September 23rd , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

• September 22, 2021
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 9854/14966, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6623/14966. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Through the Belmont Fall Meet Picks/Plays will be posted here on the Free Page weekdays, weekends will require the purchase of a One or Two Day/Weekend Pass…

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*All content will remain here on the Free Page this week with the weather uncertainty heading into the weekend…

*Thursday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays Below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#5 El Sobreviviente 9-5                   29 4th
#1 Casalsa 5-2                                   28 2nd $3.70
#2 Devious Mo 4-1                           27 3rd $2.90
#3 Golani Brigade 2-1                      26 1st $7.50

Race 2 :

#3 Fort Washington 6-1                  19 3rd $6.00
#2 Street Vendor 2-1                        18
#6 Paratus 12-1                                 17 4th
#7 Daunt 6-1                                      17 1st $17.60

Race 3 :

#1a Arham 3-5                                    32 scratched
#1 Mahaamel 3-5                                31 3rd $2.10
#2 Full Court Press 8-1                      29 2nd $5.60
#5 Treason 4-1                                     28

Race 4 :

#11 South Sea 6-1                               29 scratched
#10 Jack the Cat 12-1                          28 2nd $7.40
#4 Rocking the Boat 8-1                     28 3rd $5.30
#2 Outrageous Bet 9-2                        27 1st $10.40 Tri $932

Race 5 :

#7 Excursionniste 4-1                         16 2nd $5.00
#8 Something Majestic 12-1              15
#5 Maseta 12-1                                     15 3rd $8.30
#2 Sir John 8-1                                      14 4th

Race 6 :

#6 Turn of Events 7-2                          31 1st $6.20
#7 Determined Fury 6-1                     29 3rd $3.80
#5 Stanhope 12-1                                 28
#4 Restored Order 8-1                         27

Race 7 :

#9 Seizer 15-1                                        15
#3 V Pattern 9-2                                    14
#2 Capt’ Remington 15-1                     13
#4 Got the Gold 7-2                               12

Race 8 :

#8 Tis a Pity 9-2                                     30 4th
#12 Get the Candy 7-2                          29
#9 Highway Queen 6-1                         28 3rd $10.00
#3 Big Time Lady 8-1                            27

Race 9 :

#8 More Like It 6-1                               28
#12 Mommie’s Jewel 20-1                    27
#2 Bardolino 6-1                                    27
#6 King James 7-2                                  26

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  5,1,2 x

Race 2 :  3,2,6,7 7

Race 3 :  1a/1 x

Race 4 :  11,10,4 *11 scratched using 10,4,2 2

Race 5 :  7,8,5,2 x

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  3,2,6,7 7

Race 3 :  1a/1 x

Race 4 :  11,10,4,2 2

Race 5 :  7,8,5,2 x

$.50 Ticket :  $32

Pick 6 :

Race 4 :  11,10,4,2 2

Race 5 :  7,8,5,2 x

Race 6 :  6 6

Race 7 :  9,3 x

Race 8 :  8

Race 9 :  8,12,2

$1.00 Ticket :  $96

Late Pick 5 :

Race 5 :  7,8,5 x

Race 6 :  6,7,5,4 6

Race 7 :  9,3,2,4 x

Race 8 :  8,12

Race 9 :  8,12,2

$.50 Ticket :  $144

Late Pick 4 :

Race 6 :  6,7,5,4 6

Race 7 :  9,3,2,4 x

Race 8 :  8,12,9

Race 9 :  8,12,2

$.50 Ticket :  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.