October 6th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

• October 6, 2024
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,114/21,679 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,986/21,679. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

 *Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*6 on top winners on Saturday’s Keeneland card…

*Sunday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#4 Elliptic 3-1                            29 1st $9.20
#8 Miss Fashionista 7-2           28 4th
#6 Pam Pam 7-2                        28 2nd $3.00
#1 Mytown Myrules 4-1           27 3rd $3.20 Spr $289

Race 2:

#4 Raging Sea 1-5                      35 1st $2.20 Dbl $15.40
#3 Libban 6-1                              32
#1 Signal From Noise 12-1       31 3rd
#5 Frosty O Toole 15-1              30 4th

Race 3:

#1 Fancy Azteca 9-5                   30
#7 Midtown Lights 3-1              29
#4 Willow Bend 8-1                    28 2nd $5.70
#3 Mosienko 5-1                         28

Race 4:

#5 Just Words 8-1                      16
#4 D’s a Rock 4-1                       15 1st $10.60
#10 Honey in the Bank 10-1    15 3rd $7.10
#2 Bubbe Dearest 7-2                14

Race 5:

#9 Dr Glick 3-1                           19
#6 Pookie 8-1                              18 1st $16.60
#7 Good Conduct 4-1                18 2nd $5.10
#4 Forward Deployed 6-1         17

Race 6:

#8 Scythian 8-1                           31 1st $24.20
#12 Marvelous Madison 10-1  30
#4 Shifty 8-1                                29
#3 Virgin Colada 7-2                  29 2nd $4.80

Race 7:

#9 Keepinitreal 8-5                   17 2nd $2.90
#11 National Identity 6-1        16 3rd $3.70
#10 Three B’s 9-2                      15 1st $7.20 Tri $63.48
#6 Rock Star Rebel 8-1             15

Race 8:

#5 Miriam’s Fire (GB) 6-1        29
#6 Pop Idol 10-1                        28
#1 Will Not Be Swayed 9-2      27 4th
#7 Flirting With Time 6-1        27

Race 9:

#4 Unit Economics (GB) 5-2   33 1st $5.60
#12 Fly Right 15-1                    32
#9 Ramblin’ Wreck 10-1          31 4th
#2 Wally World 9-2                   30

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  4,8,6,1

Race 2:  4

Race 3:  1,7

Race 4:  5,4,10,2

Race 5:  9,6,7

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  4

Race 3:  1,7

Race 4:  5,4,10,2

Race 5:  9,6,7

$.50 Ticket:  $12

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  1,7

Race 4:  5,4.10,2

Race 5:  9,6,7,4

Race 6:  8,12,4,3

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 4:  5,4,10,2

Race 5:  9,6,7

Race 6:  8,12,4

Race 7:  9

Race 8:  5,6,1

Race 9:  4

$1.00 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  9,6,7,4

Race 6:  8,12,4,3

Race 7:  9,11,10

Race 8:  5,6,1

Race 9:  4,12

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  8,12,4,3

Race 7:  9,11,10,6

Race 8:  5,6,1,7

Race 9:  4,12,9

$.50 Ticket:  $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.