August 15th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,895/21,331 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,820/21,331. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Thursday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#8 Vibrant Express 3-1 19 scratched
#3 Man of Mischief 5-2 18 2nd $2.30
#5 Manhattan Twist 4-1 17 1st $6.70
#9 Keepinitreal 4-1 17 3rd $2.40

Race 2:

#3 Rithm Nic 5-1 32 4th
#2x High Front 7-5 31 3rd $2.10
#1a Maxwell Esquire 9-2 AE 30 scratched
#7 Chess Master 3-1 30 2nd $4.80
#6 Silardi 10-1 29 scratched

Race 3:

#1 Pentathlon 2-5 19 1st $2.40
#1a Upstanding 2-5 18 3rd $2.40/$2.10
#5 Bourbon’s Fault 10-1 17 4th
#2 Cuando 10-1 16 2nd $4.10 Tri $40.80

Race 4:

#6 Allaboutthemoney 4-1 28 4th
#7 He’s Got This 3-1 28 3rd $3.30
#5 Ministerial 3-1 27 1st $7.70
#2 Classic Mark 5-2 27

Race 5:

#7 Call Bob 7-2 17 2nd $3.50
#6 Concorde Spirit 5-2 16 4th
#3 He Has It All 3-1 15
#1 Sorority Prank 9-2 15 3rd $4.30

Race 6:

#6 Chelsey’s Choice 10-1 20
#9 Dr Glick 4-1 19 3rd $3.30
#10 Wonderland 7-2 18 4th
#4 Competitive Market 5-1 18 scratched

Race 7:

#6 Russian Realm 3-1 31
#3 Instamatic 7-2 30
#4 Courtly Banker 4-1 29
#8 Elysian Meadows 7-2 29

Race 8:

#6 Classic Catch 4-1 34
#2 Donegal Forever 2-1 33
#3 Cooke Creek 9-5 32
#1 Olympic Dreams 8-1 31

Race 9:

#5 Amplitude 3-1 18
#11 Wind Dancer 6-1 17
#10 Tinebar 6-1 16
#3 D C Boy’s 10-1 16

Race 10:

#9 Riley Jean 8-1 30
#10 Risk Threshold (IRE) 7-2 29
#8 Proud Mary 8-1 28
#4 Strictly Taboo 6-1 27

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 8,3,5,9

Race 2: 3,2x,1a,7

Race 3: 1/1a

Race 4: 6,7,5

Race 5: 7,6,3

$.50 Ticket: $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 3,2x,1a,7

Race 3: 1/1a

Race 4: 6,7,5,2

Race 5: 7,6,3,1

$.50 Ticket: $32

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 6,7,5,2

Race 5: 7,6,3,1

Race 6: 6,9,10,4

Race 7: 6,3

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 5: 7,6,3

Race 6: 6,9,10

Race 7: 6,3

Race 8: 6,2 *6,2 scratched using 3,1

Race 9: 5,11,10 *11 scratched using 5,10,3

Race 10: 9,10

$1.00 Ticket: $216

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 6,9,10,4

Race 7: 6,3,4

Race 8: 6,2,3 *6,2 scratched using 3,1

Race 9: 5,11 *11 scratched using 5,10

Race 10: 9,10,8

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 6,3

Race 8: 6,2,3,1

Race 9: 5,11,10,3

Race 10: 9,10,8,4

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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