April 19th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,898/22,916 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,600/22,916. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct ,Oaklawn, and Keeneland Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#2 Goldcrest 8-5 26 1st $6.30
#1 Ghostly Girl 2-1 25 scratched
#4 Lika Rolling Stone 3-1 24 2nd $2.20 Ex $13.20
#3 Shezanarcticqueen 4-1 24 3rd

Race 2:

#2 Shared Success 5-2 27 1st $6.90 Dbl $27.40
#1 Senegal 1-1 27 2nd $2.20 Ex $12.00
#4 A Lister 6-1 26
#5 Cumberland Blues 5-1 25 3rd $2.40

Race 3:

#4 Limits of Power 7-2 14
#6 Mano E Mano 5-1 13
#1 Prairie Dunes 5-1 12 4th
#2 Her Sugar Baby 3-1 11 3rd $3.90

Race 4:

#6 Barb 6-1 19
#1 Duration 6-5 18 3rd $3.40
#1a Strategic Focus 6-5 18 1st $3.40
#5 Sturdy 9-2 17 4th

Race 5:

#3 Roadie 7-2 16
#5 Foto 3-1 15
#6 Pandemic Hero 4-1 14 2nd $7.30
#2 Carlin Contention 8-1 13

Race 6:

#7 The Big Calhouna 7-2 33 1st $10.00
#1 Mursal 7-2 31
#8 Grammy Girl 9-2 31 3rd $3.60
#4 Speightful Lily 6-1 30 2nd $3.60

Race 7:

#6 Commander of Truth 3-1 18
#1 Market Timing 6-1 17
#2 Radauti 3-1 16 2nd $4.70
#4 Turn and Count 5-2 16 1st $9.30

Race 8:

#4 Mo Plex 9-5 31 1st $4.60
#3 Faster Gator 5-2 30 2nd $3.60 Ex $12.60
#1 Pascaline 2-1 29 3rd $2.20 Tri $25.40
#5 McKellen 6-1 28

Race 9:

#8 Dillinger 2-1 28 2nd $3.10
#2 Zeebear 6-1 27 scratched
#9 Return the Ring 6-1 26
#5 Hot Rod Rumble 15-1 26 scratched

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 2,1,4

Race 2: 2,1,4,5

Race 3: 4,6,1,2

Race 4: 6,1/1a

Race 5: 3,5

$.50 Ticket: $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 2,1

Race 3: 4,6,1,2

Race 4: 6,1/1a,5

Race 5: 3,5,6,2

$.50 Ticket: $48

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3: 4,6,1,2

Race 4: 6,1/1a

Race 5: 3,5,6,2

Race 6: 7,1,8,4

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 4: 6,1/1a

Race 5: 3,5

Race 6: 7,1,8,4

Race 7: 6,1,2

Race 8: 4

Race 9: 8

$1.00 Ticket: $48

Late Pick 5:

Race 5: 3,5,6

Race 6: 7,1,8,4

Race 7: 6,1,2

Race 8: 4,3

Race 9: 8,2,9 *2 scratched using 8,9,4

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 6: 7,1,8,4

Race 7: 6,1,2,4

Race 8: 4,3,1

Race 9: 8,2,9 *2 scratched using 8,9,4

$.50 Ticket: $72

Oaklawn Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#3 Haunted Flame 2-1 27 4th
#4 Rebel Moon 5-1 26
#9 Rock Solo 9-5 26 1st $4.80
#5 Iron Sharpens Iron 20-1 25 2nd $7.40

Race 2:

#8 Raymond 3-1 32 scratched
#12 Principe Carlo 6-1 30 1st $8.00
#1 Briterdayzahead 8-1 29 3rd $3.80
#10 Uncaptured Warrior 7-2 28 scratched

Race 3:

#4 Avery’s Mischief 3-1 17 2nd $3.20
#3 Tempting Eve 5-2 16 3rd $2.40
#9 Olympic Star 15-1 15
#5 Rational Theory 6-1 14 4th

Race 4:

#1 Gun Party 4-1 30 3rd $3.40
#3 Darrow 5-1 29 scratched
#8 Mena 9-2 29 2nd $5.80
#7 Imperial Gun 5-2 28

Race 5:

#10 Sports Hero 4-1 19
#11 Thirteen G’s 8-1 18 4th
#4 Fanatical 3-1 18 2nd $4.20
#7 Septimus 7-2 17

Race 6:

#7 Instant Replay 4-5 34 1st $3.40
#1 Hymn 4-1 32 4th
#4 Tiz Secure 9-2 31
#2 Caldera 15-1 31 2nd $2.60

Race 7:

#7 Super Cruise 2-1 20 1st $6.20
#9 Global Quote 7-2 19
#10 Kavanaugh 10-1 18 scratched
#8 Tap Into This 5-2 18 2nd $3.40

Race 8:

#10 Little Blaze 5-2 31 2nd $3.80
#8 Mo for Us 3-1 30
#5 Brooklyn Drew 8-1 29
#2 Insightful Miss 7-2 28

Race 9:

#12 Hicko 8-5 17 2nd $3.20
#2 Tizmarkus 5-2 16 4th
#7 Personal Jet 6-1 15
#3 Willy Cuts 10-1 14

