August 10th, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

• August 10, 2023
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

*Free Picks/Plays will be posted here on certain days…Visit the “Membership Page” for Full Access on all other days…

*Since the launch of this site seven years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 12,739/19,482, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 8,935/19,482. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Wednesday/Thursday will be Free through the meet…Weekends will require the purchase of a pass…

*Early Pick 5/4 for us 7/26…$5217.25 on a $72 ticket, $704.50 on a $48 ticket…Late Pick 5 7/27… $993.75 on a $144 ticket…Middle Pick 4 7/30…$701 on a $64 ticket…Early Pick 5 last Thursday $611.25 on a $72 ticket…

*Six on top winners for us on yesterday’s Saratoga card including the Late Pick 5…$475 on a $36 ticket…

*Visit the Membership Page Thursday/Friday to Purchase a “Saratoga Weekend Pass”…$24.99 for Full Access to Friday, Saturday and Sunday’s Saratoga Picks/Plays…

*Thursday Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#1 Luz Divina 10-1                      18
#6 Honey Dijon 5-1                     18
#3 Bundchen 2-1                          17
#5 Permed 5-2                               17

Dirt Selections

#4 Into Stars 4-1 2nd $4.00
#1 Luz Divina 10-1 scratched
#9 Bobby Jean 10-1
#8 Seven Natty Patty 10-1 4th
#5 Permed 5-2 3rd $2.20

Race 2:

#1 Knockzcatoffzfence 2-1           15
#7 Phinneys Harber 5-1                14 1st $16.60
#6 Strange Fruit 9-2                       13 4th
#3 Teresa 6-1                                   12 3rd $4.00

Race 3:

#1 Tallahatchiebridge 7-2             29
#6 Treasure King 5-1                      28
#10 Arrio 12-1                                  28
#9 Provision 12-1                             27

Dirt Selections

#12 Our Country 12-1 2nd $4.20
#8 Amani’s Eagle 15-1 4th
#13 Rock the Weekend 6-1 3rd $2.80
#11 My Romeo Lima 6-1 scratched

Race 4:

#5 Dust Devil 6-5                             32 *Best Bet scratched
#1 Two Thirty Five 3-1                   30
#6 Maximum Impact 8-1                29 scratched
#7 Truculent 5-1                              28 1st $7.00

Race 5:

#6 Superstarsusan 15-1                  18
#8 Book of Wisdom 3-1                  18 2nd $4.50
#7 Pretty Up 10-1                             17
#4 Realta 15-1                                   16

Race 6:

#1 Walstib 3-1                                   17 2nd $5.30
#8 Khanate 9-2                                  16
#6 Always Dialed 6-1                       15
#5 Twentyeighttothree 15-1           15

Race 7:

#1 Idea Generation (IRE) 4-1         30
#2b No Show Sammy Jo 7-2            29
#6 Bolivie (IRE) 10-1                        28
#3 Alpha Bella 5-1                             27

Dirt Selections

#1a Virtual Reality 4-1
#3 Alpha Bella 5-1
#9 Quarrel 10-1
#10 Be My Sunshine 8-1

Race 8:

#4 With Know Name 8-1                  26
#2 Magical Ways 2-1                          25
#9 Pine Valley 9-2                               25
#5 Moving Pictures 5-2                      24

Race 9:

#9 Unleash the Power 3-1                 31
#11 Kingfish Stevens 9-2                   30
#8 Kingdom On Paws 12-1                29
#2 Wisecraken 15-1                             28

Dirt Selections

#13 South Street 9-5
#7 Deputy Connect 6-1
#6 Yono 20-1
#4 Suerte 10-1

Race 10:

#8 Liquid Addiction (IRE) 7-2          17
#1 The Compas Man (IRE) 8-1         16
#9 Into It 6-1                                        15
#7 Insanity It Seems 4-1                    15

Dirt Selections

#11 Pay Zone 7-2
#13 Ride Up 8-5
#4 Dreamwithinadream 20-1
#6 Kasimba 3-1
#2 Mo Than Luck 15-1

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  1,6,3,5 Dirt: 4,1,9,8 *1 scratched 4,9,8,5

Race 2:  1,7,6,3

Race 3:  1,6,10,9 Dirt: 12,8,13,11

Race 4:  5 *5 scratched using 1

Race 5:  6,8,7

$.50 Ticket: $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  1,7,6,3

Race 3:  1,6,10,9 Dirt: 12,8,13,11

Race 4:  5,1 *5 scratched using 1,7

Race 5:  6.8,7,4

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  5,1 *5 scratched using 1,7

Race 5:  6,8,7,4

Race 6:  1,8,6,5

Race 7:  1,2b,6,3 Dirt: 1a,3,9,10

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 5:  6,8,7,4

Race 6:  1,8,6,5

Race 7:  1 Dirt: 1a

Race 8:  4,2,9

Race 9:  9,11 Dirt: 13,7

Race 10: 8 Dirt: 11

$1.00 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  1,8,6,5

Race 7:  1,2b,6,3 Dirt: 1a,3,9,10

Race 8:  4,2,9

Race 9:  9,11 Dirt: 13,7

Race 10: 8,1,9 Dirt: 11,13,4 *13 scratched using 11,4,6

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  1,2b,6,3 Dirt: 1a,3,9,10

Race 8:  4,2,9,5

Race 9:  9,11 Dirt: 13,7

Race 10: 8,1,9,7 Dirt: 11,13,4,6

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.