September 20th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

• September 19, 2025
• Free Picks & Plays
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Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,482/23,886 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 11,018/23,886. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Picks/Plays when able…Once again thanks to all who have reached out to me over the past month, means a lot…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Long Pour 5-2                     30 2nd $3.10
#4 National Identity 6-5        29 1st $3.30 $10.72
#3 Leo’s Reward 7-2                 28 4th
#1 Uncle George 5-1                28

Race 2:

#1 Aero Star 5-2                        28 2nd $5.54
#3 Camm’ Duke 8-1                  27 4th
#7 Storm the Streets 2-1          27
#5 Li’l Lang 9-5                          26 1st $4.62

Race 3:

#5 Spirit of New York 8-5         29 1st $6.30
#6 Twenty One Red 7-2            28
#4 Black Volt 4-1                        28 2nd $3.66
#2 Funny Factor 9-2                  27 4th

Race 4:

#3 Shilling 6-1                            19 4th
#8 Smitten 8-1                            18
#2 Squander 7-2                          18
#1 Minute by Minute 3-1          17 1st $9.36

Race 5:

#10 Antietam 6-1                        19
#3 Disclaimer 9-2                        18 3rd $2.78
#4 Wicked Improbable 3-1        18 2nd $6.90
#6 Hellacious 8-1                         17

Race 6:

#6 Tiote 6-1                                  27 scratched 
#3 Backtrack 9-2                          26 scratched 
#5 Dark Vector 5-2                       26 3rd $2.16
#9 Renew the Blue 20-1              25

Race 7:

#8 Brew Pub 7-2                           28 1st $8.60
#3 Funny Joke 8-1                        27
#7 Beachwalker 6-1                      26
#12 Dot’s Dollar 3-1                     25 3rd $2.98

Race 8:

#2 May Day Ready 3-1                  33
#1 Opulent Restraint (IRE) 2-1   32 scratched 
#9 Griselda (FR) 9-2                      31 4th
#5 Ruth 20-1                                   30

Race 9:

#3 Worthy Charge 7-5                   32 2nd $2.76
#4 Indy Magic 8-1                          31 scratched 
#7 Makes Sense 12-1                     30
#6 Zippy Mark 15-1                       29

Race 10:

#7 Hangover Heaven 5-2               30 1st $6.64
#6 Tralee Girl 10-1                          29
#2 One Last Knock 6-1                   28 2nd $10.36
#5 Yougottahavehope 8-1              28

Race 11:

#10 Princess Summer 5-2              16 scratched 
#1 Saratoga Snow 4-1                     15 1st $5.94 Dbl $22.24
#4 Addagirl Addie 9-2                     15 2nd $2.46
#5 Catholic Edition 8-1                  14 scratched 

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,4

Race 2:  1,3,7,5

Race 3:  5,6,4

Race 4:  3,8,2

Race 5:  10,3,4

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  1,3,7,5

Race 3:  5,6,4,2

Race 4:  3,8,2,1

Race 5:  10,3,4

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  5,6,4

Race 4:  3,8,2

Race 5:  10,3,4

Race 6:  6,3,5 *6,3 scratched using 5,9,2

Race 7:  8,3,7

$.50 Ticket:  $121.50

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  3,8,2,1

Race 5:  10,3,4

Race 6:  6,3,5 *6,3 scratched using 5,9,2

Race 7:  8,3,7

$.50 Ticket:  $54

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  10,3,4

Race 6:  6,3,5 *6,3 scratched using 5,9,2

Race 7:  8,3,7,12

Race 8:  2,1 *1 scratched using 2,9

Race 9:  3,4

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 6:

Race 6:  6,3,5 *6,3 scratched using 5,9,2

Race 7:  8,3

Race 8:  2,1 *1 scratched using 2,9

Race 9:  3

Race 10: 7,6,2

Race 11:  10,1,4

$1.00 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 7:  8,3,7,12

Race 8:  2,1 *1 scratched using 2,9

Race 9:  3,4,7,6

Race 10: 7,6,2,5

Race 11:  10,1 *10 scratched using 1,4

$.50 Ticket:  $128

Late Pick 4:

Race 8:  2,1 *1 scratched using 2,9

Race 9:  3,4,7,6

Race 10: 7,6,2,5

Race 11:  10,1,4,5

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.