A Winning Day at the Races!

April 9th , 2020 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site four years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 9300/14083 , and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6194/14083. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Going forward Picks/Plays will remain free on weekdays and posted here…Weekends will require the purchase of a One or Two day/Weekend Pass…

*Saturday’s covered tracks will be Aqueduct , Keeneland , and Oaklawn

*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#6 Overexaggerate 10-1               18
#3 Absolute Courage 2-1              17 4th
#1 Lemon Drop Road 9-2              16 2nd $4.60
#4 Dazzle Time 9-5                        15 3rd $2.40

Race 2 :

#6 Jara 5-2                                         28 3rd $2.50
#1a Micromillion 2-1                      27
#5 Lottie’s Mizzion 3-1                   26 2nd $4.40
#4 Mebs Web 8-1                              25

Race 3 :

#7 Rogue Leader 6-1                         15
#4 Giramonte 12-1                            14 2nd $9.20
#11 Me ‘n Sap 3-1                              13 3rd $3.00
#6 Jack’s Dream 5-1                          12

Race 4 :

#6 Tapizearance 3-1                          29 2nd $3.20
#4 Tri Saint Lorenzo 4-1                   28 3rd $2.40
#1 Indian Counselor 4-5                   28 1st $3.10
#2 Liam’s Fire 10-1                             27

Race 5 :

#9 Mandate 7-2                                   30 1st $10.20
#11 Life On Top 5-2                            29
#2 Simply 10-1                                     28
#7 Time to Testify 15-1                      27 3rd $13.40

Race 6 :

#2 Cousin Andrew 8-5                        18
#5 Royal Realm 8-1                              18 2nd $8.70
#1 Continuation 3-1                            17 4th
#6 Goldenite 8-1                                   16

Race 7 :

#1a Good Governance (GB) 4-5          33 4th
#2 Winters Back 7-2                              32 1st $6.80
#5 Bodecream 5-1                                  31 2nd $6.20
#8 Emaraaty (GB) 3-1                            31

Race 8 :

#3 On the Muscle 3-1                            14 1st
#11 Sixteen Tons 5-1                             13
#9 Thruster 15-1                                     12 2nd
#8 Centurion 9-2                                     11

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  6,3,1,4 x

Race 2 :  6,1a x

Race 3 :  7,4,11 x

Race 4 :  6,4,1 1

Race 5 :  9,11,2 9

$.50 Ticket :  $108

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  6,1a,5,4 x

Race 3 :  7,4,11,6 x

Race 4 :  6,4,1 1

Race 5 :  9,11,2 9

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Pick 6 :

Race 3 :  7,4,11,6 x

Race 4 :  6,4,1 1

Race 5 :  9,11,2,7 9

Race 6 :  2,5,1 x

Race 7 :  1a x

Race 8 :  3,11,9 3

$.20 Ticket :  $86.40

Late Pick 5 :

Race 4 :  6,4,1,2 1

Race 5 :  9,11 9

Race 6 :  2,5,1 x

Race 7 :  1a,2 2

Race 8 :  3,11,9 3

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Late Pick 4 :

Race 5 :  9,11,2,7 9

Race 6 :  2,5,1,6 x

Race 7 :  1a,2 2

Race 8 :  3,11,9,8 3

$.50 Ticket :  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 


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