A Winning Day at the Races!
April 28th , 2018 Free Picks & Plays
*Picks will only be available on weekends for the foreseeable future, and will be posted here on the Free Page.
Belmont Selections
Race 1 : Strength Variable:
#8 Lady Joan 5-1 31
#2 Annie Rocks 6-1 30
#3 I’m Betty G 6-5 30
#7 Abbreviate 2-1 29
Race 2 :
#7 Guy American Dream 8-1 24
#5 Wushu Warrior 5-2 24
#8 Three Goals 6-5 23
#1 Barefoot Angel 4-1 22
Race 3 :
#3 Ride to the Sunset 5-2 26
#4 My Pirate 10-1 25
#6 Congruity 2-1 25
#5 Espresso Caliente 9-2 23
Race 4 :
#6 Tusk 4-1 32
#1 Adulator 7-2 31
#3 Take Your Guns 9-5 30
#5 Uncle Sigh 6-1 28
Race 5 :
#5 Frontier Market 6-5 27 *Best Bet
#1 Indurate 7-2 24
#11 Labeq 5-1 23
#9 Domain 8-1 23
Race 6 :
#7 Not in Charge 5-2 29
#8 Uncle Gio 2-1 28
#5 Nutzforboltz 6-1 27
#10 Harlan’s Hunch 5-1 25
Race 7 :
#8 Pas de Deuce 10-1 21
#1a Satisfy 7-2 20
#4 March Two Madness 3-1 19
#1 Ma Mo 7-2 18
Race 8 :
#2 Emancipation 5-1 29
#7 Polar Jet 6-5 28
#3 Jewel Can Disco 10-1 26
#8 Cerretalto 6-1 25
Race 9 :
#5 Commute 5-2 36
#3 Ready for Rye 6-1 34
#2 Undrafted 6-1 33
#10 Kharafa 9-2 32
Race 10 :
#6 Lex Vegas 8-1 27
#5 Excluded 8-1 26
#1a Dancetrack 9-5 26
#10 Saratoga Heater 3-1 25
Belmont Plays
Early Pick 5 :
Race 1 : 8,2,3,7
Race 2 : 7,5,8
Race 3 : 3,4,6
Race 4 : 6,1,3
Race 5 : 5
$.50 Ticket : $54
Late Pick 5 :
Race 6 : 7,8,5,10
Race 7 : 8,1a,4
Race 8 : 2,7,3
Race 9 : 5
Race 10 : 6,5,1a
$.50 Ticket : $54
Late Pick 4 :
Race 7 : 8,1a,4
Race 8 : 2,7,3,8
Race 9 : 5,3
Race 10 : 6,5,1a,10
$.50 Ticket : $48
Churchill Downs Selections
Race 1 : Strength Variable :
#4 Big Legacy 2-1 22
#3 Googleado (ARG) 6-5 21
#1a Red Blue and True 6-1 19
#6 Midnight Shine 5-1 18
Race 2 :
#5 Move It Man 6-1 21
#6 Flight Risk 1-1 20
#1 Long Gray Line 7-2 18
#3 Fidelis 20-1 16
Race 3 :
#4 Promissory Note 4-1 22
#6 Dream Fever 3-1 21
#2 Wildcat Beauty 12-1 19
#3 D’ Cat 7-2 18
Race 4 :
#9 Vigilante 5-2 27 *Best Bet
#4 Southern Wild 9-2 25
#2 Go Navy Go 7-2 24
#7 Esposito 8-1 22
Race 5 :
#6 Zipperini 4-1 25
#5 Sea Shack 9-2 24
#4 White Gold 7-2 22
#8 Eye On Harper 4-1 21
Race 6 :
#1 My Rose of Savanna 4-1 18
#4 Nothing But Tom 4-1 17
#6 Truckstop Diamond 15-1 15
#2 Unfading Beauty 7-2 14
Race 7 :
#8 Patriot Drive 3-1 28
#3 Meantime 4-1 27
#7 Forgotten Coast 10-1 25
#5 Cruz Diez 5-1 24
Race 8 :
#4 Miss Kentucky 4-1 27
#5 Treble 5-2 26
#3 Nineteenth Street 6-1 25
#7 Astrollinthepark 3-1 25
Race 9 :
#4 Elusive Mischief 10-1 28
#3 Vitsal 10-1 27
#5 Masked 7-2 26
#7 Beckford (GB) 3-1 25
Race 10 :
#5 Mineyerownmalone 2-1 26
#8 Pat’s Shoes 3-1 25
#2 Carouse 4-1 24
#3 Surprise Prize 8-1 23
Churchill Downs Plays
Early Pick 5 :
Race 2 : 5,6,1
Race 3 : 4,6,2
Race 4 : 9
Race 5 : 6,5,4
Race 6 : 1,4,6,2
$.50 Ticket : $54
Late Pick 5 :
Race 6 : 1,4,6,2
Race 7 : 8,3,7
Race 8 : 4,5,3
Race 9 : 4,3,5,7
Race 10 : 5
$.50 Ticket : $72
Late Pick 4 :
Race 7 : 8,3,7,5
Race 8 : 4,5
Race 9 : 4,3,5,7
Race 10 : 5,8,2,3
$.50 Ticket : $64
* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by four, five or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
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