A Winning Day at the Races!

Monthly Archives: November 2024

November 14th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,259/21,930 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,099/21,930. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues will post Picks/Plays when able…

*Late Pick 5 for us last Saturday at Churchill Downs$5,235.45 on a $96 ticket…

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#2 Real Eleve 9-2                        15
#6 Papa Paulie P 6-1                  14 3rd $4.70
#9 Well Suited 5-2                      14
#7 Vamonos Vamonos 4-1        13 2nd $5.20

Race 2:

#8 Roman Goddess 6-1             27
#1 Bobby Jean 10-1                    26
#5 Enigmatic 7-2                        26 3rd $2.90
#2 Brooklyn Dantz 20-1            25

Race 3:

#4 For Some Reason 12-1         30 3rd $4.60
#7 Winnin’onweekends 5-2      29 4th
#8 Smile Mon 9-5                       29 2nd $2.80
#2 Skylander 4-1                         28 1st $5.50 Spr $209.40

Race 4:

#4 Weighted Average 5-2          18 2nd $3.30
#5 Steel Lute 9-5                        17 1st $5.00 Ex $15.60
#8 Mendee 10-1                          16 3rd $6.30  Tri $113.48
#3 African Waters 9-2                16

Race 5:

#5 Green Jobs 6-1                       19
#8 Chelsey’s Choice 5-1            18 2nd $3.80
#7 Good Long Cry 7-2                17 1st $4.60
#1 Olatz (GB) 3-1                        17 3rd $3.00

Race 6:

#7 Giroovin 9-2                          29 1st $8.80
#4 Mason Mania 7-2                  28 4th
#6 Legal Deal 3-1                       27 3rd $2.80
#3 Montebello 4-1                      27 2nd $3.40 Spr $259

Race 7:

#4 Collaboration 9-2                 31
#2 By Any Other Name 12-1    30
#7 Golden Rocket 5-1                29 scratched
#6 Wudhooh 10-1                       28

Race 8:

#10 Classic Mark 4-1                 29 2nd $4.60
#3 High Heat 3-1                        28 1st $10.20 Ex $51
#9 Union Lights 30-1                 27
#6 Winter’s Ghost 7-2                26

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  2,6,9

Race 2:  8,1,5,2

Race 3:  4,7,8

Race 4:  4,5

Race 5:  5,8,7,1

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  8,1,5,2

Race 3:  4,7,8,2

Race 4:  4,5

Race 5:  5,8,7,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 3:  4,7,8

Race 4:  4,5

Race 5:  5,8,7

Race 6:  7,4

Race 7:  4,2,7 *7 scratched using 4,2,6

Race 8:  10,3

$1.00 Ticket:  $216

Late Pick 5:

Race 4:  4,5

Race 5:  5,8,7,1

Race 6:  7,4,6,3

Race 7:  4,2,7 *7 scratched using 4,2,6

Race 8:  10,3

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 5:  5,8,7,1

Race 6:  7,4,6,3

Race 7:  4,2,7 *7 scratched using 4,2,6

Race 8:  10,3,9,6

$.50 Ticket:  $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

November 10th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,254/21,921 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,094/21,921. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues will post Picks/Plays when able…

*Late Pick 5 for us yesterday at Churchill Downs$5,235.45 on a $96 ticket…

*Sunday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Ice Road 3-1                           27 1st $4.90
#1 Majestic Arc 12-1                  26
#4 York Tavern 5-2                     25 2nd $3.50
#3 Wine Responsibly 2-1           25 3rd $2.30

Race 2:

#8 Wild Iris 6-1                           15 1st $6.90 Dbl $23.40
#1 Millie Jean 5-2                       14
#2 Colette’s Joy 7-2                    14
#6 She’s Wicked Smart 3-1       13 2nd $4.50

Race 3:

#4 Autumn Evening 8-5            30 1st $3.40 Dbl $18.40
#5 Luna Moth 3-1                       29 Pk 3 $56.00
#6 Willow Bend 4-1                    28 4th
#2 Midtown Lights 5-1               27

