A Winning Day at the Races!

April 9th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 10,618/16,198, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 7,210/16,198. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for the people of Ukraine…

*Saturday’s covered tracks will be Aqueduct, Keeneland, and Santa Anita…Please visit the “Membership” Page to purchase a “Saturday Pass” for Full Access…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 2:  Strength Variable:

#1 Monshun 6-5                             30 4th
#2 Timed Out 7-5                           29
#6 Fight On Lucy 8-1                     27 3rd $4.90
#3 World Gone Wild 8-1                26 1st $29.80

Race 6:

#5 Yankee Division 9-5                  30
#3 Bourbon Bay 8-1                        28 3rd $3.20
#2 Kumar 5-2                                    27 2nd $4.00
#8 Lost in Rome 8-1                        26 4th

Keeneland Selections

Race 2:  Strength Variable

#10 Jeeper 3-1                                  18 3rd $3.40
#5 Emirates Road 8-1                     17 1st $7.80
#11 Highly Flammable 8-1            16
#6 Bourbon Heist 7-2                      16 2nd $3.20

Race 4:

#5 Naval Aviator 4-1                        30
#9 Macallan 4-1                                29 4th
#10 Iron Works 3-1                           29 1st $6.80
#12 Gunfighter 6-1                           28

Santa Anita Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Tapwater 3-1                                  33
#6 Royal Address (IRE) 6-1               32 4th
#1 Alice Marble 2-1                            31 2nd $4.00
#3 Brooke Marie 7-2                           30 1st $11.20

Race 2:

#4 Smuggler’s Run 6-5                      31 1st $4.00
#3 What in Blazes 7-2                        29 3rd $2.80
#2 Moose Mitchell 4-1                       28 2nd $3.80
#5 Finneus 5-2                                     27

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 


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