April 21st, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

• April 20, 2023
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site seven years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 12,250/18,715, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 8,564/18,715. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Nice Day for us this past Sunday at Aqueduct…Best Bet “Lady Milagro” paid $28.80 in the 8th & Top Choice “Ever Graceful” paid $19.40 in the 9th for a $153 Cold Double to Close Out the Card…

*Early Pick 5 for us Thursday at Aqueduct… $1061.75 on a $108 ticket…

*Visit the “Membership Page” to purchase a “Saturday Pass”…$22.99 for Full Access to Saturday’s Aqueduct/Keeneland/Oaklawn Picks/Plays…

*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#1 Majestic Michael 6-1                  19 2nd $7.50
#6 D Hopper 1-1                               19 4th
#4 Finn’s Moment 8-1                     18
#3 Venge 9-2                                      16

Race 2:

#1 Arina (GER) 3-5                          31 3rd $2.20
#1a Yukata (IRE) 3-5                       30 1st $3.50
#4 Canisy 5-2                                    29 2nd $3.00
#2 Bramble Bay 5-1                         28

Race 3:

#3 Kaz’s Beach 9-2                           32 scratched
#1 Excellent Timing 7-5                  32 3rd $2.10
#5 Dot’s Dollar 6-1                           31 1st $9.80
#6 Rotknee 8-5                                  30 2nd $3.50 Tri $64

Race 4:

#2 Global Image 5-2                        16
#4 Magical Ways 6-5                        15 1st $3.90
#3 Peja Du 9-2                                   15
#7 Succeed 10-1                                14 2nd $5.50

Race 5:

#7 Vegas Weekend 15-1                    29
#5 Spiked 9-5                                      28 1st $5.90
#4 Anatolian 6-1                                28 4th
#3 Know It All Audrey 5-2                27 2nd $3.10

Race 6:

#5 Meteorite 6-1                                20 *Best Bet
#4 Rule Breaker 3-1                           18
#2 Unaffected 15-1                            17
#3 I’m Just 9-2                                    16

Race 7:

#9 Dontmesswithtess 7-5                  28
#1 Union Dolly 2-1                              27
#7 Bella Principessa 8-1                     27
#6 Brisky Frolic 10-1                           26

Race 8:

#1 Bavarian Creme 5-1                      29
#3 Happy Sophia 8-1                          28
#2 Sweet Mystery 7-2                         27
#6 Stone Creator 9-5                          27

Race 9:

#11 Little Skippy 5-2 AE                   16
#4 Brass Monkey 8-1                         16
#5 Leo Fong 8-1                                  15
#2 Don’t Let Me Down 7-2               14
#6 Old Point 3-1                                 14

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  1,6,4,3 x

Race 2:  1/1a,4 1a

Race 3:  3,1 *3 scratched using 1,5 5

Race 4:  2,4,3 4

Race 5:  7,5,4,3 5

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  1/1a,4 1a

Race 3:  3,1,5,6 5

Race 4:  2,4,3,7 4

Race 5:  7,5,4,3 5

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  3,1,5,6 5

Race 4:  2,4 4

Race 5:  7,5,4,3 5

Race 6:  5,4,2,3

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 4:  2,4 4

Race 5:  7,5,4 5

Race 6:  5

Race 7:  9,1 *9 scratched using 1,7

Race 8:  1,3,2 *3 scratched using 1,2,6

Race 9:  11,4,5,2 *11 scratched using 4,5,2,6

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  7,5,4,3 5

Race 6:  5,4

Race 7:  9,1,7 *9 scratched using 1,7,6

Race 8:  1,3,2 *3 scratched using 1,2,6

Race 9:  11,4,5,2 *11 scratched using 4,5,2,6

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  5,4

Race 7:  9,1,7,6

Race 8:  1,3,2,6

Race 9:  11,4,5,2 *11 scratched using 4,5,2,6

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.