October 5th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,097/21,656 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,975/21,656. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Keeneland Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#5 Masmak 2-1 18 1st $3.80
#1 Upstanding 3-1 17 2nd $3.50 Ex $15.00
#6 Cuando 4-1 16
#7 Iron Sight 3-1 16 3rd $2.70

Race 2:

#4 Viking Warrior 4-1 16
#6 Saratoga Warrior 6-1 15 1st $4.40
#7 Monte Avi 5-1 15 3rd $3.90
#5 Papa Paulie P 8-1 14

Race 3:

#4 Equivoque 5-2 33
#7 Quick to Accuse 2-1 32 2nd $4.20
#5 Silver Satin 3-1 31 3rd $2.20
#6 Bramito 8-1 30 1st $22.20

Race 4:

#10 Legal Deal 7-2 29 4th
#2 Rocket and Roll 10-1 28 scratched
#8 Joking Way 6-1 27
#6 Super Chief 9-2 26

Race 5:

#6 El Rezeen 7-2 33 3rd $2.60
#7 Legend of Time (GB) 2-1 32 scratched
#2 Dashman 8-1 31 4th
#3 Carson’s Run 5-2 31 1st $5.00

Race 6:

#3 Outlaw Kid 6-1 37 scratched
#9 Nothing Better 3-1 36 2nd $4.20
#5 Senbei 5-1 35 1st $10.00 Ex $49.00
#8 Alogon 6-1 34 3rd $4.80 Tri $359.48

Race 7:

#6 Paradise City 12-1 32 scratched
#3 Pondering 12-1 31
#1 Snowyte 6-1 30 2nd $2.80
#9 Social Fortress 12-1 30 3rd $3.20

Race 8:

#2 Tip Top Thomas 7-2 34 2nd $3.0
#10 Chancer McPatrick 6-5 34 1st $3.10
#5 Uncaged 9-2 33 scratched
#4 Mo Plex 12-1 32 3rd $4.20 Tri $52

Race 9:

#3 Transactional (GB) 2-1 33
#4 Funny Uncle 9-2 32 scratched
#10 Mickey Shillelagh 10-1 31 1st $14.20
#6 Nostalgic One 10-1 31 scratched

Race 10:

#4 Kay Cup 4-1 17 scratched
#3 Off Script 5-2 16 2nd $2.40
#8 Amelia 15-1 15
#2 Endless Vow 10-1 15

Race 11:

#4 Russi 6-1 32
#9 Yarrow 7-2 31 3rd $5.50
#10 Feathers Road 15-1 30
#3 Icy Flavor 10-1 30

Race 12:

#1 Steadfast Resolve 5-2 17 1st $5.30
#4 Bourbon Outlaw 12-1 17
#9 Hurricane Express 5-1 16 3rd $4.40
#2 Flicker (GB) 6-1 15

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 5,1,6,7

Race 2: 4,6,7

Race 3: 4,7

Race 4: 10,2,8,6

Race 5: 6,7 *7 scratched using 6,2

$.50 Ticket: $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 4,6,7,5

Race 3: 4,7,5,6

Race 4: 10,2,8,6

Race 5: 6,7 *7 scratched using 6,2

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 4,7,5

Race 4: 10,2,8,6

Race 5: 6,7 *7 scratched using 6,2

Race 6: 3,9,5 *3 scratched using 9,5,8

Race 7: 6,3,1,9 *6 scratched using 3,1,9,2

$.50 Ticket: $144

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 10,2,8,6

Race 5: 6,7 *7 scratched using 6,2

Race 6: 3,9,5,8 *6 scratched using 3,1,9,2

Race 7: 6,3,1,9

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5: 6,7,2,3

Race 6: 3,9,5 *3 scratched using 9,5,8

Race 7: 6,3,1,9 *6 scratched using 3,1,9,2

Race 8: 2,10

Race 9: 3,4 *4 scratched using 3,10

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6: 3,9,5,8

Race 7: 6,3,1,9 *6 scratched using 3,1,9,2

Race 8: 2,10

Race 9: 3,4,10,6 *4,6 scratched using 3,10,5,9

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 7: 6,3,1,9 *6 scratched using 3,1,9,2

