April 29th , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

• April 27, 2021
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site four years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 9397/14230, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6274/14230. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Going forward Picks/Plays will remain free on weekdays and posted here…Weekends will require the purchase of a One or Two Day/Weekend Pass…

*Thursday’s Free Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays Below…

*To get full Belmont and Churchill Downs Friday and Saturday Picks/Plays , analysis , and Kentucky Derby/Oaks coverage visit the “Membership” Page to Purchase a Derby Weekend Pass…

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#5 Holy Emperor 7-5                      17 1st $3.10
#4 Big easy Empire 3-1                  16 4th
#8 Johnnypump 5-2                        15 2nd $3.00
#7 Centurion 6-1                             15 3rd $3.10

Race 2 :

#2 Beach Front 7-2                          28 3rd $3.10
#3 Big Boy Mo 9-2                            27 4th
#7 Trappeze Artist 10-1                  26
#4 Truebelieve 5-2                           25

Race 3 :

#8 Wicked Happy 4-1                       16 3rd $2.90
#3 Information Mosaic 8-5             15 4th
#2 Little Nutter 20-1                        14
#5 L’Indiscret 9-5                              14 1st $3.90

Race 4 :

#2 Saratoga Beauty 7-2                    27 scratched
#7 City Temper 8-1                           26 3rd $3.00
#4 Blunt Force 6-1                             25
#3 Lovely Lady Lexi 4-1                    25

Race 5 :

#6 Siraneuse 5-1                                 30
#3 Technical Analysis (IRE) 7-5       30 1st $3.60
#4 Island Treasure 9-2                       29
#1 Lightning Lou (IRE) 15-1             28 scratched

Race 6 :

#4 Mystery Messenger 3-1                31 scratched
#3 Unmoored 2-1                                30 scratched
#1 Vici 10-1                                          29 1st $5.70
#5 War Stroll 10-1                               28

Race 7 :

#4 Hometown 1-1                                 32 3rd $2.10
#1a Dust Devil 3-1                                31 4th  $3.50
#3 Vintage Hollywood 9-2                  30
#1 Indian Counselor 3-1                      29 2nd $3.50

Race 8 :

#2 Dynadrive 9-2                                  34 4th
#3 Mr. Alec 7-5                                      33 3rd $2.80
#6 Summer to Remember 4-1            32
#4 Microsecond 6-1                              30 2nd $8.00

Race 9 :

#3 Disciplanarian 7-2                           28
#1 Ernie Banker 12-1                            28
#12 Justintimeforwine 10-1                27
#11 Clamor 15-1                                    26

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  5,4,8 5

Race 2 :  2,3,7,4 x

Race 3 :  8,3 x

Race 4 :  2,7,4 *2 scratched using 7,4,3 x

Race 5 :  6,3 3

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  2,3,7,4 x

Race 3 :  8,3,2,5 5

Race 4 :  2,7,4,3 x

Race 5 :  6,3 3

$.50 Ticket :  $64

Pick 6 :

Race 4 :  2,7,4,3 x

Race 5 :  6,3 3

Race 6 :  4,3 x

Race 7 :  4,1a/1 x

Race 8 :  2,3

Race 9 :  3

$1.00 Ticket :  $64

Late Pick 5 :

Race 5 :  6,3,4 3

Race 6 :  4,3,1 *3 scratched using 4,1,5 1

Race 7 :  4,1a/1 x

Race 8 :  2,3

Race 9 :  3,1,12

$.50 Ticket :  $54

Late Pick 4 :

Race 6 :  4,3,1 *3 scratched using 4,1,5 1

Race 7 :  4,1a/1 x

Race 8 :  2,3,6

Race 9 :  3,1,12,11

$.50 Ticket :  $36

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.