A Winning Day at the Races!

April 30th, 2026 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site nine years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,291/25,179 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 11,615/25,179. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct Churchill Downs Picks/Plays will be posted Thursday evening…

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays below…

Aqueduct Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#3 Directive 4-5                   18
#5 Pomerance 9-2                17
#1 Irresistible 3-1                16
#2 Moonlit 6-1                      15

Race 2:

#5 Quiet Wisdom 7-2           27
#3 Fever Night 2-1                26
#1 Enduring Spirit 10-1       25
#2 Bourbon Chase 9-5          25

Race 3:

#4 Baseball Lady 7-5             28
#6 Timia 3-1                           27
#1 Tahila 6-1                          26
#3 Amy’s Light 9-2                25

Race 4:

#4 Baby Sassicaia 9-5            27
#3 Shadyside 2-1                    27
#5 Danneel 8-1                       26
#2 Mitole’s Girl 7-2                25

Race 5:

#5 Franklin Delano 3-1         19
#4 Blazing Tiger 5-2              18
#6 Ollie Luke Out 9-2            18
#2 Mr Hopkins 12-1               17

Race 6:

#9 Three Little Birds 8-1       28
#3 Tarpaulin 8-1                     27
#1 Egyptian 9-2                       26
#5 Apollo Code 6-1                 25

Race 7:

#1 Paros 2-1                           31
#5 Ambition 8-1                    30
#2 Ocean Atlantique 9-5      29
#4 Belouni (FR) 9-2               28

Race 8:

#2 Shake Em Off 6-1             17
#3 Speed Walking 15-1         17
#8 No Need to Panic 8-1      16
#1 Emergency Nine 9-2        15

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  3,5,1

Race 2:  5,3,1,2

Race 3:  4,6

Race 4:  4,3

Race 5:  5,4,6

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  5,3,1,2

Race 3:  4,6

Race 4:  4,3,5,2

Race 5:  5,4

$.50 Ticket:  $32

Pick 6:

Race 3:  4

Race 4:  4,3

Race 5:  5,4,6

Race 6:  9,3,1,5

Race 7:  1

Race 8:  2,3,8

$1.00 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 4:  4,3,5,2

Race 5:  5,4,6

Race 6:  9,3,1

Race 7:  1,5,2

Race 8:  2,3,8,1

$.50 Ticket:  $216

Late Pick 4:

Race 5:  5,4,6

Race 6:  9,3,1,5

Race 7:  1,5,2

Race 8:  2,3,8,1

$.50 Ticket:  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.


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