A Winning Day at the Races!
Monthly Archives: September 2024
September 13th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays
*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,003/21,501 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,903/21,501. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…
*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#4 Willow Bend 3-1 28 1st $5.70
#5 Hazardous Humor 9-2 27
#3 Backed by Gold 6-1 26 3rd $3.80
#6 Royal Poppy 5-2 26 4th
Race 2:
#8 Bryant and Cooper 3-1 19 4th
#5 One More Dance 10-1 18 3rd $7.70
#1 Heavenly Light 7-2 18
#9 Grace and Grit 5-2 17 1st $11.80
Race 3:
#5 Devil Blue Dress 2-1 26 1st $4.00
#7 You’re Forever 3-1 25 2nd $3.10 Ex $10.20
#1 Jay’s Love 6-1 24
#3 Play Free Bird 5-1 24 3rd $2.60
Race 4:
#8 Cinderella’s Cause 7-5 29 1st $3.40
#3 Maggie T 7-2 28
#5 Echo in Eternity 6-1 27 4th
#7 April Antics 8-1 27 3rd $4.80
Race 5:
#9 King Puck 7-5 17
#8 Cousin Ed 12-1 17
#6 Flame Rock Fire 8-1 16 scratched
#7 Rohan 12-1 15
Race 6:
#9 Cara’s Dreamweaver 5-1 18
#1 Nonna Lynne 4-1 17 4th
#2 Mangetsu 12-1 17 1st $18.60
#6 Willful Mama 3-1 16 2nd $6.50
Race 7:
#2 Mystic Night 7-2 29 2nd $4.50
#3 He’s Got This 9-2 28
#6 Grandpa’s Kid 6-1 28
#5 Bossmakinbossmoves 8-1 27 1st $28.20
Race 8:
#4 Im Just Kiddin 7-2 28
#2 Marco T. 4-1 28 2nd $6.00
#3 Mz Big Bucks 5-1 27 1st $14.80
#6 Spooky Lady 8-1 26
Race 9:
#8 Dynamic Pricing 5-2 33 3rd $2.60
#6 Cloudwalker 10-1 32
#7 Poolside With Slim 5-1 31 4th
#1 Macanga 10-1 30 scratched
Race 10:
#11 Fifi La Fume 8-1 16
#6 Bubbe Dearest 5-2 15
#9 T D Magee 6-1 15
#3 Just Words 8-1 14
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 4,5,3,6
Race 2: 8,5,1,9
Race 3: 5,7
Race 4: 8,3
Race 5: 9,8,6,7 *6 scratched using 9,8,7,4
$.50 Ticket: $128
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 8,5,1,9
Race 3: 5,7
Race 4: 8,3,5,7
Race 5: 9,8,6,7 *6 scratched using 9,8,7,4
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 4 (4-7):
Race 4: 8,3
Race 5: 9,8,6,7 *6 scratched using 9,8,7,4
Race 6: 9,1,2,6
Race 7: 2,3,6,5
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 6:
Race 5: 9
Race 6: 9,1,2,6
Race 7: 2,3
Race 8: 4,2,3
Race 9: 8
Race 10: 11,6,9,3
$1.00 Ticket: $96
Late Pick 5:
Race 6: 9,1,2,6
Race 7: 2,3
Race 8: 4,2,3,6
Race 9: 8,6,7
Race 10: 11,6,9
$.50 Ticket: $144
Late Pick 4:
Race 7: 2,3,6
Race 8: 4,2,3
Race 9: 8,6,7
Race 10: 11,6,9
$.50 Ticket: $40.50
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
September 8th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays
*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,003/21,501 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,903/21,501. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…
*Check back later in the week for Aqueduct Picks/Plays…
September 7th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays
