A Winning Day at the Races!

April 2nd, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 10,579/16,138, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 7,185/16,138. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for the people of Ukraine…

*Saturday’s covered tracks will be AqueductGulfstream, and Oaklawn…Please visit the “Membership Page” to purchase a “Saturday Pass” for full access…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#2 Montauk Point 1-1                      18 2nd $2.40
#3 Strapped 7-2                                 17 3rd $2.10
#1 Nobodyridesforfree 6-1              16
#5 Principe d’Oro 5-2                       15 1st $5.50

Race 6:

#4 Sound Money 2-1                         33 1st $2.90
#3 Captain Bombastic 5-2                32 4th
#2 Little Menace 5-1                          31 scratched
#6 Lil Commissioner 7-2                   30 3rd $3.00

Gulfstream Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#9 Mystery Bank 5-2                          27
#2 Buffalo Max 6-1                             26
#7 Farley 5-1                                        25 2nd $4.20
#6 Long Beach Kid 7-2                       25 scratched

Race 10:

#1 Fortin Hill 5-2                                 35 3rd $2.10
#9 Collaborate 3-1                               34 2nd $4.20
#4 Weyburn 10-1                                  33 1st $10.60
#7 Rough Entry 10-1                            32

Oaklawn Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#4 Santos Dumont 4-1                         31 1st $6.40
#3 Starrininmydreams 2-1                  30 2nd $4.40 Ex $24.60
#7 Manhattan Up 9-2                           29
#6 Shortlist 5-2                                      29

Race 4:

#2 Gun It 5-2                                          34
#3 Background 9-2                                32 1st $16.00
#8 Twilight Blue 6-1                             31 2nd $10.20
#4 Fact Finding 10-1                             30

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 


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