A Winning Day at the Races!

September 13th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,003/21,501 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,903/21,501. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#4 Willow Bend 3-1                   28 1st $5.70
#5 Hazardous Humor 9-2         27
#3 Backed by Gold 6-1              26 3rd $3.80
#6 Royal Poppy 5-2                    26 4th

Race 2:

#8 Bryant and Cooper 3-1        19 4th
#5 One More Dance 10-1          18 3rd $7.70
#1 Heavenly Light 7-2               18
#9 Grace and Grit 5-2                 17 1st $11.80

Race 3:

#5 Devil Blue Dress 2-1            26 1st $4.00
#7 You’re Forever 3-1                25 2nd $3.10 Ex $10.20
#1 Jay’s Love 6-1                        24
#3 Play Free Bird 5-1                 24 3rd $2.60

Race 4:

#8 Cinderella’s Cause 7-5         29 1st $3.40
#3 Maggie T 7-2                          28
#5 Echo in Eternity 6-1             27 4th
#7 April Antics 8-1                     27 3rd $4.80

Race 5:

#9 King Puck 7-5                        17
#8 Cousin Ed 12-1                      17
#6 Flame Rock Fire 8-1             16 scratched
#7 Rohan 12-1                             15

Race 6:

#9 Cara’s Dreamweaver 5-1     18
#1 Nonna Lynne 4-1                  17 4th
#2 Mangetsu 12-1                      17 1st $18.60
#6 Willful Mama 3-1                  16 2nd $6.50

Race 7:

#2 Mystic Night 7-2                  29 2nd $4.50
#3 He’s Got This 9-2                 28
#6 Grandpa’s Kid 6-1                28
#5 Bossmakinbossmoves 8-1   27 1st $28.20

Race 8:

#4 Im Just Kiddin 7-2               28
#2 Marco T. 4-1                          28 2nd $6.00
#3 Mz Big Bucks 5-1                  27 1st $14.80
#6 Spooky Lady 8-1                   26

Race 9:

#8 Dynamic Pricing 5-2            33 3rd $2.60
#6 Cloudwalker 10-1                 32
#7 Poolside With Slim 5-1        31 4th
#1 Macanga 10-1                        30 scratched

Race 10:

#11 Fifi La Fume 8-1                16
#6 Bubbe Dearest 5-2               15
#9 T D Magee 6-1                      15
#3 Just Words 8-1                      14

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  4,5,3,6

Race 2:  8,5,1,9

Race 3:  5,7

Race 4:  8,3

Race 5:  9,8,6,7 *6 scratched using 9,8,7,4

$.50 Ticket:  $128

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  8,5,1,9

Race 3:  5,7

Race 4:  8,3,5,7

Race 5:  9,8,6,7 *6 scratched using 9,8,7,4

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  8,3

Race 5:  9,8,6,7 *6 scratched using 9,8,7,4

Race 6:  9,1,2,6

Race 7:  2,3,6,5

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 5:  9

Race 6:  9,1,2,6

Race 7:  2,3

Race 8:  4,2,3

Race 9:  8

Race 10: 11,6,9,3

$1.00 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  9,1,2,6

Race 7:  2,3

Race 8:  4,2,3,6

Race 9:  8,6,7

Race 10: 11,6,9

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  2,3,6

Race 8:  4,2,3

Race 9:  8,6,7

Race 10: 11,6,9

$.50 Ticket:  $40.50

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.


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