A Winning Day at the Races!

August 12th , 2017 Free Picks & Plays

*Free picks will appear in this space daily, to get full card picks and plays, comments, and stakes analysis, please visit the member area.

*Up To Date Website Stats Since Launch Last July :

  • Winner in top three picks 67% of the time 1801/2674.
  • Top Choice finishing 1st or 2nd 44% of the time 1185/2674.

Saratoga Selections

Race 1 :         Strength Variable :

#2 Nominal Dollars 8-1                  27
#5 Scarly Charly 2-1                        26
#6 Set the Trappe 8-1                      24
#1 At Guard 3-1                                 22

Race 3 :

#4 Dr. Edgar 4-1                                26
#2 Six Schillings 3-1                         25
#5 Driven by Thunder 5-2                24
#9 Space Mountain 4-1                     20

Race 9 :

#8 Still Krz 3-1                                   34
#9 Cerro (IRE) 6-1                             33
#1 Gift Box 9-5                                   33
#5 Lewys Vaporizer 6-1                    30

Race 10 :

#1 Ballagh Rocks 10-1                       38
#3 Time Test (GB) 8-5                       36
#6 Disco Partner 2-1                          35
#7 World Approval 9-2                      33

Saratoga Late Pick 4 :

Race 8 :  8,6,5

Race 9 :  8,9,1 *Update : 8,1 scratched, using 9&5

Race 10 : 1,3,6

Race 11 :  2,12,11

$.50 Ticket :  $40.50

Monmouth Selections

Race 3 :

#6 Powerline 7-2                              25
#3 Cavity 9-5                                    24
#4 East Bay Lodge 9-2                    22
#7 Blue Pigeon 8-1                          18

Race 5 :

#6 Hot to Seek Her 3-1                    27
#4 Buddy’s Tiz 7-2                            25
#3 Brickyard Kitten 9-2                   24
#8 Special Selection 5-1                  21

Race 10 :

#8 Proud and Fearless 3-1               31
#7 You Know Too 8-1                        30
#3 Overture 5-2                                  30
#2 My Miss Tapit 3-1                         28

Arlington Selections

Race 2 :

#6 Good Bye Greg 6-5                        31
#2 Western Elegance 7-2                   29
#5 Hunka Burning Love 9-2              27
#1 Singingintheheat 12-1                  24

Race 8 :

#6 Gain Ground 12-1                           26
#7 Yorkton 5-1                                      25
#4 Smoke ‘n’ Gloat 9-2                        23
#3 Harmac 12-1                                    17

Race 10 :

#9 Hawksmoor (IRE) 9-2                   42
#5 Grand Jete (GB) 6-1                       39
#7 Rainha Da Bateria 6-1                   36
#4 Dona Bruja (ARG) 7-2                    36

Arlington Late Pick 4 :

Race 9 :  6,8,1,7

Race 10 : 9,5,7

Race 11 :  5,4,10

Race 12 :  2,3

$.50 Ticket :  $36

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by four, five or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 


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