Race 4:

#9 Tall Paul 4-1                           33
#2 Twisted Filigree 8-1              32 2nd $5.60
#8 Heymackit’sjack 10-1            31
#6 Yarrow 5-1                               31 1st $16.60

Race 5:

#2 Red Sea 6-1                             19
#10 Papa Golf 12-1                     18 3rd $7.10
#1 High Beta 7-2                          18 1st $4.20
#4 Constitution Road 9-2          17 2nd $5.30

Race 6:

#9 Emirates Road 8-1                34 2nd $6.40
#2 Yo Daddy 6-1                          33
#5 Timeout 7-2                            33
#3 Pentathlon 6-1                       32

Race 7:

#8 Delahaye 4-5                          37 4th
#3 Venencia (FR) 6-1                  36 1st $15.60
#7 Root Cause 12-1                     35 3rd $14.60
#5 Breath Away (GB) 9-2            34 2nd $6.10 Spr $1,210

Race 8:

#8 No Show Sammy Jo 7-2         39 2nd $3.40
#11 Immensitude (FR) 5-1         38 3rd $5.80
#5 La Mehana (FR) 4-1                37
#3 Dancing Dean 6-1                   36

Race 9:

#2 Bewildered 5-1                       26
#4 Lady Arwen 3-1                      25 2nd $5.10
#8 Violets Smile 6-1                   25 3rd $4.00
#6 Last Glory 20-1                       24 1st $118.00

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,1,4,3 5

Race 2:  8,1,2 8

Race 3:  4,5 4

Race 4:  9,2,8,6 6

Race 5:  2,10,1 1

$.50 Ticket:  $144 $415

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  8,1,2,6 8

Race 3:  4,5 4

Race 4:  9,2,8,6 6

Race 5:  2,10,1,4 1

$.50 Ticket:  $64 $151.75

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  4,5

Race 4:  9,2,8,6

Race 5:  2,10,1,4

Race 6:  9,2,5,3

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 4:  9,2,8,6

Race 5:  2,10,1

Race 6:  9,2,5

Race 7:  8

Race 8:  8,11

Race 9:  2,4

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  2,10,1,4

Race 6:  9,2,5,3

Race 7:  8,3,7,5

Race 8:  8,11,5

Race 9:  2,4

$.50 Ticket:  $192

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  9,2,5,3

Race 7:  8,3

Race 8:  8,11,5,3

Race 9:  2,4,8,6

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

November 9th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,241/21,900 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,085/21,900. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues will post Picks/Plays when able…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct Churchill Downs Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#4 Salamis 2-1                             20 4th
#3 Georgia Magic 3-1                 19 scratched 
#6 Tux 3-1                                    18 1st $9.50
#2 Peak Performer 4-1               18

Race 2:

#2 Mariachi 3-1                           34 2nd $5.00
#6 Awesome Native 4-1             33 3rd $2.80
#3 Reddington 7-2                      33
#1 Alpine Thunder 9-2               32

Race 3:

#6 Spring Magic 5-2                   29 2nd $3.50
#7 Irish Jackson 5-1                    28 4th
#2 Street Jam 7-2                         27
#8 Spiritual Lady 6-1                  27 1st $17.60

Race 4:

#8 Lu’s Redemption 9-5              16 3rd $2.20
#5 When Your Strange 20-1       15
#9 Watch Over Me 4-1                 15
#7 Dream On Cara 5-1                 14 2nd $4.60

Race 5:

#6 Right to Vote 12-1                   33 4th
#2 Cugino 5-2                                33 2nd $3.40
#3 Deterministic 2-1                    32 1st $5.50
#7 Royal Majesty (GB) 7-2           32 3rd $2.90 Spr $193.40

Race 6:

#7 Funny Uncle 3-1                       30
#4 Kick a Buck 7-2                          29
#11 Miztertonic 9-2                       28 3rd $4.10
#6 Outtawaterbury 12-1               28

Race 7:

#9 Magnificent Mile 5-2                31 1st $7.10
#6 Sorority Prank 4-1                    30
#1 Vinsanity 6-1                             29
#2 Best Bet 9-2                                28

Race 8:

#9 Senbei 5-2                                  39
#1 Son of a Birch 20-1                   38
#5 Outlaw Kid 5-1                           37
#6 Alogon 9-2                                  36 1st $5.20

Race 9:

#2 Integration 2-1                           41 1st $4.50
#5 Limited Liability 5-1                 40 2nd $3.70 Ex $12.40
#9 Rebel Red (GB) 8-1                     39 3rd $3.60 Tri $52
#4 City Man 10-1                             38

Race 10:

#1 Bella Luna Mia 12-1                   16
#8 Trulli Magic 7-2                           15
#7 Tower Twenty Two 10-1            15
#11 Backwater 8-1                            14

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  4,3 *3 scratched using 4,6

Race 2:  2,6,3

Race 3:  6,7,2

Race 4:  8,5,9,7

Race 5:  6,2,3

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Pick 4:

Race 2:  2,6,3,1

Race 3:  6,7,2,8

Race 4:  8,5,9,7

Race 5:  6,2,3

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  8,5,9,7

Race 5:  6,2,3,7

Race 6:  7,4

Race 7:  9,6,1,2

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 5:  6,2,3

Race 6:  7,4

Race 7:  9,6,1

Race 8:  9,1,5

Race 9:  2

Race 10: 1,8 *8 scratched using 1,7

$1.00 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  7,4,11,6

Race 7:  9,6,1

Race 8:  9,1,5,6

Race 9:  2,5

Race 10: 1,8,7 *8 scratched using 1,7,11

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  9,6

Race 8:  9,1,5,6

Race 9:  2,5,9,4

Race 10: 1,8,7,11 *8 scratched using 1,7,11,16

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Churchill Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#1 Tapit Quick 3-1                        18
#5 Vino Frizzante 7-2                   17 2nd $3.80
#3 Mo for Us 2-1                            17 3rd $2.94
#7 Queenoftheuniverse 10-1      16

Race 2:

#6 Summer of Mischief 3-1         30
#1 Rosie’s Halo 4-1                        29 scratched
#9 Rose Palace 6-1                         28 1st $20.12
#7 Awesome Annmarie 5-1          27 3rd $3.44

Race 3:

#6 Sir Gallivant 3-1                        17
#11 Instant Replay 7-2                  16 1st $6.64
#4 Vino Dominus 5-1                     15 scratched
#7 Capo Luca 6-1                            15 4th

Race 4:

#3 Summonyourcourage 5-2         18
#5 Shortstop 9-5                              17 4th
#6 Hangin in There 7-2                   16 3rd $3.30
#2 Geno’s Myth 5-1                          15 2nd $6.84

Race 5:

#7 Piensa 4-1                                   18 2nd $3.84
#4 Lebowski 10-1                            17 4th
#12 Maui Strong 9-2                       16 1st $12.60
#11 Stiglets 15-1                             16

Race 6:

#5 Colormecairo 8-1                     29 4th
#2 Vinobello 3-1                            29 1st $5.34
#6 Candy Doll 6-1                          28 scratched
#3 Cararra 5-2                                 28 scratched

Race 7:

#2 Game Warden 6-1                    33
#1 Parchment Party 9-2               32
#5 Kinetic 4-1                                 31 1st $8.78
#10 Mackman 5-1                          30

Race 8:

#5 Mystic Pleasure 2-1                 35 2nd $3.66
#3 Spirit Wind 9-5                         34 3rd $2.10
#2 Upper Case 4-1                         33 1st $11.24 Tri $54.68
#6 Accomplished Girl 6-1             32 4th Spr $101.80

Race 9:

#9 World Record 3-1                      38 scratched 
#3 Horace Mann 6-1                      37 1st $13.90
#2 Rocket Can 9-2                          36 4th
#5 Gilcrease 15-1                            35 scratched

