August 14th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,890/21,323 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,816/21,323. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Wednesday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#6 Pickanumber (IRE) 5-2
#4 Zarak the Brave (FR) 9-5
#8 Artistic Choice (IRE) 15-1
#3 Abaan 4-1

Race 2:

#5 Saratoga Kisses 6-1 29
#3 Midtown Lights 9-5 29 1st $4.20
#1 Cinderella’s Cause 1-1 28 2nd $2.60
#4 Echo in Eternity 6-1 27 3rd $2.50

Race 3:

#4 Midnight Mile (IRE) 9-5 32 2nd $2.90
#8 Not So Close 4-1 31
#2 Edict (ARG) 6-1 30 scratched
#7 Immensitude (FR) 7-2 30 4th

Race 4:

#3 Cost Containment 3-1 19 1st $9.40
#7 Islander 3-1 18
#5 Helcia 7-2 18 3rd $2.80
#1 Lord I Wonder 5-2 17 4th

Race 5:

#9 Red Burgundy 10-1 30
#6 Awesome Czech 5-2 30 1st $9.70
#2 Summer Whirl 3-1 29 4th
#7 Munny Grab 5-1 28 3rd $3.70

Race 6:

#2 Alpine Giant 12-1 18
#10 Disco Star 5-1 17 2nd $7.00
#5 Annascaul 3-1 17 1st $5.50
#4 Gattatiz 10-1 16 4th

Race 7:

#1a Mon Petit Chou 4-1 28 2nd $3.70/$4.70
#1 Awesome Annmarie 4-1 27 3rd $3.70/$4.70
#8 Backed by Gold 8-1 27 1st $23.00 Ex $133.50
#4 Condiment Girl 10-1 26 4th Tri $1,061

Race 8:

#2 Beets 7-2 30
#1 Miss San Gabriel 6-1 29
#4 Revalita (FR) 5-2 28
#11 Preliminary (GB) 6-1 28

Race 9:

#8 Hilarious Affair 9-2 32
#10 Feathers Road 10-1 30
#3 Java Buzz 3-1 30
#2 Gaslight Dancer 9-2 29

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 2: 5,3,1

Race 3: 4,8

Race 4: 3,7,5

Race 5: 9,6,2

Race 6: 2,10,5

$.50 Ticket: $81

Early Pick 4:

Race 3: 4,8,2,7

Race 4: 3,7,5

Race 5: 9,6,2

Race 6: 2,10,5,4

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 6:

Race 4: 3,7

Race 5: 9,6,2

Race 6: 2,10,5

Race 7: 1a/1

Race 8: 2,1,4

Race 9: 8,10,3

$1.00 Ticket: $162

Late Pick 5:

Race 5: 9,6,2,7

Race 6: 2,10,5

Race 7: 1a/1,8,4

Race 8: 2,1,4

Race 9: 8,10,3

$.50 Ticket: $162

Late Pick 4:

Race 6: 2,10,5,4

Race 7: 1a/1,8,4

Race 8: 2,1,4

Race 9: 8,10,3,2

$.50 Ticket: $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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