April 27th, 2023 Free Pick & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site seven years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 12,279/18,764, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 8,590/18,764. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#3 Sanura 9-5 32 1st $5.60
#5 Whatlovelookslike 5-2 31 2nd $3.60 Ex $22
#4 New Ginya 3-1 30 3rd $2.10 Tri $29.60
#6 Home for Christmas 6-1 29

Dirt Selections

#1a Dufresne 10-1
#8 Bustin Bay 2-1
#7 Silken Dollar 8-1
#9 B B’s Busted 4-1

Race 2:

#2 Afilada 2-1 26 4th
#6 Amanda’s Folly 5-2 25 1st $5.90
#5 In Traffic 5-1 25
#1 Bravo Regina 6-1 24 2nd $8.50

Race 3:

#2 Love Appeals 9-5 31 1st $7.80
#1 Fancy Azteca 12-1 29
#7 Senior Prank 9-2 28 4th
#5 Georgees Spirit 4-1 28 3rd $2.80

Dirt Selections

#7 Senior Prank 9-2
#4 Fabulously Funny 6-1
#1 Fancy Azteca 12-1
#6 Chasing After You 30-1

Race 4:

#9 Be Up 9-5 27 1st $5.10 Dbl $19.20
#7 Forty Smooth 8-1 26
#2 Mariah’s Fortune 8-1 25 4th
#1 Erin’s Enthusiasm 9-2 25 3rd $3.20

Dirt Selections

#12 Chaysenbryn 3-1
#1a Big Cheeks 9-2
#1 Erin’s Enthusiasm 9-2
#7 Forty Smooth 8-1

Race 5:

#5 Nightmare Moon 12-1 17 scratched
#11 Fayette Joker 4-1 16 2nd $4.30
#2 Freudmein 7-2 15 4th
#9 Ormstown 10-1 15

Race 6:

#2b Lastchanceatglory 5-2 33 scratched
#2 Glory Road 5-2 32
#1 Jake Rocks 2-1 32 1st $6.60
#3 Lafitte’s Fleet 10-1 31

Race 7:

#6 Frank’s Art 3-1 32
#3 Yarrow 5-1 31
#2 Ghost Giant 6-1 30
#4 Battle Station 6-1 30

Dirt Selections

#4 Battle Station 6-1
#9 Scilly Cay 9-5
#7 Bar Fourteen 15-1
#10 Brew Pub 7-2

Race 8:

#11 Paros 7-2 29
#6 Dreaming of Smarty 12-1 28
#9 Rol Again Dancer 6-1 27
#1 Parkerness 5-1 27

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 3,5,4 Dirt: 1a,8,7 3

Race 2: 2,6 6

Race 3: 2,1,7,5 Dirt: 7,4,1,6 2

Race 4: 9,7,2,1 Dirt: 7,4,1,6 4

Race 5: 5,11,2

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 2,6 6

Race 3: 2,1,7,5 Dirt: 7,4,1,6 2

Race 4: 9,7,2,1 Dirt: 7,4,1,6 4

Race 5: 5,11,2,9

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 3: 2,1,7,5 Dirt: 7,4,1,6 2

Race 4: 9,7,2,1 Dirt: 7,4,1,6 9

Race 5: 5,11,2

Race 6: 2b/2

Race 7: 6 Dirt: 4

Race 8: 11,6,9 *6 scratched using 11,9,2

$1.00 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 4: 9,7,2,1 Dirt: 7,4,1,6 9

Race 5: 5,11,2,9

Race 6: 2b/2,1

Race 7: 6,3 Dirt: 4,9

Race 8: 11,6,9,1 *6,1 scratched using 11,9,2,10

$.50 Ticket: $128

Late Pick 4:

Race 5: 5,11,2,9

Race 6: 2b/2,1

Race 7: 6,3,2,4 Dirt: 4,9,7,10

Race 8: 11,6,9,1 *6,1 scratched using 11,9,2,10

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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