A Winning Day at the Races!

April 24th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 10,691/16,319, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 7,264/16,319. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for the people of Ukraine…

*Sunday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#6 Sensibleconclusion 5-1          15 2nd $3.10
#2 Fast N Fearious 1-1                 14 1st $3.70
#1 Lord Brownie 6-1                     13
#7 Crawford County 8-1               12 3rd $3.40

Race 2:

#5 Summer At the Spa 5-2           27
#1 Kemba 8-5                                  26 2nd $3.50
#8 Rosemary Potatoes 15-1         25 3rd $13.20
#9 Thefabulous Moolah 10-1       24

Race 3:

#1 Yo Cuz 3-5                                   32 4th
#5 Bank On Anna 9-2                     30 3rd $6.60
#6 Starship Laoban 4-1                  29 2nd $7.30
#4 Celebrity News 20-1                  28

Race 4:

#5 Athenry 7-2                                 30 3rd $2.70
#1 Subsidize 3-1                              29 1st $8.10
#9 Scotty Brown 9-2                        28 scratched
#3 Tale of Mineshaft 8-1                27

Race 5:

#12 One Track Mine 12-1                 15 1st $13.80
#11 Tingling Mint 2-1                       15 scratched
#7 Frosty Invasion 10-1                    14 scratched
#3 Kay Tee Gal 6-1                             14

Race 6:

#3 Mr. Pete 5-2                                    29 *Best Bet 3rd $2.60
#5 Eucharist 7-2                                  27 1st $8.80
#6 Zaevion 7-2                                     27 2nd $6.10 Tri $184
#4 Speeding Kid 8-1                            26

Race 7:

#3 Who Hoo Thats Me 5-2                 29 2nd $4.20
#1 Hot Rod Rumble 9-2                      28 1st $11.60 Ex $41.40
#2 Bourbon’s Hope 5-1                       27
#7 Jumpster 8-1                                    27

Race 8:

#5 Sail By 12-1                                      31 3rd $3.80
#7 Consumer Spending 5-2                30 1st $6.90
#6 Pizza Bianca 3-5                              30 2nd $2.50 Tri $54
#3 Miss You Ella 8-1                             29 4th Spr $167

Race 9:

#6 Biondi 12-1                                       16 2nd $15.60
#12 Barrel of Quests 10-1                    15 1st $22.80 Ex $394
#10 Highgate Road 5-2                         15
#1 Mr. Connecticut 3-1                         14 3rd $3.00

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  6,2,1,7 2

Race 2:  5,1,8,9 x

Race 3:  1,5 x

Race 4:  5,1 1

Race 5:  12,11,7,3 *11 & 7 scratched using 12,3,4,8 12

$.50 Ticket:  $128

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  5,1,8,9 x

Race 3:  1,5 x

Race 4:  5,1,9 1

Race 5:  12,11,7,3  *11 & 7 scratched using 12,3,4,8 12

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 6:

Race 4:  5,1,9 1

Race 5:  12,11,7  *11 & 7 scratched using 12,3,4 12

Race 6:  3 x

Race 7:  3,1,2 1

Race 8:  5,7,6 7

Race 9:  6,12,10 12

$1.00 Ticket:  $243

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  12,11,7,3  *11 & 7 scratched using 12,3,4,8 12

Race 6:  3,5,6 5

Race 7:  3,1,2 1

Race 8:  5,7,6 7

Race 9:  6,12,10 12

  $.50 Ticket:  $162 $8616.50

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  3,5 5

Race 7:  3,1,2,7 1

Race 8:  5,7,6,3 7

Race 9:  6,12,10,1 12

$.50 Ticket:  $64 $1,031.75

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

  

 

 

 


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