September 1st , 2020 Free Picks & Plays

• August 31, 2020
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site four years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 8389/12623, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 5512/12623. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Check back Tuesday Evening for Wednesday’s Saratoga Picks/Plays…

*Tuesday’s Full Card Churchill Downs Picks Below…

Churchill Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#6 War Ballad 7-2                        25
#4 Proudly Fought 7-2                25 4th
#1 Just Fly 9-5                              24 1st $4.00
#3 Lil Miss Hot Mess 3-1            23 3rd $3.00

Race 2 :

#5 Allege 3-1                                  17 1st $8.80
#6 Awakened 4-1                           16 3rd $3.60
#4 Jack Luvs Nova 8-1                  15
#2 Good Juju 4-1                            15

Race 3 :

#4 Southern Will 10-1                   14 4th
#3 Frosted Prayer 5-2                    14 1st $4.00
#6 Two Worlds 3-1                         13 3rd $2.60
#5 Cowardly Act 6-1                       12

Race 4 :

#6 Sir Winston 8-5                         35 4th
#1 Ry’s the Guy 9-5                        34 1st $4.00
#2 Rated R Superstar 5-1              32 2nd $4.20
#4 Easy Shot 8-1                             31

Race 5 :

#8 Ice Queen 5-2                             18
#2 Cuzzywuzzy 15-1                       16
#5 Aunt Pearl (IRE) 2-1                  15
#7 Faith and Honor 8-1                  14

Race 6 :

#2 El Asesino 8-5                             27
#1 Snaggletooth 6-1                        24
#6 Barry Lee 10-1                             23
#5 Knight Disrupter 5-1                  22

Race 7 :

#4 Street to Indy 5-1                       29
#2 Knight’s Cross 8-1                      28
#8 Prompt 9-2                                   27
#3 Honoring Major 6-1                    26

Race 8 :

#4 Tizzarunner 3-1                          32
#5 Silver N Lai 9-2                            31
#6 Hay Dakota 4-1                            30
#3 Big Beautiful Wall 5-1                30

Race 9 :

#10 Digital Star 3-1                          26
#12 Satchel de Ritches 12-1           25
#1 Subliminalcriminal 5-2              25
#6 Fire Marshall Bill 12-1                24

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.