September 19th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

• September 19, 2024
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,027/21,542 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,923/21,542. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#4 Welshman 4-1
#1 Hidden Path 10-1
#3 Evie’s Prince 9-2
#7 L’Imperator (FR) 9-5

Race 2:

#1a Stage Left 3-1                      34
#6 Factually Correct 5-2           33
#1 Durante 3-1                            32
#4 Little Vic 6-1                          32

Race 3:

#1a Passive Management 3-5  19
#3 Gun Barrel City 2-1              18
#4 Mr Flowers 10-1                    17
#1 Take Your Seats (IRE) 3-5   17

Race 4:

#5 Skylander 9-2                        32
#4 Rocco Strong 6-1                  31
#7 Empty Tomb 5-1                   30
#1 Celestial Glaze 5-1               30

Race 5:

#9 Save Us Melania 8-1            29
#1 Princess Becca 3-1               28
#5 Elliptic 4-1                             27
#4 Bobby Jean 9-2                      27

Race 6:

#8 Egyptian Quest 5-2              16
#7 Starsinthecity 6-1                 15
#2 Mazzei 6-1                              15
#4 Braca 15-1                              14

Race 7:

#6 Our Country 6-1                    30
#5 Modica 8-1                              29
#4 Feathers Road 15-1               28
#11 Kick a Buck 9-2                    27

Race 8:

#7 Better Humor Me 3-1           28
#6 Flight Control 9-2                 27
#9 Carol T 10-1                           27
#5 A Maize Zing Dotie 7-2        26

Race 9:

#9 Yesterday 6-1                          19
#2 Panache 10-1                          18
#5 Bourbon Milk Punch 5-2      18
#1 Banner Eighteen (FR) 15-1   17

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 2:  1a/1,6,4

Race 3:  1a/1,3

Race 4:  5,4,7

Race 5:  9,1,5

Race 6:  8,7,2

$.50 Ticket:  $81

Early Pick 4:

Race 3:  1a/1,3,4

Race 4:  5,4,7,1

Race 5:  9,1,5

Race 6:  8,7,2

$.50 Ticket:  $54

Pick 6:

Race 4:  5,4,7

Race 5:  9,1,5

Race 6:  8

Race 7:  6,5,4,11

Race 8:  7 *7 scratched using 6

Race 9:  9,2,5

$1.00 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  9,1,5,4

Race 6:  8,7,2

Race 7:  6,5,4,11

Race 8:  7,6 *7 scratched using 6,9

Race 9:  9,2,5

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  8,7,2,4

Race 7:  6,5,4,11

Race 8:  7,6,9 *7 scratched using 6,9,5

Race 9:  9,2,5

$.50 Ticket:  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.