Race 10:

#5 Masteroffoxhounds 12-1          40
#8 Battle of Normandy 6-1            39 1st $10.32
#7 Wonderful Justice (GB) 12-1    38
#4 Reckoning Force 3-1                  38 2nd $5.02

Race 11:

#8 Antique Silver 5-1                      29 1st $11.48
#3 Lil Gin N Class 2-1                     28 2nd $3.06 Ex $33.32
#10 Mila Junes 10-1                         27 3rd $4.38 Tri $178.64
#1 Thestral 3-1                                 27

Churchill Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  1,5,3

Race 2:  6,1,9,7

Race 3:  6,11,4 *4 scratched using 6,11,7

Race 4:  3,5

Race 5:  7,4,12

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  6,1,9,7

Race 3:  6,11,4,7

Race 4:  3,5

Race 5:  7,4,12,11

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4:  3,5

Race 5:  7,4,12,11

Race 6:  5,2,6,3

Race 7:  2,1,5,10

Race 8:  5,3

$.50 Ticket:  $128

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5:  7,4,12,11

Race 6:  5,2,6,3

Race 7:  2,1,5,10

Race 8:  5,3

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 6:  5,2,6,3

Race 7:  2,1,5

Race 8:  5

Race 9:  9,3 *9 scratched using 3,2

Race 10: 5,8,7,4

Race 11:  8,3,10,1

$.20 Ticket:  $76.80

Late Pick 5:

Race 7:  2,1,5,10 5

Race 8:  5,3,2 2

Race 9:  9,3,2 3

Race 10: 5,8,7,4 8

Race 11:  8,3 8

$.50 Ticket:  $144 $5,235.45

Late Pick 4:

Race 8:  5,3

Race 9:  9,3,2,5

Race 10: 5,8,7,4

Race 11:  8,3,10,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

November 8th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,236/21,891 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,083/21,891. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues will post Picks/Plays when able…

*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#4 Save the Queen 5-2                19 4th
#1 Hay Evabody 9-5                     18 3rd $2.20
#7 Game Chaser 8-1                     17
#5 Wind Flower 5-1                      16

Race 2:

#2 Upstanding 6-5                       20 2nd $2.10
#4 Index Fund 2-1                        19 1st $8.50 Ex $14.80
#1 Stronsino 6-1                           18 3rd $3.70 Tri $61.48
#6 Happy Henry 9-2                     17 4th Spr $165.40

Race 3:

#3 Bold Endeavor 8-5                  31 3rd $2.70
#1 Suerte 2-1                                 29 1st e $5.90
#7 Alternate Reality 9-2              28 2nd $3.70 Tri $53
#4 He’s Got This 10-1                   28

Race 4:

#5 Taratel 2-1                                20 3rd $2.10
#8 Beauty Reigns 7-2                   19 1st $6.90
#2 Tejanita 8-1                              19 4th
#3 Decree and Declare 9-2          18 scratched 

Race 5:

#7 Halo City 3-1                            27
#4 Sister Linda 6-1                       26
#1 Pretti Xtreme 7-2                     26 4th
#3 Gringotts 6-1                            25

Race 6:

#11 Let’s Go Big Blue 7-2 AE       33
#2 Born Dancer 6-1                       32
#1 Clear Conscience 9-2               31
#5 B D Saints 10-1                         31
#7 Gem Mint Ten 4-1                    30

Race 7:

#5 Devil’s Cay 7-2                          27
#9 Chalky Cat 3-1                          26
#2 Whenlovetakesover 12-1        25
#10 Thank You Jon 6-1                 25

Race 8:

#5 Jody’s Pride 6-1                        32
#7 Macanga 7-2                              31
#2 No Mo Candy 10-1                   30
#1 Dea Matrona (FR) 12-1           30

Race 9:

#4 Toupie 3-1                                 34
#2 Dontlookbackatall 2-1            33
#6 Golden Hostess (SAF) 6-1      32
#5 Loon Cry 8-1                             32

