April 14th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 10,641/16,241, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 7,229/16,241. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for the people of Ukraine…

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#5 Hoodooland 7-2 19 2nd $2.40
#3 Spiked 9-5 18 scratched
#1 Speaks for Itself 4-5 18 1st $2.80
#1a No One’s Laughing 4-5 17 4th

Race 2:

#2 Mister Winston 6-1 27 1st $10.80
#3 Liveyourbeastlife 6-5 26
#5 Wild Union 5-2 26 4th
#4 Mucho Sunshine 9-2 25 3rd $3.00

Race 3:

#6 Never Early 1-1 28 1st $3.90 Dbl $19.80
#5 Silipo 7-2 27 2nd $4.20 Ex $11.20
#3 Heads Or Tails 6-1 26 3rd $4.00 Tri $42.60
#1 Bossmakinbossmoves 3-1 25 4th Spr $80.40

Race 4:

#8 Investment Income 1-2 16 scratched
#3 Candlestick Maker 12-1 14
#2 Masabeeh 5-1 13 2nd $3.20
#5 Belleshazza 8-1 12 4th

Race 5:

#10 Palace Gossip 7-2 29 2nd $5.80
#2 Ready A. P. 5-1 28
#8 Sassy Melissa 4-1 27 1st $9.70
#5 Fontanafredda 6-1 26 4th

Race 6:

#7 Nicholas James 5-2 14 1st $5.80
#3 My Boy Colton 7-2 13 4th
#5 Bird Ruler 2-1 12 3rd $2.50
#4 Alite 4-1 11 2nd $6.10 Spr $306.40

Race 7:

#6 Cafe Society 2-1 32 2nd $2.10
#1 Default Protection 5-2 31 4th
#2 Make Mischief 9-5 30 1st $4.70
#3 Hybrid Eclipse 9-2 29 scratched

Race 8:

#10 Worth a Shot 6-1 33
#2 Kuramata (IRE) 8-5 32 1st e $3.50
#8 Buy Land and See 8-1 31 2nd $5.10
#5 Highland Chief (IRE) 9-2 30

Race 9:

#4 Merger of Equals 5-1 17
#1 Smokin’ Hot Kitty 7-2 16
#3 Royal Dancer 12-1 15 3rd $9.40
#11 Crosstalk 4-1 14 2nd $5.10

Aqueduct Plays

*Made significant changes after scratches…

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 5,3,1/1a 1

Race 2: 2,3,5,4 2

Race 3: 6,5 6

Race 4: 3,2 x

Race 5: 10,2,8,5 8

$.50 Ticket: $9 6

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 2,3,5,4 2

Race 3: 6,5,3,1 6

Race 4: 8,3 *8 scratched using 3,2 x

Race 5: 10,2,8,5 8

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 4: 3,2 x

Race 5: 10,2,8 8

Race 6: 7,3,5 7

Race 7: 6 x

Race 8: 10,2 2

Race 9: 4,1,3 x

$1.00 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 5: 10,2,8,5 8

Race 6: 7,3,5 7

Race 7: 6,1,2 2

Race 8: 10,2 2

Race 9: 4,1 x

$.50 Ticket: $72

Late Pick 4:

Race 6: 7,3,5,4 7

Race 7: 6,1,2 2

Race 8: 10,2,8 2

Race 9: 4,1,3 x

$.50 Ticket: $54

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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