A Winning Day at the Races!

April 23rd, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 10,675/16,297, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 7,256/16,297. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for the people of Ukraine…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct Oaklawn Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Grand Cay 4-1                         18 3rd $2.90
#6 Good Medicine 6-1                 18
#1 Analogy 3-1                             17 1st $5.90
#3 Forwardly 9-5                          17

Race 2:

#1 Awesome Indra 2-1                 29 3rd $2.10
#5 Hydra 9-2                                  28 1st $12.00
#6 Suspended Campaign 5-1      27
#2 Prairie Fire 9-2                         27 scratched

Race 3:

#8 Barkin 8-5                                 32 3rd $2.40
#1 She’s the One 2-1                     31 1st $4.60
#6 Mischievous Dream 9-2          30 4th
#3 Cara’s Dreamer 7-2                  29 2nd $4.20

Race 4:

#7 Snicket 5-2                                28 1st $4.50
#1 Chasing Cara 5-1                      27 3rd $2.80
#2 Towering Orbit 9-2                   27
#4 Impazible Donna 7-2               26 4th

Race 5:

#1 Deep Cover 4-1                         29 2nd $3.60
#5 Volkert 9-2                                 28 3rd $4.00
#4 Cotton 6-1                                  27 scratched
#9 Sandrone 8-1                             26

Race 6:

#6 Pratice Squad 7-2                      27 scratched
#9 Noble Conquest 5-1                  26
#3 Laban M Mo 15-1                       25
#4 Eddie the Great 12-1                 25 2nd $11.00

Race 7:

#7 Capital Gal 4-1                           15
#5 Royal Currency 5-2                    14 2nd $4.10
#3 Liberty Flame 3-1                       14 1st $7.90
#2 Cabernet Trail 15-1                    13

Race 8:

#2 Barese 2-5                                    33 3rd $2.10
#3 Tommy Gun 12-1                        26
#7 Kazmike 8-1                                 25 1st $20.80
#5 Red D G P 30-1                             24

Race 9:

#6 Unanimous Consent  2-1          29 1st $5.10
#4 Fort Washington 7-2                  28 2nd $3.50 Ex $16.20
#3 Chanceux 5-1                              28 3rd $2.40 Tri $45
#1 Heaven Street 9-2                       27

Race 10:

#2 Tonalistic 8-1                               12
#1 Martini Margarita 6-1                 11
#5 He’s Got It 2-1                              10 1st $6.10
#3 Reap What You Sow 15-1           10

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,6,1,3 1

Race 2:  1,5,6 5

Race 3:  8,1 1

Race 4:  7,1,2 7

Race 5:  1,5,4,9 x

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  1,5,6,2 5

Race 3:  8,1 1

Race 4:  7,1,2,4 7

Race 5:  1,5,4,9 x

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 5:  1,5,4 x

Race 6:  6,9 *6 scratched using 9,3 x

Race 7:  7,5,3 3

Race 8:  2 x

Race 9:  6,4 6

Race 10: 2,1,5 5

$1.00 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  6,9,3,4 x

Race 7:  7,5,3 3

Race 8:  2,3 x

Race 9:  6,4,3 6

Race 10: 2,1,5 5

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  7,5,3 3

Race 8:  2,3,7 7

Race 9:  6,4,3 6

Race 10: 2,1,5 5

$.50 Ticket:  $40.50 $500.50

Oaklawn Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#7 Fifth Risk 3-1                             26 2nd $3.00
#2 My Coralena 7-2                        25 3rd $2.60
#5 Little Bird Flash 5-1                  24
#4 Knight’s Honor 5-1                    24

Race 2:

#6 Project Thunder 9-2                  14 3rd $2.80
#3 Lead Off 6-1                                12
#11 Harry 4-1                                    11 1st $8.80
#10 Take No Prisoners 5-1             10 2nd $3.60

 Race 3:

#1 Vobiscum 5-1                               18
#3 Sinner’s Sin 9-5                           18 2nd $2.60
#6 Times Union 6-1                          17 1st $31.80
#5 Suppressor 7-2                             16 4th

Race 4:

#11 Abdan 4-1                                   27 3rd $3.80
#8 Major Attraction 6-1                   26
#5 Tiz Showbiz 3-1                            25
#12 Top Brass 6-1                              25 scratched

Race 5:

#3 Clairiere 5-2                                  37 *Best Bet 2nd $2.20
#5 Ce Ce 2-1                                        35 3rd $2.20
#2 Letruska 7-5                                   34 1st $3.80
#1 Maracuja 6-1                                  33 4th

Race 6:

#1 Verrazano First 2-1                      30
#8 Call of Honor 5-1                          28 1st $17.60
#7 River Echo (GB) 4-1                      27 3rd $3.20
#11 Eagle Pass 6-1                              26

Race 7:

#2 Raymond 12-1                               18 1st $12.40
#7 Acehigh Royal 7-2                         17
#9 Plausible Denile 5-2                     17 4th
#3 Royal Consort 6-1                         16

Race 8:

#2 Stellar Tap 5-2                               31
#7 Happy Boy Rocket 5-1                  30 3rd $3.80
#4 Home Brew 3-1                              29 1st $4.80
#1 Clancy’s Pistol 8-1                         28

Race 9:

#6 Admirably 7-2                                32
#7 Don’t Forget 3-1                            31 2nd $4.80
#1 Drena’s Star 9-2                             30
#5 Town Champ 6-1                            30 4th

Race 10:

#3 Eastside Cool 5-2                           33 1st $3.40
#6 Allege 7-2                                        32
#7 V.I.P. Who 8-1                                 31 4th
#1 First Line 10-1                                30

Race 11:

#8 Fearless 9-5                                      39 2nd $3.00
#3 Last Samurai 8-1                             37 1st $27.80 Ex $92.20
#6 Plainsman 5-2                                  37 3rd $2.40 Tri $294.80
#7 Super Stock 10-1                              35 4th Spr $2064

Race 12:

#9 Ima Bling Cat 8-1                           29
#10 J.E.’s Handmedown 4-1               28 2nd
#3 Mahomey 4-1                                   27
#12 Goodnight Archie 7-2                   27

Oaklawn Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  7,2,5,4 x

Race 2:  6,3,11,10 11

Race 3:  1,3,6 6

Race 4:  11,8,5 x

Race 5:  3,5 x

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  6,3,11,10 11

Race 3:  1,3,6,5 6

Race 4:  11,8,5,12 x

Race 5:  3,5 x

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  3,5,2 2

Race 6:  1,8,7 8

Race 7:  2,7,9 2

Race 8:  2,7,4 4

Race 9:  6,7 x

$.50 Ticket:  $81

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6:  1,8,7,11 8

Race 7:  2,7,9,3 2

Race 8:  2,7,4 4

Race 9:  6,7,1 x

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 8:  2,7,4,1 4

Race 9:  6,7,1,5 x

Race 10: 3,6 3

Race 11:  8,3,6 3

Race 12:  9,10,3,12

$.50 Ticket:  $192

Late Pick 4:

Race 9:  6,7,1,5 x

Race 10: 3,6 3

Race 11:  8,3,6 3

Race 12:  9,10,3,12

$.50 Ticket:  $48

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 


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