Race 8: 2,10

Race 9: 3

Race 10: 4,3 *4 scratched using 3,8

Race 11: 4,9

Race 12: 1,4,9

$1.00 Ticket: $96

Late Pick 5:

Race 8: 2,10,5 *5 scratched using 2,10,4

Race 9: 3,4 *4 scratched using 3,10

Race 10: 4,3,8,2 *4 scratched using 3,8,2,11

Race 11: 4,9

Race 12: 1,4,9,2

$.50 Ticket: $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 9: 3,4 *4 scratched using 3,10

Race 10: 4,3,8,2 *4 scratched using 3,8,2,11

Race 11: 4,9,10,3

Race 12: 1,4,9,2

$.50 Ticket: $64

Keeneland Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#9 J David 5-2 16 2nd $4.30
#1 Colonel Yorke 4-1 16 4th
#8 Hask Hill 8-1 15
#4 One True Shance 3-1 14 1st $6.30

Race 2:

#1 State’s Rights 5-2 19 1st $4.40
#4 Battle Drum (FR) 10-1 18 2nd $5.56 Ex $23.68
#5 Culture War 6-1 17
#3 Authentic Gallop 9-2 16

Race 3:

#4 Impulse Buy 5-2 20 1st $7.46 Dbl $15.20
#8 Quantum Burst 8-1 19 2nd $10.36 Ex $78.68
#5 Complex Secret 3-1 18 4th
#9 Illuminatrice 6-1 18

Race 4:

#7 Rebel Red (GB) 5-2 33 1st $6.74 Dbl $28.50
#6 Degree of Risk 4-1 32 Pk 3 $55.20
#4 Beuys (IRE) 8-1 31
#5 Villain 15-1 30

Race 5:

#2 Eighty West 8-1 30 3rd $2.62
#4 Macho Music 3-1 29 1st $6.14
#3 Jackson’s Roar 8-1 29
#5 Sexagenarian 7-2 28 scratched

Race 6:

#4 Our Shot 4-1 39 1st $13.66
#5 No Nay Hudson (IRE) 5-1 38
#8 Souper Quest 7-2 37
#2 Axthelm 15-1 36 scratched

Race 7:

#1 Clearly Unhinged 3-1 34 4th
#3 Brightwork 2-1 33 3rd $2.58
#6 Zeitlos 4-1 33 1st $9.46
#2 Anywho 10-1 32

Race 8:

#10 Ag Bullet 6-1 40 4th
#4 Gina Romantica 3-1 39 1st $8.84
#11 Whitebeam (GB) 7-2 39
#5 Walkathon 10-1 38

Race 9:

#5 East Avenue 3-1 34 1st $7.56
#4 Handsome Pants 10-1 33
#1 Ferocious 8-5 33 2nd $2.88
#10 Dapper Moon 9-2 32 4th

Race 10:

#4 Running Bee 12-1 41
#9 Carl Spackler (IRE) 2-1 40 1st $4.14
#7 Cash Equity (FR) 15-1 39
#6 Talk of the Nation 8-1 38

Race 11:

#5 Eglise 8-5 19 1st $6.62
#1 Jungle Law 4-1 18
#2 Nyquist Frequency 15-1 17
#9 Top Gun Rocket 6-1 17 2nd $8.92

Keeneland Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 9,1,8,4

Race 2: 1,4,5,3

Race 3: 4,8,5

Race 4: 7,6

Race 5: 2,4,3

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 1,4,5,3

Race 3: 4,8,5,9

Race 4: 7,6

Race 5: 2,4,3,5

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 5: 2,4,3,5

Race 6: 4,5,8

Race 7: 1,3

Race 8: 10,4,11

Race 9: 5

Race 10: 4,9

$1.00 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 4,5,8

Race 7: 1,3,6

Race 8: 10,4,11

Race 9: 5,4,1

Race 10: 4,9

$.50 Ticket: $81

Pick 4 (7-10):

Race 7: 1,3

Race 8: 10,4,11,5

Race 9: 5,4,1,10

Race 10: 4,9,7,6

$.50 Ticket: $64

Late Pick 4:

Race 8: 10,4,11,5

Race 9: 5,4,1,10

Race 10: 4,9,7,6

Race 11: 5,1

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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