*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,996/21,489 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,899/21,489. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…
*Saturday’s Full Card Kentucky Downs Picks/Plays Below…
Kentucky Downs Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#9 Miss Lonelle 7-2 19 1st $8.92
#10 Don’t Call Me Babe 9-2 18
#6 Emmy Blue 20-1 17 2nd $12.56
#1 Lovely Emma 4-1 17 4th
Race 2:
#9 Luz Divina 3-1 18
#12 Scarborough Fair 4-1 18
#4 Novara 7-2 17 3rd $3.08
#6 Diferencia 6-1 17
Race 3:
#6 Dripping Gold 9-2 33 1st $9.38
#3 Public Sector (GB) 4-1 32 scratched
#9 Dynadrive 7-2 32
#10 Ocean Atlantique 5-1 31
Race 4:
#8 Tkac 12-1 20
#9 Courageous Clay 3-1 19 2nd $2.84
#4 Skater 6-1 18
#1 Captain Junuh 4-1 18
Race 5:
#2 Hola Gata 10-1 30 4th
#7 Spartan Queen 4-1 29 2nd $4.38
#10 Special Wan (IRE) 3-2 28 1st $4.60
#6 Quietly 12-1 28 scratched
Race 6:
#2 Chop Chop 5-2 37
#4 Greenfinch 3-1 36 4th
#7 Neecie Marie 4-1 35 1st $10.02
#6 Vergara 7-2 34 2nd $5.58
Race 7:
#8 Buttercream Babe 9-2 33
#13 Gavea (GER) 6-1 AE 32
#9 Pounce 7-2 32
#3 Time to Dazzle 6-1 31 4th
#4 Pipsy (IRE) 6-1 30
Race 8:
#8 Talk of the Nation 4-1 39
#10 Ancient Rome 5-2 38
#3 Irish Aces 12-1 37
#7 Funtastc Again 5-1 37
Race 9:
#8 Please Advise 8-1 33
#10 Howard Wolowitz 9-2 32
#6 Apollo Ten 6-1 31
#7 Joe Shiesty 8-1 31
Race 10:
#7 Tawny Port 8-1 37
#4 Get Smokin 12-1 36
#2 Integration 8-5 36
#3 Cathkin Peak (IRE) 15-1 35
Race 11:
#7 Grooms All Bizness 15-1 39
#4 Cogburn 6-5 38
#3 One Timer 8-1 37
#8 Khaadem (IRE) 7-2 36
Race 12:
#12 Thornbury 6-1 19
#7 Thabaat 8-1 18
#3 Secured Lender 6-1 18
#1 Firefight 4-1 17
Kentucky Downs Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 9,10,6,1
Race 2: 9,12,4
Race 3: 6,3,9 *3 scratched using 6,9,10
Race 4: 8,9,4
Race 5: 2,7,10
$.50 Ticket: $162
Early Pick 4:
Race 3: 6,3,9,10 *3 scratched using 6,9,10,8
Race 4: 8,9,4,1
Race 5: 2,7,10,6 *6 scratched using 2,7,10,1
Race 6: 2,4,7
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 5 (6-10):
Race 6: 2,4,7,6
Race 7: 8,13,9
Race 8: 8,10
Race 9: 8,10,6,7
Race 10: 7,4,2
$.50 Ticket: $144
Pick 4 (7-10):
Race 7: 8,13,9,3
Race 8: 8,10,3,7
Race 9: 8,10,6
Race 10: 7,4,2
$.50 Ticket: $72
Late Pick 5:
Race 8: 8,10,3,7
Race 9: 8,10,6,7
Race 10: 7,4,2
Race 11: 7,4,3
Race 12: 12,7,3
$.50 Ticket: $216
Late Pick 4:
Race 9: 8,10,6,7
Race 10: 7,4,2,3
Race 11: 7,4,3,8
Race 12: 12,7,3
$.50 Ticket: $96
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
September 2nd, 2024 Free Picks & Plays
*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,988/21,477 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,893/21,477. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…
*Monday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…
