A Winning Day at the Races!

April 8th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 10,611/16,190, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 7,205/16,190. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for the people of Ukraine…

*Saturday’s covered tracks will be AqueductKeeneland, and Santa Anita…Please visit the “Membership” Page to purchase a “Saturday Pass” for Full Access…

*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

*Picks are for dirt only

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#1 Bold Victory 3-5                       16 2nd $2.50
#5 Once a Giant 4-1                      15 1st $8.70 Ex $19.60
#4 Be Onboard 7-2                         14 3rd $2.40 Tri $45.20
#6 Cugine 30-1                               12 4th Spr $347

Race 2:

#5 King Kumbalay 2-1                   32 1st $2.90
#10 Lonesome Fugitive 4-1          31 scratched
#2 Civil War 30-1                            29 2nd $3.40
#1 Conquer the World 5-1             28 scratched

Race 3:

#2 Safalow’s Mission 4-1               16 scratched 
#3 Uragano 9-2                                15 4th
#9 Golquist 6-1                                14 1st $9.30
#4 Hereby 6-1                                   14 3rd $4.40
#7 Beach Boy Al 5-1                        13 scratched

Race 4:

#1 Truebelieve 5-1                           28 2nd $3.80
#4 Him She Kisses 2-1                     27 scratched
#6 Profusion 3-1                               27
#3 Brockmoninoff 8-1                      26 3rd $5.20

Race 5:

#1 Free Enterprise 3-1                    32
#3 Boldish 2-1                                  30 scratched
#7 My First Grammy 8-1                29 4th
#5 Crypto Cash 4-1                          28 1st $8.00

Race 6:

#7 More Ammo 9-5                         18 1st $3.00
#6 Flaca 12-1                                    16 scratched
#11 Empress Theodora 2-1            15
#8 School of Thought 10-1            14 scratched

Race 7:

#3 Electability 8-5                           31 1st $3.50
#1 Unbridled Bomber 6-1               29
#7 Good Skate 9-2                            28 3rd $3.70
#6 Rebel Empire 10-1                      27 4th

Race 8:

#6 Khali Magic 2-1                           28
#7 Ifihadachance 9-2                       27
#4 Mashnee Girl 6-1                        26
#2 Gringotts 12-1                             25

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  1,5,4 5

Race 2:  5,10,2,1 5

Race 3:  2,3,9,4 9

Race 4:  1,4,6 *4 scratched using 1,6,3 x

Race 5:  1,3 *3 scratched using 1,7 x

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  5,10,2,1 5

Race 3:  2,3,9,4 9

Race 4:  1,4,6 *4 scratched using 1,6,3 x

Race 5:  1,3,7 *3 scratched using 1,7,5 5

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 6:

Race 3:  2,3,9,4 9

Race 4:  1,4 *4 scratched using 1,6 x

Race 5:  1,3 *3 scratched using 1,7 x

Race 6:  7

Race 7:  3

Race 8:  6,7,4

$1.00 Ticket:  $48

Late Pick 5:

Race 4:  1,4,6 *4 scratched using 1,6,3 x

Race 5:  1,3,7,5 5

Race 6:  7,6,11 7

Race 7:  3,1 3

Race 8:  6,7,4

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 5:  1,3 *3 scratched using 1,7 x

Race 6:  7,6,11 7

Race 7:  3,1,7 3

Race 8:  6,7,4,2

$.50 Ticket:  $36

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 


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