Race 10:

#4 Quantum Burst 2-1 31 3rd $3.00
#7 Miss Martini 3-1 30
#3 Anonima 7-2 30 4th
#5 Dare to Fly 4-1 29 2nd $5.00

Race 11:

#7 Banishing 7-2 41 2nd $7.20
#3 First Mission 2-1 40 1st $4.80 Ex $29.80
#5 Alexander Helios 4-1 39
#4 Skippylongstocking 5-2 38 3rd $2.40

Race 12:

#8 Gettinby 8-1 29
#9 Nicholai 12-1 28 4th
#2 Campisi 7-2 28
#7 Zippy Mark 5-2 27

Oaklawn Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 3,4,9

Race 2: 8,12,1,10 *8,10 scratched using 12,1,4,6

Race 3: 4,3

Race 4: 1,3,8

Race 5: 10,11,4,7

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 8,12,1,10 *8,10 scratched using 12,1,4,6

Race 3: 4,3

Race 4: 1,3,8,7

Race 5: 10,11,4,7

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5: 10,11,4,7

Race 6: 7,1

Race 7: 7,9,10,8

Race 8: 10,8

Race 9: 12,2,7

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6: 7,1,4 *4 scratched using 7,1,2

Race 7: 7,9,10,8

Race 8: 10,8,5,2

Race 9: 12,2

$.50 Ticket: $48

Late Pick 5:

Race 8: 10,8,5,2

Race 9: 12,2

Race 10: 4,7,3

Race 11: 7,3,5

Race 12: 8,9,2,7

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 9: 12,2

Race 10: 4,7,3,5

Race 11: 7,3,5,4

Race 12: 8,9,2,7

$.50 Ticket: $64

Keeneland Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#3 My Bossy Lady 3-1 27 4th
#5 Always Practical 8-1 26 1st $6.68
#6 Digital Sale 2-1 25 3rd $4.32
#2 Delicate 7-2 25

Race 2:

#4 Crudo 4-5 19 1st $2.88
#1 Night Agent 5-2 18 3rd $2.86
#6 Homer’s Odyssey 9-2 16 4th
#5 You Belong Here 8-1 15

Race 3:

#4 Executive Action 4-1 29 1st $9.44 Dbl $14.98
#9 Copperlite 5-2 28 4th
#2 Proven Hope 3-1 28 3rd $4.14
#5 Boitano 6-1 27

Race 4:

#7 Fixin to Bee 8-5 30 1st $12.06 Dbl $54.24
#2 Calmate 7-2 29 Pk 3 $51.44
#6 Good Temper 3-1 28
#5 El Joury 12-1 27 3rd $3.78

Race 5:

#7 Top Gun Rocket 9-5 29 1st $3.64 Dbl $18.92
#8 Liam’s Journey 7-2 28 scratched Pk 3 $83.60
#6 Colorado Cruiser 9-2 27 4th
#3 Ask Arthur 8-1 26

Race 6:

#1 How’s Ur Attitude 4-1 31 4th
#2 Cat On Time 2-1 30 1st $7.14
#6 Gilcrease 8-1 29
#3 Honky Tonk Highway 7-2 29 scratched

Race 7:

#7 Pipsy (IRE) 9-2 33 1st $7.18
#4 Bandonarun 7-2 32
#2 Dancing Duchess 10-1 31 4th
#3 Cloudwalker 6-1 30

Race 8:

#5 Just a Touch 6-5 36 1st $2.96
#9 Skinner 3-1 35 4th
#8 Gould’s Gold 6-1 33 3rd $3.84
#6 Stretch Ride 8-1 32

Race 9:

#9 Missed the Cut 6-1 39
#1 Rebel Red (GB) 8-1 38 4th
#6 Limited Liability 8-5 38 2nd $5.36
#2 Grand Sonata 4-1 37

Race 10:

#4 Time for Trouble 4-1 36 4th
#7 Uno Mas Bourbon 7-2 35 3rd $3.22
#6 Duke of Love 5-2 34
#1 San Siro 9-2 33 2nd $3.92

Race 11:

#7 Rothschild 9-2 34 *Best Bet
#8 Then 7-2 32 3rd $3.48
#2 English Chunnel 6-1 31 1st $31.66
#12 Ciro di Marzio 4-1 30

Keeneland Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 3,5,6,2

Race 2: 4,1

Race 3: 4,9,2

Race 4: 7,2,6

Race 5: 7,8 *8 scratched using 7,6

$.50 Ticket: $72 $130.87

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 4,1,6

Race 3: 4,9,2

Race 4: 7,2,6

Race 5: 7,8 *8 scratched using 7,6

$50 Ticket: $27 $39.19

Pick 6:

Race 6: 1,2

Race 7: 7,4

Race 8: 5

Race 9: 9,1,6

Race 10: 4,7,6

Race 11: 7,8

$1.00 Ticket: $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 7: 7,4,2,3

Race 8: 5,9

Race 9: 9,1,6

Race 10: 4,7,6

Race 11: 7,8

$.50 Ticket: $72

Late Pick 4:

Race 8: 5,9

Race 9: 9,1,6,2

Race 10: 4,7,6,1

Race 11: 7,8,2,12

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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