August 9th, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

*Free Picks/Plays will be posted here on certain days…Visit the “Membership Page” for Full Access on all other days…

*Since the launch of this site seven years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 12,731/19,474, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 8,928/19,474. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Wednesday/Thursday will be Free through the meet…Weekends will require the purchase of a pass…

*Early Pick 5/4 for us 7/26…$5217.25 on a $72 ticket, $704.50 on a $48 ticket…Late Pick 5 7/27… $993.75 on a $144 ticket…Middle Pick 4 7/30…$701 on a $64 ticket…Early Pick 5 last Thursday $611.25 on a $72 ticket…

*Wednesday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#4 Rampoldi Plan 2-1
#3 Bandua 3-1
#1 Rhebus Road (IRE) 8-1
#2 Cibolian 9-2

Race 2:

#9 Pillbox 6-5 27 scratched
#1 Shigeko 7-2 26 scratched
#1a Carbon 7-2 25 1st $5.50
#6 Harlan’s Bond 5-1 24 3rd $3.20

Race 3:

#3 Tricky Temper 2-1 18
#6 Stormy Disco 8-1 17
#7 Red Burgandy 7-2 16
#5 Lonchura 6-1 15

Dirt Selections

#3 Tricky Temper 2-1 1st $4.40 Dbl $13.60
#5 Lonchura 6-1 scratched
#10 Call Her Bluff 15-1 4th
#8 My Kinda Mischief 9-2 2nd $4.10

Race 4:

#6 Burning Bright 6-1 34
#1a Dynadrive 9-5 34
#1 Tide of the Sea 9-5 33
#2 Cross Border 5-1 32

Dirt Selections

#8 Ouster 7-5 3rd $2.10
#4 Classic Catch 4-1 1st $7.00
#9 Costa Terra 3-1 2nd $3.40
#10 Trident Hit 8-1

Race 5:

#9 Crazy Cami 7-2 16
#8 Echo Lake 5-1 15
#6 Athena 20-1 15
#1 Lady Prospect 8-1 14

Race 6:

#7 Jody’s Pride 5-2 19
#1 Buttercream Babe 10-1 18
#6 My Cora 6-1 17
#4 Mia Marcela 4-1 17

Dirt Selections

#7 Jody’s Pride 5-2 1st $5.30
#11 Into Stars 6-1 scratched
#16 Solve the Puzzle 2-1 3rd $2.30
#3 Lyrical Pardon 12-1 4th
#4 Mia Marcela 4-1 2nd $3.90

Race 7:

#10 Clubhouse 3-1 27 1st $3.30
#4 Asymmetric 2-1 27 scratched
#8 Morning Cup 9-2 26 scratched
#3 Modern Midas 30-1 25 4th

Race 8:

#5 Pharoah’s Heart 7-2 33 scratched
#1 Into Happiness 6-1 32 1st $10.60 Pk 3 $77
#3 Raging Sea 8-5 32 4th
#4 Fancy Azteca 12-1 31

Race 9:

#5 Betsy Blue 3-1 32 3rd $2.30
#4 Bustin Bay 6-1 31 scratched
#2 Sunset Louise 5-2 31
#1 Venti Valentine 3-1 30 1st $12.40

Race 10:

#6 Slapintheface 3-1 18 *Best Bet
#5 Paschel Moon 12-1 16
#1 Morethanafeeling 8-1 15
#4 Impazible Prince 15-1 15

Dirt Selections

#1 Morethanafeeling 8-1 1st $5.70
#14 Refuah 9-2 2nd $4.00 Ex $19.80
#12 Chulligan 6-1 scratched
#15 Squid Gamer 3-1 scratched
#11 Union Trail 10-1 3rd $3.10 Tri $52

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 2: 9,1a/1,6 1a

Race 3: 3,6,7,5 Dirt: 3,5,10,8 3

Race 4: 6,1a/1 Dirt: 8,4 4

Race 5: 9,8 All

Race 6: 7,1,6,4 Dirt: 7,11,16,3 7

$.50 Ticket: $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 3: 3,6,7,5 Dirt: 3,5,10,8 3

Race 4: 6,1a/1 Dirt: 8,4 4

Race 5: 9,8,6,1 All

Race 6: 7,1,6,4 Dirt: 7,11,16,3 7

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 6,1a/1,2 Dirt: 8,4,9 4

Race 5: 9,8,6,1 All

Race 6: 7,1,6,4 Dirt: 7,11,16,3 7

Race 7: 10,4 *4 scratched using 10,3 10

$.50 Ticket: $48

Pick 6:

Race 5: 9,8,6,1

Race 6: 7,1,6,4 Dirt: 7,11,16,3

Race 7: 10,4 *4 scratched using 10,3

Race 8: 5,1,3

Race 9: 5

Race 10: 6 Dirt: 1,14

$.50 Ticket: $96

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 7,1,6,4 Dirt: 7,11,16,3 7

Race 7: 10,4 *4 scratched using 10,3 10

Race 8: 5,1,3 1

Race 9: 5,4,2 *4 scratched 5,2,1 1

Race 10: 6 Dirt: 1,14 1

$.50 Ticket: $36 $475

Late Pick 4;

Race 7: 10,4,8,3 10

Race 8: 5,1,3,4 1

Race 9: 5,4,2,1 1

Race 10: 6,5 Dirt: 1,14 1

$.50 Ticket: $64 $84.62

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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