Saratoga Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#4 Military Road 1-2 19 3rd $2.10
#3 Elko County 7-2 18 2nd $4.40
#6 Stop the Press 6-1 17
#5 Daily Grind 9-2 16 1st $16.20
Race 2:
#11 Disco Star 9-5 AE 19 scratched
#6 Forever to Go 4-1 18 3rd $3.60
#2 Marvelous Madison 8-5 18 1st $4.10
#4 She’s Grand 8-1 17
#7 Wild Mischief 6-1 16 2nd $3.00
Race 3:
#4 Roman Goddess 8-5 28
#7 Spiritual Lady 6-1 27 4th
#5 Jackson Avenue 8-1 26 2nd $10.20
#3 Try It Again 10-1 26 1st $28.00
Race 4:
#2 Heard On Thestreet 5-2 28 1st $5.30
#1 Bonne Chance 7-2 27
#6 Midnight Express 4-1 27 3rd $2.80
#4 Paschal Moon 8-1 26
Race 5:
#3 Root Cause 4-1 33
#2 Prerequisite 8-5 33 1st $4.40
#7 Quarrel 6-1 32
#1 Thegirlfromireland 8-1 31 2nd $6.30
Race 6:
#3 Omaha Pistol 3-1 18 3rd $3.40
#4 Mozambique 6-1 17
#9 One Vision 4-1 16
#1 Hit the Post 5-1 16 4th
Race 7:
#8 Daytona Gold 3-1 17 scratched
#11 Rock Star Rebel 5-2 AE 16 2nd $4.90
#2 Solar Glare 4-1 16 4th
#5 Dominican Pirate 12-1 15
#3 Friend Ofthe Devil 9-2 14
Race 8:
#9 Our Shot 6-1 38 2nd $7.30
#8 Big Invasion 6-1 37 1st $9.50 Ex $59
#6 Souper Quest 3-1 36 3rd $3.30 Tri $198.48
#5 Arzak 7-5 36 4th Spr $347.40
Race 9:
#6 Dea Matrona (FR) 7-2 32 1st $8.80
#4 It’s Hot in Here (IRE) 5-2 31
#2 She’s Cool 12-1 30 scratched
#1 Diamond Status 10-1 29
Race 10:
#7 Mentee 5-1 33
#2 Ferocious 8-5 32 2nd $2.60
#8 Chancer McPatrick 5-2 32 1st $10.80
#9 Incentive Pay 8-1 31 3rd $3.90
Race 11:
#11 Child of the Moon 3-1 30 1st $4.80
#12 Beets 8-1 29
#8 Venencia (FR) 4-1 28 3rd $3.90
#9 Collaboration 6-1 28
Race 12:
#6 Dance On Air 7-2 16 4th
#2 Tour Jete 6-1 15 1st $7.40
#10 Dancin Jane 8-1 15 2nd $7.90
#8 Bomb Squad 5-1 14 3rd $4.60 Spr $961
Saratoga Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 4,3
Race 2: 11,6,2,4 *11 scratched using 6,2,4,7
Race 3: 4,7,5
Race 4: 2,1
Race 5: 3,2,7
$.50 Ticket: $72
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 11,6,2,4 *11 scratched using 6,2,4,7
Race 3: 4,7,5,3
Race 4: 2,1
Race 5: 3,2,7,1
$.50 Ticket: $64 $186.50
Pick 4 (4-7):
Race 4: 2,1
Race 5: 3,2,7,1
Race 6: 3,4,9,1
Race 7: 8,11,2,5 *8 scratched using 11,2,5,3
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 5 (5-9):
Race 5: 3,2,7,1
Race 6: 3,4,9,1
Race 7: 8,11,2 *8 scratched using 11,2,5
Race 8: 9,8,6,5
Race 9: 6,4
$.50 Ticket: $192
Pick 4 (6-9):
Race 6: 3,4,9,1
Race 7: 8,11,2,5 *8 scratched using 11,2,5,3
Race 8: 9,8,6,5
Race 9: 6,4
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 6:
Race 7: 8,11,2 *8 scratched using 11,2,5
Race 8: 9,8,6,5
Race 9: 6,4
Race 10: 7,2
Race 11: 11,12,8
Race 12: 6
$1.00 Ticket: $144
Late Pick 5:
Race 8: 9,8,6,5
Race 9: 6,4
Race 10: 7,2,8
Race 11: 11,12,8,9
Race 12: 6,2
$.50 Ticket: $96
Late Pick 4:
Race 9: 6,4
Race 10: 7,2,8
Race 11: 11,12,8,9
Race 12: 6,2,10,8
$,50 Ticket: $48 $134.75
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.