September 25th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

• September 24, 2025
• Free Picks & Plays
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Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,491/23,906 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 11,028/23,906. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Picks/Plays when able…Once again thanks to all who have reached out to me over the past month, means a lot…

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#2 Best Impression 4-1               27 2nd $2.56
#3 She’s Complicated 3-5           26 scratched 
#1 Foxy Cara 6-1                           25 1st $7.44 Ex $19.30
#6 Rodeo Star 9-2                         25 4th

Race 2:

#1 Handle On You 5-1                 26 4th
#2 Belle Cherie 8-5                       26 1st $5.36
#6 Auroralinna 5-2                       25 2nd $2.38
#5 Going for Glory 15-1               24

Race 3:

#8 Delightful Flame 9-2               29
#5 Watdoyousay Jose 6-1             28
#7 Gratefully 3-1                            28
#6 Midnightloveaffair 8-1            27

Dirt Selections

#12 Kadena 3-1 4th
#7 Gratefully 3-1 1st $6.98
#13 Sailaway 8-1 3rd $4.38
#10 Hey Cookie 5-2
#9 Maxaluna 12-1

Race 4:

#6 Mr Browns Town 7-2              18
#3 Lexington Pike 5-1                 17
#7 You’re Lookin Good 6-1         17
#9 Supreme Good (IRE) 9-2        16

Dirt Selections

#6 Mr Browns Town 7-2
#11 The Obliterator 9-2 2nd $5.24
#10 Natural Shooter 8-1 4th
#7 You’re Lookin Good 6-1
#1 World Wide Web 8-1

Race 5:

#3 Tiger Moon 6-1                       29 4th
#6 Sagamore Mischief 2-1          28 scratched 
#7 Ridgewood Runner 5-2          28 3rd $2.10
#1 Systemic Change 4-1              27 1st $6.78

Race 6:

#4 Defining Role 7-2                     18
#2 Copper Caduceus 12-1            17
#6 Blazing Bridgette 5-1              16
#10 Avery’s Wonderland 12-1     16

Dirt Selections

#9 Scorch 9-2 4th
#5 Zuby 6-1 1st $12.44
#10 Avery’s Wonderland 12-1
#11 Harpy 8-1 scratched

Race 7:

#2 Certified Loverboy 8-5            33
#6 Mr. Papagiorgio 7-2                 32
#5 Tabeguache 10-1                      31
#3 Wynstock 8-1                            30

Race 8:

#6 Off Script 5-2                             17
#8 Iveragh 7-2                                 16
#5 Sky Low Low 12-1                     15
#1 Amazing Gracer 4-1                  15

Dirt Selections

#6 Off Script 5-2
#10 Starship Pegasus 6-1
#1 Amazing Gracer 4-1
#5 Sky Low Low 12-1

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  2,3,1,6

Race 2:  1,2,6

Race 3:  8,5,7 Dirt: 12,7,13

Race 4:  6,3,7 Dirt: 6,11,10

Race 5:  3,6,7 *6 scratched using 3,7,1

$.50 Ticket:  $162

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  1,2,6

Race 3:  8,5,7,6 Dirt: 12,7,13,10

Race 4:  6,3,7,9 Dirt: 6,11,10,7

Race 5:  3,6,7 *6 scratched using 3,7,1

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 6:

Race 3:  8,5,7 Dirt: 12,7,13

Race 4:  6,3,7 Dirt: 6,11,10

Race 5:  3,6 *6 scratched using 3,7

Race 6:  6,10,5 Dirt: 9,5,10

Race 7:  2

Race 8:  6,8 Dirt: 6,10

$1.00 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 4:  6,3,7,9 Dirt: 6,11,10,7

Race 5:  3,6,7 *6 scratched using 3,7,1

Race 6:  6,10,5 Dirt: 9,5,10

Race 7:  2,6

Race 8:  6,8 Dirt: 6,10

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 4:

Race 5:  3,6,7,1

Race 6:  6,10,5 Dirt: 9,5,10,11

Race 7:  2,6,5,3

Race 8:  6,8 Dirt: 6,10

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.