18
#4 Filly Freedom 3-1 17

Race 8:

#9 Capital Partner (GB) 6-1 31
#4 Bottas 2-1 30
#8 Noble Dynasty 9-2 29
#11 Let’s Be Frank 10-1 28

Race 9:

#8 Island Charm 9-2 17
#12 Saint Margaret 5-2 17
#4 Joyful Dancer 12-1 16
#3 Kreesa’s Best Day 20-1 15

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 5,4

Race 2: 9,3,7

Race 3: 4,6,5

Race 4: 6,8,9

Race 5: 4,9,12,5

$.50 Ticket: $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 9,3,7

Race 3: 4,6,5,7

Race 4: 6,8,9

Race 5: 4,9,12,5

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 4,6,5

Race 4: 6,8,9

Race 5: 4,9,12,5

Race 6: 7,8

Race 7: 8,7,1

$.50 Ticket: $108

Pick 6:

Race 4: 6,8,9

Race 5: 4,9,12,5

Race 6: 7

Race 7: 8,7,1

Race 8: 9,4

Race 9: 8,12

$1.00 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 5: 4,9,12,5

Race 6: 7,8,5,3

Race 7: 8,7,1

Race 8: 9,4,8

Race 9: 8,12

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 6: 7,8,5,3

Race 7: 8,7,1,4

Race 8: 9,4,8,11

Race 9: 8,12

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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