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  4,1

Race 2:  2,4,1

Race 3:  3,1

Race 4:  5,8,2,3

Race 5:  7,4,1

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  2,4,1,6

Race 3:  3,1

Race 4:  5,8,2,3

Race 5:  7,4,1,3

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  3,1

Race 4:  5,8,2,3

Race 5:  7,4,1,3

Race 6:  11,2,1,5

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 4:  5,8

Race 5:  7,4,1

Race 6:  11,2,1

Race 7:  5,9

Race 8:  5,7

Race 9:  4,2

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  7,4,1

Race 6:  11,2,1,5

Race 7:  5,9

Race 8:  5,7,2,1

Race 9:  4,2,6

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  11,2,1,5

Race 7:  5,9

Race 8:  5,7,2,1

Race 9:  4,2,6,5

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

November 7th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,235/21,883 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,080/21,883. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues will post Picks/Plays when able…

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Magic Michael 3-1               33 scratched
#4 Moore’s Law 5-2                   32 2nd $2.80
#1 Summer Cause 7-2               31 3rd $2.90
#3 Army Times 7-2                    30 4th

Race 2:

#2 Social Hour 5-2                    16 3rd $2.50
#6 America’s Honor 3-1           15
#5 Broderick 10-1                      15
#3 My Mitole 7-2                       14 1st $8.80

Race 3:

#1 Maggy’s Palace 7-2               29 3rd $2.60
#3 Malu 9-2                                 29 scratched 
#9 Mosienko 4-1                         28
#7 Miss Lao 6-1                           27 2nd $8.90

Race 4:

#4 Good Mission 7-2                  15 scratched
#3 Majulu 9-2                              14
#5 Naughty Destiny 5-2            14 3rd $2.90
#1 Artistic Success 8-1               13 2nd $6.60

Race 5:

#4 Always Be Smart 4-1            28 2nd $3.20
#5 Wajda 3-1                               27 4th
#3 True Connection 8-1            26 3rd $3.70
#9 Just Be Honest 6-1                26

Race 6:

#8 Mon Petit Chou 5-1              27
#9 Jackson’s Dixie 9-2               26
#3 Latest Edition 4-1                 25
#4 Condiment Girl 10-1             25

Race 7:

#8 Rhiannon 9-5                         33
#10 Awesome Czech 6-1            32
#6 Revalita (FR) 7-2                    31
#4 Can’t Fool Me 10-1                30

Race 8:

#6 Vitalize 4-1                             17
#1 Wind Dancer 5-1                   16
#3 Hard Par 9-2                           15
#7 Spoken Bluntly 3-1               15

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,4,1,3

Race 2:  2,6

Race 3:  1,3,9,7

Race 4:  4,3,5 *4 scratched using 3,5,1

Race 5:  4,5

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  2,6,5,3

Race 3:  1,3,9,7

Race 4:  4,3,5 *4 scratched using 3,5,1

Race 5:  4,5

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 3:  1,3,9 *3 scratched using 1,9,7

Race 4:  4,3 *4 scratched using 3,5

Race 5:  4,5

Race 6:  8,9,3

Race 7:  8

Race 8:  6,1,3

$1.00 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 4:  4,3,5 *4 scratched using 3,5,1

Race 5:  4,5,3,9

Race 6:  8,9,3

Race 7:  8,10,6

Race 8:  6,1,3

$.50 Ticket:  $162

Late Pick 4:

Race 5:  4,5

Race 6:  8,9,3,4

Race 7:  8,10,6,4

Race 8:  6,1,3,7

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

November 3rd, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,233/21,874 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,077/21,874. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues will post Picks/Plays when able…

*Check back later in the week for Aqueduct Picks/Plays…

November 2nd, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,221/21,851 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,067/21,851. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues will post Picks/Plays when able…

*Saturday’s Full Card AqueductDel Mar Breeders Cup Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#4 Concorde Spirit 6-5                15 scratched
#5 Big Ego 5-2                               14 3rd $2.10
#2 Maximus Monster 12-1         13
#7 Ragazzo Diabolico 8-1           12 1st $12.00

