September 27th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

• September 26, 2025
• Free Picks & Plays
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Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,501/23,923 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 11,034/23,923. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Picks/Plays when able…Once again thanks to all who have reached out to me over the past month, means a lot…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#6 Igniter 2-1                            19 1st $4.22
#3 Courting 3-1                         18 4th
#1 Ima Big Bad Wolf 4-1          18
#5 Missing Brian 15-1              17

Race 2:

#8 Turbo 2-1                              27 scratched 
#7 Heavyweight Champs 7-2  26
#4 Hours in a Day 3-1               25 1st $6.66
#6 Ride Up 9-2                            25 3rd $4.12

Race 3:

#7 Exploration 8-1                    32
#2 Ignite the Light 3-1             31
#6 Treaty Obligation 7-2          30 3rd $2.84
#4 Hurricane Nelson 5-2          30 1st $7.38

Race 4:

#4 Alogon 3-1                             38 1st $11.36
#5 Twenty Six Black 9-5           37 3rd $2.10
#3 Senbei 7-2                              36 4th
#2 Dancing Buck 6-1                 34

Race 5:

#1 El Cordobes (IRE) 3-1          39 3rd $2.18
#2 Redistricting (GB) 7-2          38 2nd $3.42
#4 Rebel Red (GB) 8-1                37
#3 Rebel’s Romance (IRE) 1-1  36 1st $3.28

Race 6:

#4 Film Star 20-1                       41 scratched 
#2 Post Time 7-2                        40 3rd
#6 Phileas Fogg 2-1                   39 2nd
#7 Locked 9-5                             37 1st $4.46

Race 7:

#8 Livin the Breeze 3-1              17
#11 Valiant Diva 15-1                 16
#9 Cosmic Candy Girl 9-2          16 1st $7.26
#6 Spectacular Belle 12-1          15

Race 8:

#4 Scalable 6-1                             34
#1 R Disaster 3-1                          33 1st $4.24
#2 Impel 6-1                                  32 4th
#6 All Class 10-1                           32

Race 9:

#4 Doc Sullivan 6-1                      38 4th
#9 Crazy Mason 3-1                      37 2nd $4.32
#1 Scotland 5-2                              36 3rd $2.60
#7 Light the Way 20-1                  35

Race 10:

#1 Cynane 4-1                               32 3rd $2.76
#8 Isle of Capri 3-1                       31 4th
#7 Upon a Star 9-2                        30
#4 Toasted Roll 12-1                     29

Race 11:

#9 Exact Estimate 3-1                  33
#5 General Jim 7-2                        32
#6 Judge Davis 10-1                      31 1st $26.46
#2 Retouch (FR) 6-1                      31

Race 12:

#3 Morning Prayer 6-1                 16
#1 Hot Currency 7-2                     15
#11 Absolute Smoke 9-2              14
#10 No Need to Panic 15-1          14

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  6,3,1

Race 2:  8,7,4,6

Race 3:  7,2,6,4

Race 4:  4,5

Race 5:  1,2

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  8,7,4,6

Race 3:  7,2,6,4

Race 4:  4,5,3,2

Race 5:  1,2

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  7,2,6,4

Race 4:  4,5,3

Race 5:  1,2

Race 6:  4,2,6,7

Race 7:  8,11,9

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  4,5

Race 5:  1,2,4,3

Race 6:  4,2,6,7

Race 7:  8,11,9,6

$.50 Ticket:  $64 $70.33

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  1,2,4,3

Race 6:  4,2,6,7

Race 7:  8,11,9

Race 8:  4,1,2

Race 9:  4,9,1

$.50 Ticket:  $216

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6:  4,2,6,7

Race 7:  8,11,9,6

Race 8:  4,1,2

Race 9:  4,9,1

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 6:

Race 7:  8,11,9,6

Race 8:  4,1,2

Race 9:  4,9,1

Race 10: 1

Race 11:  9,5

Race 12:  3,1,11

$1.00 Ticket:  $216

Late Pick 5:

Race 8:  4,1,2

Race 9:  4,9,1

Race 10: 1,8,7

Race 11:  9,5

Race 12:  3,1,11

$.50 Ticket:  $81

Late Pick 4:

Race 9:  4,9

Race 10: 1,8,7,4

Race 11:  9,5,6,2

Race 12:  3,1,11,10

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.