A Winning Day at the Races!

April 15th , 2018 Free Picks & Plays

*Picks will only be available on weekends for the foreseeable future, and will be posted here on the Free Page.

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1 :               Strength Variable :

#3 Truly a Moon Shot 2-1                           26
#2 Conquest Prankster 3-1                         25
#7 Asphalt Paving 7-2                                  24
#5 Daring Destiny 6-1                                  23

Race 2 :

#3 Pray for Bourbon 3-1                             27
#4 Hexameter 5-2                                        26
#5 For Honor 9-2                                          25
#2 Leah’s Dream 7-2                                    25

Race 3 :

#1 Hawkish 6-5                                             28
#4 War Chest 3-1                                          27
#7 Gleason 7-2                                               25
#5 Manchester City (GER) 6-1                    24

Race 4 :

#5 Mascarello 9-5                                         29
#7 Wicked Freud 5-2                                    27
#10 Tiz a Chance 6-1                                    25
#1 Changewilldoyagood 7-2                        25

Race 5 :

#3 One More Round 8-1                               26
#4 Micozzi 4-5                                                26
#7 Hatteras Bound 7-2                                  25
#2 Full of Mine 6-1                                        23

Race 6 :

#3 Cumbria 9-2                                               24
#6 Quietly Quick 5-1                                      23
#7 New Pass 5-2                                              22
#5 Nazay 10-1                                                  20

Race 7 :

#10 March X Press 9-2                                  30
#7 Out of The Flames (GB) 7-2                    29
#1 Nootka Sound 8-1                                     28
#5 Golden Days 5-1                                        26

Race 8 :

#5 Blue Prize (ARG) 8-5                                 34 *Best Bet
#3 Just Got Out 15-1                                       30
#1 Crimson Frost 4-1                                      29
#6 Verve’s Tale 6-5                                           29

Race 9 :

#3 Dr. Melfi 4-1                                              22
#7 Peril 6-1                                                      21
#8 Myhartblongstodady 5-2                         21
#10 Grand Banks 7-2                                      19

Keeneland Selections

Race 1 :              Strength Variable :

#5 Yankton 7-2                                               24
#6 Terrible Day (ARG) 6-1                            22
#4 Allthewrongreasons 3-1                          21
#3 Take the Count 4-1                                   19

Race 2 :

#1 Funny Holiday 5-2                                    25
#7 Iron Lilly 4-1                                              23
#5 Princess Lu Lu 6-1                                     21
#3 Jenna J 5-1                                                   20

Race 3 :

#3 Tequila Sunrise 3-1                                   26
#5 Agreeable 4-1                                             25
#7 Skeptic 7-2                                                   25
#4 Actress On Board 9-2                                 23

Race 4 :

#7 L. A. Way 10-1                                            21
#9 Money Purse 3-1                                       20
#2 On the Come 5-1                                       18
#6 Global Warm Me 8-1                                 17

Race 5 :

#4 Profiteer 5-2                                               34
#3 Zulu Alpha 6-1                                           32
#5 Team Colors 8-1                                         30
#11 Hieroglyphics 7-2                                     29

Race 6 :

#9 Katie’s Reward 7-2                                     28
#1 Line Drive 3-1                                             27
#3 Shred Silence 10-1                                     26
#6 Mo Flash 5-1                                                24

Race 7 :

#4 Summer Luck 3-1                                      32 *Best Bet
#5 Mischievous Champ 4-1                           29
#3 Altered Mind 12-1                                     27
#9 Red Dane (ITY) 6-1                                    26

Race 8 :

#4 Eight Town 3-1                                           34
#7 Yorkton 4-1                                                 33
#2 Recruiting Ready 2-1                                 31
#3 Dan the Go to Man 6-1                              30

Race 9 :

#7 Line Judge 5-2                                             31
#5 Catholic Cowboy 5-1                                  29
#9 Hollywood Critic 5-1                                  28
#1 Gorgeous Bird 6-1                                       26

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by four, five or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 


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