Race 2:

#5 Vekoma Rides 3-1                  31 2nd $4.00
#2 Tony Eclipse 2-1                     30 3rd $4.00
#4 It’s Hammertime 6-5             30 4th
#3 Studlydoright 9-2                   29 1st $9.80 Spr $168.40

Race 3:

#1 Executive Move 9-5               16 2nd $2.50
#4 Clancy Fancy 8-1                    15 1st $11.00 Ex $22.00
#6 Accidental Bid 7-2                  15 scratched
#7 Stormy’s Dreaming 6-1         14

Race 4:

#2 Fort Washington 5-1              34 3rd $2.60
#5 Running Bee 7-5                     33 1st $3.40
#4 Big Everest (GB) 5-2               33 2nd $3.10
#6 Sky’s Not Falling 10-1            32

Race 5:

#8 Valenzan Day 6-5                   31 1st $3.10
#6 Jemography 5-1                      30
#9 Ski Country 4-1                       29 3rd $2.60
#4 Daddy Knows 15-1                  28

Race 6:

#2 Rockible 4-1                            15
#8 Gimme Gimme 3-1                14 1st $6.90
#3 Monte Avi 7-2                         14 3rd $2.50
#9 Revivalism 5-1                        13

Race 7:

#1 National Identity 5-2             17 1st $3.10
#6 Free Dance 8-1                        16 3rd $2.30
#4 Skytown 3-1                             15 scratched
#5 Man of Mischief 6-1               15

Race 8:

#7 Annascaul 3-1                          29 2nd $3.90
#1 Yougottahavehope 7-2           28 3rd $2.10
#4 Laurice 4-1                                28 scratched 
#3 Perfect Figure 6-1                    27 4th

Race 9:

#7 Modica 4-1                              30 3rd $3.10
#9 Waitlist 6-1                              29 scratched
#4 Brigade Commander 7-2       28 2nd $4.00
#2 Victory Dash 5-1                     28

Race 10:

#6 Wild Mama 8-1                       31
#9 Impulse Buy 5-2                     30 2nd $2.80
#8 The Queens M G 4-1              30 3rd $2.60
#1 Stunner 6-5                              29 1st $5.80

Race 11:

#2 Bryant and Cooper 7-2          18
#8 Willful Mama 4-1                   17 2nd $4.20
#4 Pocket Queens 8-1                 16
#1 Moonlight Gal 6-1                  15

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  4,5 *4 scratched using 5,2

Race 2:  5,2,4,3

Race 3:  1,4,6 *6 scratched using 1,4,7

Race 4:  2,5,4

Race 5:  8,6

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  5,2,4,3

Race 3:  1,4,6 *6 scratched using 1,4,7

Race 4:  2,5,4

Race 5:  8,6,9,4

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4:  2,5,4,6

Race 5:  8,6,9,4

Race 6:  2,8

Race 7:  1,6,4 *4 scratched using 1,6,5

Race 8:  7,1

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5:  8,6,9,4

Race 6:  2,8,3,9

Race 7:  1,6,4 *4 scratched using 1,6,5

Race 8:  7,1,4 *4 scratched using 7,1,3

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 6:

Race 6:  2,8,3

Race 7:  1,6,4 *4 scratched using 1,6,5

Race 8:  7,1

Race 9:  7,9,4 *9 scratched using 7,4,2

Race 10: 6,9

Race 11:  2

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 7:  1,6,4,5

Race 8:  7,1,4,3

Race 9:  7,9,4 *9 scratched using 7,4,2

Race 10: 6,9,8

Race 11:  2,8

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 8:  7,1

Race 9:  7,9,4,2

Race 10: 6,9,8,1

Race 11:  2,8,4,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Del Mar Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#11 Lahaina Flavor 5-1                33
#10 Jeweled Shillelagh 8-1          32
#6 Canada Gate 4-1                       31 2nd $6.80
#9 King Apollo 8-1                         31

