October 9th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,537/23,993 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 11,059/23,993. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*5 on top winners last Saturday at Keeneland…

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#5 Collaboration 4-1 30 2nd $6.52
#1 Can’t Fool Me 5-2 29
#2 Scythian 7-5 28 3rd $2.10
#7 Snowy Evening 8-1 28

Race 2:

#3 Acoustic Ave 5-2 34 2nd $3.92
#5 Spikezone 4-1 33 3rd $3.22
#1 El Grande O 4-1 32 1st $9.94 Tri $88.44
#2 Nova Rags 6-1 32 4th Spr $240

Race 3:

#9 Aperitif 3-1 17 2nd $3.74
#4 No Ordinary Love 5-2 16 3rd $3.46
#7 Sassetti 5-1 15
#1 Kat Stormy 15-1 15

Race 4:

#5 Leftembehind 3-1 31 3rd $2.76
#8 Frizzante 2-1 30 2nd $3.06
#1 Brave Bear 6-1 29 1st $8.66 Tri $51.96
#3 Leading Contender 6-1 28

Race 5:

#4 Fort Griffin 5-1 16
#6 Neigh Baby 7-2 16 2nd $3.48
#7 Hong Kong Phooey 3-1 15 1st $5.74
#5 Mo Curls 6-1 14

Race 6:

#6 Purloin 7-2 29 1st $7.30
#1 Adrian 5-2 28 2nd $3.80 Ex $23.16
#4 Big Air 9-2 27 3rd $2.96 Tri $60.48
#8 Cararra 8-1 27

Race 7:

#7 Let It Ride 5-2 31 2nd $3.22
#6 Devil in Disguise 9-2 30 3rd $4.74
#8 Alexis Zorba (GB) 5-1 29
#3 Musical Maestro 8-1 28 4th

Race 8:

#9 Coach Ryan 9-2 17 2nd $3.56
#11 Newlyn 6-1 16 4th
#5 A Little At First 5-1 15
#1 Sunday Boy 6-1 15

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 5,1,2

Race 2: 3,5,1

Race 3: 9,4

Race 4: 5,8

Race 5: 4,6,7

$.50 Ticket: $54

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 3,5,1,2

Race 3: 9,4,7

Race 4: 5,8,1

Race 5: 4,6,7

$.50 Ticket: $54

Pick 6:

Race 3: 9,4

Race 4: 5,8

Race 5: 4,6,7

Race 6: 6,1

Race 7: 7

Race 8: 9,11,5

$1.00 Ticket: $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 4: 5,8,1,3

Race 5: 4,6,7

Race 6: 6,1,4

Race 7: 7,6

Race 8: 9,11,5

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 5: 4,6,7,5

Race 6: 6,1,4

Race 7: 7,6,8

Race 8: 9,11,5

$.50 Ticket: $54

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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