A Winning Day at the Races!

August 15th, 2026 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site ten years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,703/25,460 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 11,903/25,460. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Saturday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays below…

Saratoga Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#6 Salming 2-1                         30
#7 Math Tutor 4-1                   29 1st $10.50
#5 Antietam 6-1                       28
#3 Schlomo 10-1                      27

Race 2:

#1 Top Thriller 6-1                   20
#7 Big Handsome 4-1               19 3rd $2.92
#4 Mindfield 7-2                        19 2nd $5.92
#2 Equilibrate 8-1                     18 4th

Race 3:

#4 Road Show 7-5                       18 1st $3.74
#7 Cut Down the Nets 3-1         17 2nd $3.04 Ex $10.20
#9 Sweet Redemption 12-1       16 scratched 
#8 Arawak 8-1                              16

Race 4:

#2 Lady Rose 9-5                        28 1st $4.24
#6 Fedupwiththefed 9-2           27 2nd $3.78 Ex $13.74
#5 Top of the Table 3-1             26
#1 Honest Reason 15-1             25

Race 5:

#6 Athena’s Fury 8-1                  29
#8 Considerate City 8-5             28
#2 Tongue Twister 3-1               27
#1 Bertrille 5-1                             27

Dirt Selections 

#5 Britain 5-1 2nd $2.90
#1 Bertrille 5-1 1st $8.40 Ex $18.42
#4 Diptique 50-1

Race 6:

#9 Groves 8-1                             21 2nd $4.44
#8 Tumoohaat 5-2                     20
#6 Belle N Brooke 7-2               19 scratched
#1 Clock 12-1                              18 scratched 

Race 7:

#3 No Evidence 4-1                    32
#2 Bite and Strike 6-1                31
#6 Candytown 9-2                       31
#1 Spiced Up 4-1                         30

Dirt Selections 

#9 Vettriano 5-2 2nd $2.84
#5 War Stride 8-1 3rd $2.44
#6 Candytown 9-2 4th

Race 8:

#2 Card Man 7-2                       20 2nd $4.46
#3 Q B Rocket 4-1                     20 1st $4.52 Ex $16.54
#6 Dallas Star 8-1                     19
#1 McCoy 6-1                             18 scratched 

Race 9:

#7 Survie (IRE) 6-1                    38 1st $10.96
#2 Tawny Port 8-1                      38
#3 Ole Crazy Bone 4-1               37
#5 Fort George (GB) 9-2            36 scratched 

Race 10:

#8 Mythical 9-2                          33 4th
#4 Queen Juno 10-1                   32
#6 Mauna Loa 3-1                       32
#7 Triskelion 5-1                         31

Race 11:

#7 Come Full Circle 3-1              28 *Best Bet 2nd $2.92
#8 Sociably Johnny 8-1               27 scratched
#2 Calling Card 5-2                      26 1st $5.66 Ex $13.04
#6 Takahama 12-1                        26

Race 12:

#8 Gilbane 5-2                              17
#10 Fivedollarsforsox 5-1           16
#1 Before the Wind 3-1               16
#7 Surfside Dan 20-1                    15

Dirt Selections 

#11 Maximum Heat 2-1 1st $3.50
#10 Fivedollarsforsox 5-1 scratched
#3 D C Boy’s 10-1 3rd
#12 True Adirondacker 15-1 scratched 

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  6,7,5

Race 2:  1,7,4

Race 3:  4,7

Race 4:  2,6,5

Race 5:  6,8,2 Dirt: 5,1,4

  $.50 Ticket:  $81

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  1,7,4,2

Race 3:  4,7

Race 4:  2,6,5

Race 5:  6,8,2 Dirt: 5,1,4

  $.50 Ticket:  $36

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  4,7,9,8 *9 scratched using 4,7,8,5

Race 4:  2,6,5

Race 5:  6,8,2 Dirt: 5,1,4

Race 6:  9,8,6 *6 scratched using 9,8,3

Race 7:  3,2,6 Dirt: 9,5,6

  $.50 Ticket:  $162

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  2,6,5

Race 5:  6,8,2,1 Dirt: 5,1,4

Race 6:  9,8,6 *6 scratched using 9,8,3

Race 7:  3,2,6,1 Dirt: 9,5,6,3 *3 scratched using 9,5,6,2

  $.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  6,8,2 Dirt: 5,1,4 1

Race 6:  9,8,6 *6 scratched using 9,8,3 3

Race 7:  3,2,6,1 Dirt: 9,5,6,3 *3 scratched using 9,5,6,2 2

Race 8:  2,3 3

Race 9:  7,2,3,5 7

  $.50 Ticket:  $144 $863.29

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6:  9,8,6 *6 scratched using 9,8,3 3

Race 7:  3,2,6,1 Dirt: 9,5,6,3 *3 scratched using 9,5,6,2 2

Race 8:  2,3,6,1 3

Race 9:  7,2 7

  $.50 Ticket:  $72 $150.79

Pick 6:

Race 7:  3,2,6 Dirt: 9,5,6

Race 8:  2,3

Race 9:  7,2,3

Race 10: 8,4,6

Race 11:  7

Race 12:  8,10,1 Dirt: 11,10,3 *10 scratched using 11,3,5

  $1.00 Ticket:  $162

Late Pick 5:

Race 8:  2,3,6

Race 9:  7,2,3

Race 10: 8,4,6,7

Race 11:  7,8,2

Race 12:  8,10,1 Dirt: 11,10,3 *10 scratched using 11,3,5

 $.50 Ticket:  $162

Late Pick 4:

Race 9:  7,2,3,5

Race 10: 8,4,6,7

Race 11:  7,8,2

Race 12:  8,10,1 Dirt: 11,10,3 *10 scratched using 11,3,5

  $.50 Ticket:  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.


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