Race 2:

#3 Hope Road 6-5                         37 1st $2.60
#7 Show Card 6-1                          35 scratched
#4 Alpha Bella 8-5                        34 2nd $3.20
#2 Desert Dawn 10-1                    32 3rd $2.60

Race 3:

#1 Aspen Grove (IRE) 5-1           36
#10 Raqlya (IRE) 6-1                    35 1st $12.20
#8 Nadette (FR) 6-1                      34
#4 Mouffy 10-1                              33 4th

Race 4:

#2 One Magic Philly 10-1           40
#9 Ways and Means 5-2              39
#7 Zeitlos 6-1                                38
#6 Society 3-1                               37 2nd $5.80

Race 5:

#2 Motorious (GB) 8-1                 41 2nd $11.00
#6 Star of Mystery (GB) 10-1      40 4th
#9 Cogburn 7-5                              39
#7 Howard Wolowitz 30-1           38

Race 6:

#9 Awesome Result 4-1               39 scratched 
#2 Thorpedo Anna 4-5                38 1st $2.80
#1 Candied 15-1                            37 3rd $2.80
#6 Raging Sea 7-2                         36 2nd $3.00

Race 7:

#11 Rebel’s Romance 5-2           41 1st $5.80
#6 Far Bridge 6-1                         40
#3 Shahryar (JPN) 10-1               39 3rd $4.80
#4 Luxembourg (IRE) 12-1         38

Race 8:

#2 Highland Falls 20-1               42
#11 Sierra Leone 12-1                 41 1st $15.80
#9 Fierceness 3-1                         41 2nd $4.40
#10 Tapit Trice 30-1                    40

Race 9:

#2 Full Count Felicia 12-1        39
#3 Cinderella’s Dream 4-1        38 2nd $4.60
#1 Beautiful Love (IRE) 20-1    38 4th
#4 War Like Goddess 5-2           37

Race 10:

#9 Remake (JPN) 8-1                 44
#3 Federal Judge 3-1                 43
#1 Raging Torrent 10-1             42
#10 Mullikin 7-2                         41

Race 11:

#9 Johannes 9-2                         45
#12 Carl Spackler (IRE) 6-1     44
#7 Porta Fortuna (IRE) 4-1      43
#4 Diego Velazquez 8-1            42

Race 12:

#8 Post Time 12-1                     42
#9 Domestic Product 7-2         41
#1 Saudi Crown 5-1                  40
#3 Full Serrano (ARG) 15-1     39

Del Mar Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  11,10,6,9

Race 2:  3,7,4

Race 3:  1,10,8,4

Race 4:  2,9,7

Race 5:  2,6,9

$.50 Ticket:  $216

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  3,7,4

Race 3:  1,10,8,4

Race 4:  2,9,7

Race 5:  2,6,9

$.50 Ticket:  $54

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4:  2,9,7,6

Race 5:  2,6,9,7

Race 6:  9,2,1

Race 7:  11,6,3,4

Race 8:  2,11

$.50 Ticket:  $192

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5:  2,6,9,7

Race 6:  9,2,1,6

Race 7:  11,6,3

Race 8:  2,11,9

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6:  9,2

Race 7:  11,6,3,4

Race 8:  2,11,9,10

Race 9:  2,3,1,4

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 4 (7-10):

Race 7:  11,6

Race 8:  2,11,9,10

Race 9:  2,3,1,4

Race 10: 9,3,1,10

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 7:  11

Race 8:  2,11,9,10

Race 9:  2,3,1,4

Race 10: 9,3

Race 11:  9,12,7

Race 12:  8,9,1

$1.00 Ticket:  $288

Late Pick 5:

Race 8:  2,11,9,10

Race 9:  2,3,1,4

Race 10: 9,3,1

Race 11:  9,12,7

Race 12:  8,9

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 9:  2,3,1,4

Race 10: 9,3,1,10

Race 11:  9,12,7,4

Race 12:  8,9,1

$.50 Ticket:  $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.